LEICESTER – MAY 31
Last year's corresponding Placepot dividend:
£69.70 (6 favourites - No winners - 3 placed - 3 unplaced)
Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Leicester:
Leg 1 (2.00): 5 (Evergate) & 3 (Drochaid)
Leg 2 (2.30): 10 (Thammin), 7 (Outre Mer) & 2 (Black Trilby)
Leg 3 (3.00): 7 (Inclination), 1 (Swirral Edge) & 11 (Baileys Pearl)
Leg 4 (3.30): 2 (Jadaayil) & 3 (Next Life)
Leg 5 (4.00): 3 (Smart Movie) & 1 (Boycie)
Leg 6 (4.30): 1 (Ardad), 7 (Vote) & 4 (Ode To Paris)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
2.00: EVERGATE looked a winner waiting to happen first time up and though there are a few likely newcomers in the line up, it might take a particularly smart juvenile to lower the colours of the Hugo Palmer representative on Tuesday. That said, Andrew Balding waxed lyrical about his Mastercraftsman colt DROCHAID a few months back, whilst the declarations of Roger Varian's Exceed And Excel raider JUMIRA PRINCE and Richard Hannon's beaten favourite JUAN HORSEPOWER add plenty of interest to proceedings.
Favourite factor: One clear market leader and three joint favourites have won via seven renewals, whilst the seven winners to date scored at a top price of 6/1. Six of the ten favourites have snared toteplacepot positions to date.
2.30: THAMMIN could prove to be the best of these two-year-olds in time, especially as Owen Burrows has wasted little time in entering up his Dark Angel representative in some of the big juvenile races later in the year. John Gosden and his team might have something to say about that however, with the chance of OUTRE MER well respected by yours truly. Others to consider include BLACK TRILBY and MAGILLEN.
Favourite factor: This is the second division of the opening event.
3.00: The current Clive Cox/Adam Kirby bandwagon rolls relentlessly on, whereby INCLINATION demands top billing in this three-year-old handicap in what would otherwise have been an open event on paper. As a self confessed stats 'anorak' however, I simply cannot oppose Clive's Acclamation representative, with connections possibly having most to fear from the likes of SWIRRAL EDGE and BAILEYS PEARL.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Leicester card.
3.30: Two of the three horses which won last time out catch my eye this time around, namely NEXT LIFE and (particularly) JADAAYIL, who scored in fine style at Newmarket's Craven Stakes meeting, albeit under good to soft conditions. Connections will be praying for the forecast showers to arrive frequently over the Oadby area of Leicester leading up to flag fall, which would just about complete my confidence from a win perspective, let alone enough to secure a Placepot position. DUTCH DESTINY completes my trio against the other seven contenders.
Favourite factor: Both of the (11/4 & 9/4) favourites have missed out on Placepot positions thus far.
Leicester record of course winners in the fourth event:
4.00: For the second successive event on the card, I am looking to 'last time out winners' to form the basis of my Placepot selections for the penultimate leg of our favourite wager. SMART MOVER and BOYCIE are the horses in question, with Cam Hardie (aboard the first named raider) looking to thwart the Hannon stable which supplied so many of his winners during his apprenticeship. THREEBAGSUE gained his win 'the last day' on the all weather surface at Lingfield and with Josephine Gordon negating the rise in the weights, Stan Moore's three-year-old is included in the overnight equation.
Leicester record of course winners in the fifth event:
1/1--Smart Mover (soft)
4.30: This is the third juvenile contest on the Placepot card,with VOTE expected to outrun her odds, given the positive words that James Eustace touted during a stable tour earlier in the year. Ryan Tate's mount is a potentially decent sort according to the trainer that also holds entries at Nottingham and Kempton this week, notwithstanding a big race entry in a Newmarket event in the autumn. James has saddled four of his last ten runners to winning effect for good measure. Standing is her way on her first day at school are ARDAD and ODE TO PARIS, just two of six rivals that could all pay their way in the months/years to come.
Favourite factor: The toteplacepot finale is another new race on the Leicester programme.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Leicester card on Tuesday:
5--Richard Hannon (13/88 at Leicester during the last five years followed by 2016 ratio: 2/8 - stats complied before Monday's meeting was completed)
4--David Evans (9/114 - 0/9)
4--Richard Fahey (22/105 - 1/5)
4--Charlie Hills (16/63 - 0/2)
3--David Brown (2/22 - 1/3)
3--John Gosden (10/51 - 0/2)
3--Stan Moore (1/27 - 0/4)
3--Kevin Ryan (4/63 - 0/4)
3--Roger Varian (10/57 - 1/8)
2--Michael Appleby (6/84 - 0/5)
2--Andrew Balding (6/56 - 0/3)
2--Owen Burrows (0/1 - 0/1)
2--Tony Carroll (5/49 - 1/5)
2--Mick Channon (13/87 - 0/6)
2--Clive Cox (7/71 - 0/2)
2--Tom Dascombe (8/47 - 0/4)
2--Ed Dunlop (7/41 - 1/3)
2--Gay Kelleway (1/19 - 0/1)
2--Ismail Mohammed (3/19 - 1/2)
2--Saeed Bin Suroor (8/33 - 0/1)
2--James Tate (6/31 - No runners this season)
+ 33 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
89 declared runners