GOODWOOD – SEPTEMBER 5
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £29.90 (7 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 2 unpalced)
Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Goodwood:
Leg 1 (1.30): 5 (Red Royalist) & 4 (Hats Off To Larry)
Leg 2 (2.05): 3 (Juliet Foxtrot) & 6 (Rasima)
Leg 3 (2.40): 5 (Mt Augustus), 4 (Knightly Spirit) & 9 (Showroom)
Leg 4 (3.15): 2 (Armum), 6 (Titchy Digits) & 4 (Golden Salute)
Leg 5 (3.50): 2 (Aurora Gray), 4 (Fleeting Visit) & 3 (Corpus Chorister)
Leg 6 (4.25): 5 (Love Oasis), 3 (The Daley Express) & 4 (Jersey Breeze)
Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Tuesday – please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.30: Marcus Tregoning endured a torrid season last year by his standards, having only secured 11 victories, though things are working out better twelve months on as he moves closer to doubling that figure. Marcus has only saddled more turf winners at Bath than he has achieved here at Goodwood during the last five years and RED ROYALIST can add to the tally, albeit at the sixth time of asking. Martin Dwyer’s mount deserves to get his head in front and the trainer should be congratulated for finding an opportunity like this for his three-year-old Royal Applause gelding. Having secured three bronze medals from as many assignments thus far, HATS OFF TO LARRY has been similarly frustrating for connections I’ll wager though like RED ROYALIST, a Placepot opportunity is there for all to see in this grade/company. Psychotic represents last year’s winning stable but needs to come on for his first effort. The fact that David Menuisier’s Nayef gelding is a four-year-old is also a negative factor with three-year-olds invariably winning these mixed vintage maiden events.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 5/4 favourite could only manage third place but that said, the market leader at least managed to snare a Placepot position.
2.05: JULIET FOXTROT ran green on debut which was not unexpected given the 16/1 return about the Charlie Hills Dansili filly. Such inexperience did not stop the March foal from making headway after a tardy start in a half decent Newmarket contest however, whereby Jim Crowley’s mount should make the frame if missing out on the gold medal. Others to consider include stable companion MIDAS MADDIE and RASIMA.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Goodwood card.
2.40: Henry Candy has always been a ‘summer trainer’ and having returned his best monthly figure this year in August, Henry saddled an 8/1 winner to start off the afternoon on Monday when turning over a 1/2 chance at Windsor. Henry saddles his Champs Elysees raider MT AUGUSTUS who ran a race full of promise on debut at Sandown on soft ground last month. Hopefully the ground will not be too firm here, albeit the February foal might handle such conditions. I would be a little surprised if KNIGHTLY SPIRIT was allowed to start in double figures as the trade press suggests at the time of writing. Roger Varian’s Dalakhani colt was putting in half decent late work when meeting up with traffic problems at the first time of asking whereby Andrea Atzeni’s mount is offered a chance by yours truly, at least from a Placepot perspective. Newcomers SHOWROOM and SILVER CRECENT are worth keeping an eye on relating to future engagements.
Favourite factor: This is another new race at a time of the season when differing fixtures come and go at a rate of knots, which nearly always occurs during the week(s) following a Bank Holiday.
3.15: We can only hope that this Nursery (two-year-old handicap) event retains its eight runners at flag fall and should that prove to be the case, the trio of ARMUM, TITCHY DIGITS and hat trick seer GOLDEN SALUTE will fill my permutation. That said, even my mother-in-law could not prize the tantalus key from my possession in terms of having a bet on the contest aside from an interest in our favourite wager.
Favourite factor: Both (2/1 & 5/2) favourites have finished out with the washing thus far.
3.50: Four-year-olds have won three of the five renewals thus far, with vintage representatives at 5/4 to extend the trend this time around before the form book is consulted. AURORA GRAY and FLEETING VISIT are two consistent four-year-olds that should certainly figure promisingly, whilst CORPUS CHORISTER is added into the overnight mix. David Menisier is slowly getting his horses on course to challenge last year’s tally of 15 winners and after a slow start, CORPUS CHORISTER boasts definite claims of being David’s eighth winner of the campaign.
Favourite factor: Favourites have secured Placepot positions in three of the five races to date, stats which include two (even money and 4/5) winners. Indeed, market leaders come to the gig on a hat trick on this occasion.
Record of course winners in the fifth race:
1/7—Jacob Cats (good to firm)
1/2—Arthur Mc Bride (good)
4.25: Five of the six winners have carried a minimum burden of 9-2, which eliminates the bottom three of a total of seven runners in the field. That said, course winner Joe Packet will also slip into the ‘inferior’ sector of the handicap if the claiming pilot calls on at least five of his seven pound allowance. The pick of the remaining entries will hopefully prove to be LOVE OASIS, THE DALEY EXPRESS and JERSEY BRREZE.
Favourite factor: Only three of the seven market leaders have secured Placepot places, statistics which include one (7/2) winner two years ago. It’s worth noting however that four of the six gold medallists to date have been returned at a top price of 4/1, the other winners going in at 7/1 and 20/1.
Record of course winners in the Placepot finale:
1/7—Joe Packet (good)
1/1—Artscape (good to soft)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Goodwood card on Tuesday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:
5 runners—Mick Channon (4/34 – loss of 3 points)
4—Mark Johnston (5/42 +6)
3—Ralph Beckett (1/17 – loss of 14 points)
3—Richard Hannon (5/33 – loss of 16 points)
2—Andrew Balding (4/35 – slight loss)
2—Tony Carroll (0/14)
2—Ron Harris (0/2)
2—Charlie Hills (5/25 +4)
2—Eve Johnson Houghton (2/18 – loss of 10 points)
2—Sylvester Kirk (1/11 – loss of 7 points)
2—David Menuisier (0/3)
2—Neil Mulholland (No previous runners this season)
2—Amanda Perrett (1/27 – loss of 24 points)
2—Jonathan Portman (1/8 +18)
2—Roger Varian (3/17 +3)
+ 24 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
61 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Hamilton: £190.40 – 6 favourites – No winners – 3 placed – 3 unplaced
Hexham: This is a new meeting
Kempton (A/W): This is another new meeting