Placepot pointers – Tuesday October 18

EXETER - OCTOBER 18

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £38.90 (7 favourites - 2 winners – 1 placed - 4 unplaced)

 

Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Exeter: 

Leg 1 (2.10): 4 (Hahnenkan), 8 (Blue April) & 5 (Thomas Blossom)

Leg 2 (2.40): 1 (Verygoodverygood), 5 (Our Folly) & 2 (Quinto)

Leg 3 (3.10): 1 (Caulfields Venture), 4 (Skylander) & 6 (For ‘N’ Against)

Leg 4 (3.40): 1 (Drumlee Sunset) & 3 (Man From Mars)

Leg 5 (4.10): 3 (Old Guard) & 2 (Imperial Presence)

Leg 6 (4.40): 3 (Samburu Shujaa) & 1 (Castlerigg)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Tuesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

2.10: AGINCOURT REEF would be a threat to all if rain had got into the ground prior to flag fall but with conditions as they are at the time of writing, preference is for HAHNENKAN, BLUE APRIL and THOMAS BLOSSOM.  Even my old Primary School headmistress (God bless her!) could not prize cash from my pockets for a single bet in this contest, aside from my Placepot ‘addiction’.

Favourite factor: This is a new race with which to open proceedings at Exeter on Tuesday.

2.40: It’s all well and good the trade press reporter suggesting that VERYGOODVERYGOOD could put a positive performance in to land this event but let’s face it if truth be told, everyone should be swayed by the recent 50% strike rate (12/24) by relevant trainer Nigel Twiston-Davies!  Let’s hope that the ‘dead eight’ field remain intact for those of you that want to take on the recent stats with the likes of OUR FOLLY and QUINTO.

Favourite factor: Another new race to access on the programme.

Record of the course winner in the field:

1/3—The Wealerdealer (good)

 

3.10: Emma Lavelle has saddled both winners of this event to date, with trainer offering the green light to last year’s gold medallist CAULFIELDS VENTURE, Emma’s only runner on the entire card.  CAULFIELDS VENTURE has won on all three visits to the track and the ground should be alright for the top weight too.  Connections might have most to fear from David Pipe’s two runners, namely SKYLANDER and FOR AND AGAINST.

Favourite factor: Search parties are still out looking for the two (4/1 & 11/4) favourites thus far.

Records of course winners in the third race on the card:

3/3—Caulfields Venture (2 x good to firm & good)

1/1—Rock Of Leon (good to firm)

1/4--Wizards Bridge (good to firm)

3.40: Four-year-olds have won nine of the last eighteen renewals (including eight of the last fourteen), with MAN FROM MARS being the only relevant declaration this time around.   ORCHARD PARK (one of only two five-year-old entries) is an interesting declaration, if only because five year-olds have won the last three renewals.  Philip Hobbs has saddled the last two winners when represented whereby the chance of DRUMLEE SUNSET is thoroughly respected.

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Favourite factor: Market leaders have won 13 of the last 18 renewals, whilst second favourites have ensured that bookmakers have endured a torrid time by snaring four of the other five contests!

Record of the course winner in the fourth race:

1/1—Drumlee Sunset (good to soft)

4.10: OLD GUARD got no further than the first fence on his debut over the larger obstacles but deserves another chance, especially with trainer Paul Nicholls currently able to walk on water though some punters will suggest that there is nothing new there!  IMPERIAL PRESENCE is the obvious threat now that we are faced with a win only event ‘thanks’ to a defector.

Favourite factor: We still await the first successful favourite, albeit just two renewals have been contested.  One Placepot position has been snared thus far.

4.40: SAMBURU SHUJAA and CASTLERIGG are marginally preferred to ST JOHN’S in the Placepot finale though being honest again, we have to trust to luck in the ‘lucky last’.  That said, I would be extremely surprised if this trio all finished out of the money.

Favourite factor: Two clear market leaders have won during the last eleven years alongside one joint favourite.  Ten of the eleven winners were sent off at a top price of 7/1.

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Exeter card on Tuesday:

3—Jimmy Frost (0/2 at Exeter this season)

3—Philip Hobbs (0/3)

3—David Pipe (0/3)

2—Johnny Farrelly (---)

2—Nigel Hawke (1/2 – Profit of 1 point to level stakes)

2—J Nash (---)

2—Jeremy Scott (0/3)

2—Jamie Snowden (---)

2—Colin Tizzard (0/1)

2—Richard Woollacott (0/2)

+ 22 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

45 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Kempton and Newcastle provide new meetings on Tuesday, whilst last year’s fixture at Yarmouth was one of the many abandoned meetings at the seaside venue twelve months ago.

 

 

 

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