LEICESTER – MAY 30
Last year's corresponding Placepot dividend:
2016: £1.50 (2 favourites - 1 winner & 1 placed – the rest of the meeting was abandoned)
Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Leicester:
Leg 1 (1.50): 11 (Westerland) & 5 (George)
Leg 2 (2.20): 10 (Solid Man), 7 (Leeshaan) & 9 (Prince Ahwanee)
Leg 3 (2.50): 7 (Black Bubba), 8 (Cookie’s Star) & 5 (Stevie Brown)
Leg 4 (3.20): 2 (Chevel Blanche), 7 (Cashla Bay) & 11 (Rely On Me)
Leg 5 (3.50): 7 (Dora’s Field) & 4 (Vizier)
Leg 6 (4.20): 7 (Roussel) & 4 (Demons Rock)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Tuesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.50: WESTERLAND looks to have plenty going for him in a far weaker race than he contested on debut at Newbury recently. The ground should be better here than the soft conditions faced at the Berkshire venue, with John Gosden seemingly having found a fine opportunity for his Frankel colt to go one better. GEORGE is fancied for the forecast position if that’s the way you want to play the opening event on the card.
Favourite factor: Two clear market leaders and three joint favourites have won via nine renewals, whilst the nine winners to date scored at a top price of 6/1. Eight of the twelve favourites have snared toteplacepot positions to date.
2.20: SOLID MAN is a general 4/1 chance across the board as I write this column in the dead of night, though Paddy Power have gone out on a limb by offering Ralph Beckett’s raider at 11/2. Ralph has saddled seven winners during the last fortnight whereby the each way (bet to nothing) offer by PP makes some appeal. This looks a far more open event compared to the first heat of the contest, with LEESHAAN and Clive Cox’s newcomer PRINCE AHWANEE also having been declared with genuine claims.
Favourite factor: This is the second division of the opening event where the same stats apply.
2.50: All eight winners have carried a maximum burden of nine stones which eliminates the top four horses in the handicap. Three of those discarded horses only carry sixteen additional ounces but I will adhere to the rules that have served me so well, having written this column for over seventeen years. The trio which make most appeal from the five options left open to yours truly are BLACK BUBBA, COOKIE’S STAR and STEVIE BROWN.
Favourite factor: Two (6/4 & 5/2) favourites have prevailed via eight renewals to date, whilst seven of the eight gold medallists have scored at a top price of 6/1. Five of the eight market leaders have secured Placepot positions.
3.20: Bookmakers cannot (seemingly) agree about the price of Michael Bell’s filly CHEVEL BLANCHE who is a three time winner via just five assignments contested to date. The 8/1 quote by Ladbrokes looks plenty big enough from my viewpoint, especially with Michael having saddled five of his last nineteen runners to winning effect, statistics which have produced four points of level stake profit. That said, CASHLA BAY appears to be a worthy favourite on what we have witnessed thus far, whilst RELY ON ME comes from the Pivotal family which act with moisture in the ground.
Favourite factor: Both of the (11/4 & 9/4) favourites have missed out on Placepot positions thus far.
3.50: The last four runners saddled by Stuart Kittow have finished ‘in the two’, albeit only one winner emerged during the period. That said, such consistency is what we ‘Potters’ yearn for whereby Stuart’s raider DORA’S FIELD is the first name on the Placepot team sheet. VIZIER is rated as the main threat via the ‘good to soft’ success on his Curriculum Vitae, even though David O’Meara’s runners continue to blow hot and cold.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Leicester card.
Leicester record of the course winner in the fifth event:
1/1—Lord Franklin (good to firm)
4.20: You can ignore the 7/2 trade press quote regarding the Charlie Appleby newcomer ROUSSEL who attempts to become Charlie’s eighth two year-old winner via a 58% strike rate in the juvenile sector this term. Punters might be fortunate to obtain 6/4 from the activity we have seen thus far though either way, connections of Charlie’s Kodiac colt can expect resistance by DEMONS ROCK. That said, I am surprised to witness the weakness of Tom Dascombe’s juvenile who had drifted to 17/2 at the time of writing, especially with the trade press having made the Requinto colt the 3/1 ‘market leader’ overnight.
Favourite factor: The Placepot finale is another new race on the Leicester programme.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Leicester card on Tuesday – followed by their ratios at the track + profits/losses accrued before Monday’s sport was contested:
3 runners—Tony Carroll (0/4 – winner at 13/8* yesterday)
3—Tom Dascombe (0/3)
3—David Evans (0/4 – winner at 12/1 yesterday)
3—Richard Fahey (1/11 – loss of 4 points)
3—Richard Hannon (1/12 – loss of 7 points)
3—Mark Johnston (2/8 – Profit of 4 points)
3—Kevin Ryan (No runners)
2—Eric Alston (No runners)
2—Michael Appleby (0/4)
2—David Brown (0/3)
2—Clive Cox (1/5 –Profit of 4 points)
2—Robert Eddery (0/1)
2—John Gosden (0/3)
2—Charlie Hills (1/4 – slight loss)
2—John Holt (No runners)
2—Sylvester Kirk (0/2)
2—Phil McBride (No runners)
2—Stan Moore (0/1)
2—James Tate (1/2 – Profit of 3 points)
+ 39 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
84 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Redcar: £81.50 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 1 placed – 4 unplaced
Lingfield: £23.80 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 1 unplaced
Newton Abbot: £280.50 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced
Wolverhampton: £15.50 – 4 winners & 2 placed