LINGFIELD - NOVEMBER 22
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £434.30 (6 favourites - 2 winners - 2 placed - 2 unplaced)
Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Lingfield:
Leg 1 (1.00): 4 (Groundunderrepair) & 1 (Notre Ami)
Leg 2 (1.30): 2 (Prime Venture) & 4 (Daklondike)
Leg 3 (2.05): 3 (Allchilledout) & 4 (Arquebusier)
Leg 4 (2.35): 1 (Billy No Name), 2 (Bells ‘N’ Banjos) & 3 (La Paimpolaise)
Leg 5 (3.10): 6 (Kap Jazz), 4 (Minella On Line) & 1 (Cloudy Copper)
Leg 6 (3.45): 7 (Odello), 4 (Knightly Pleasure) & 6 (Martha McCandles)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Tuesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.00: But for the distinct difference in conditions here compared to his good ground 13 length victory in a Fontwell ‘bumper’, NOTRE AMI would have been a definite choice but with soft (possibly heavy ground by flag fall) in evidence, Nick Gifford’s raider cannot be guaranteed to successfully give upwards of seven pounds to his rivals on Tuesday. I still have a clear vision of Nick’s dad organising the troops at was then affectionately known as ‘Leafy Lingfield’ and I would love to see Nick bag a winner or two via three runners on the card, such was the affection that the racing public had for Josh. Upwards and onward by naming GROUNDUNDERREPAIR and RADICAL ARCHIE as the potential party-poopers in the field. The first named Warren Greatrex raider demands great respect, with the stable boasting a 6/10 strike rate at the track during the last five years. Lingfield has also staged the odd All Weather NH meeting during the period, with Warren showing a 3/7 ratio in that sector too!
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 8/15 favourite finished out of the money, the ‘short field’ frame being filled by horses which were returned at 25/1 & 6/1. New readers might like to learn that the term ‘short field’ relates to 5/6/7 runners races in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way/Placepot perspectives.
Course winners at Lingfield on Tuesday: There are none!
1.30: Beaufort Boy is not the most logical winner here, other than the fact that he is the only seven-year-old in the line-up, with vintage representatives having won both renewals to date via just 20% of the aggregate number of runners (3/15). Even I have to draw the line at stats at times however, as is the case here with heavy ground winner PRIME VENTURE and DAKLONDIKE having also been declared.
Favourite factor: The two favourites have snared gold and silver medals alongside Placepot positions.
2.05: Colin Tizzard has his team in decent form (not just because of Cue Card’s scintillating victory on Saturday) and the trainer seems to have found the perfect opportunity for his heavy ground winner ALLCHILLEDOUT to score in this grade/company. Only the lack of a recent outing prevents yours truly from making Colin’s seven-year-old the nap on the card, with seemingly only ARQUEBUSIER and (possibly) fellow heavy ground winner DYLANSOGHAN to beat.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 7/4 favourite missed out on a placepot position when finished third in a five runner 'short field' event. The market leader last year went off at the same price, snaring the silver medal in a seven runner contest.
2.35: The first of two half decent races on the card thankfully, little wonder that some of the top trainers in the business are represented. I mentioned the positive Warren Greatrex figures earlier on the card and there is little doubt that BELLS ‘N’ BANJOS will become competitive at the business end of proceedings, if fit enough to do himself justice. Others to consider include LA PAIMPOLAISE and BILLY NO NAME. Don’t let the ten pound claimer aboard Colin Tizzard’s latter named raider put you off at all, as Angus Cheleda has ridden two winners from just three mounts for the trainer, stats of 2/4 in total to date.
Favourite factor: Last year’s 5/4 favourite duly obliged in the first running of the contest.
3.10: Jonjo O’Neill was getting a few winners again following his big race win at Cheltenham recently following a torrid time, though his last 21 runners have all been beaten. Other than that, CLOUDY COPPER would have been included in the mix but as things stand, KAP JAZZ and MINELLA ON LINE are preferred. All three horses can act under these conditions and we should gain a Placepot position or two with them on our side.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 7/4 favourite found one too good, though a Placepot position was secured.
3.45: ODELLO is the last of the Warren Greatrex runners on the card and arguably, the King’s Theatre mare is Warren’s best chance of a winner. That said, Gary Moore’s heavy ground winner KNIGHTLY PLEASURE has to be included in the overnight mix along with MARTHA MCCANDLES who has run her best races to date with plenty of give in the ground.
Favourite factor: Both favourites had obliged at 5/6 and even money, before last year’s 2/1 market finished third, albeit the favourites claimed a toteplacepot position.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Lingfield card on Tuesday – followed by five years stats at the course + level stake profits/losses accrued:
3—Zoe Davison (1/26 – loss of 20 points)
3—Nick Gifford (0/5)
3—Warren Greatrex (6/10 – Profit of 6 points)
3—Colin Tizzard (0/6)
3—Evan Williams (2/7 – slight profit)
2—Neil King (1/6 – loss of 4 points)
2—Nigel Hawke (0/3)
2—Martin Keighley (3/9 – slight loss)
2—Nick Mitchell (0/2)
2—Gary Moore (10/62 – loss of 6 points)
2—Seamus Mullins (4/25 – Profit of 13 points)
2—Anna Newton-Smith (1/13 – loss of 8 points)
2—Fiona Shaw (No runners)
+ 15 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
46 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Sedgefield: £475.80 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 1 placed 4 unplaced
Southwell A/W: £82.30 – 6 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 2 unplaced