https://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/placepot-pointers-copy.png 320 830 MalBoyle https://www.geegeez.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2016/01/gg-logo-new.png MalBoyle2016-09-05 16:30:252016-09-05 06:25:37Placepot pointers - Tuesday September 5
LEICESTER - SEPTEMBER 6
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £100.80 (6 favourites - 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced)
Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Leicester:
Leg 1 (2.00): 4 (Coronet) & 6 (Struck By The Moon)
Leg 2 (2.30): 2 (Ornate), 5 (Major Pusey) & 3 (Burnt Sugar)
Leg 3 (3.00): 2 (Chevalier Du Lac) & 1 (Areyoutheway)
Leg 4 (3.30): 1 (English Summer), 7 (Most Celebrated) & 8 (Taskeen)
Leg 5 (4.00): 2 (Archie), 6 (Musdam) & 9 (Menai)
Leg 6 (4.35): 13 (Zefferino) & 4 (Elucidation)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
2.00: Jungle drums have only been beating for one horse in the opening line up, with John Gosden's grey filly CORONET grabbing the headlines. Always (seemingly) waiting for a distance of ground in which to make her debut, John's Dubawi filly could be anything as the saying goes, with the trainer waxing lyrical about her potential earlier in the year. One of only two fillies with a big race entry (Fillies' Mile), John's February foal should get the job done without too much fuss. STRUCK BY THE MOON has an entry in the 'Rockfel' which catches the eye and the Charlie Hills raider could give CORONET most to do at the business end of proceedings.
Favourite factor: Five favourites have obliged during the last decade, though winners have also been recorded at 50/1 and 14/1. Seven of the ten market leaders have finished in the frame during the study period.
2.30: Four-year-olds have won three of the last five renewals which brings BURNT SUGAR and MAJOR PUSEY into the overnight mix in an ordinary contest. BURNT SUGAR (Richard Hannon) will have disappointed connections but this is an obvious chance for the dual winner to score, though it's worth noting that his record on turf stands at 0/17. MAJOR PUSEY is expected to outrun the attractive odds which are likely to be on offer, whilst ORNATE is preferred to Huntsmans Close as the threat to the four-year-olds.
Favourite factor: Four favourites have won during the last eleven years, whilst the biggest priced winner scored at 15/2 via the relevant renewals. Seeven of the last eleven market leaders have snared Placepot positions.
3.00: Conor Dore saddles only his second two-year-old runner at Leicester during the last five years and you see why the trainer has declared CHEVALIER DU LAC given the 'quality' of the opposition in this selling event. Conor's Sir Prancealot colt has a medal of each colour to show for six assignments thus far and with Silvestre De Sousa in the plate, the March foal is taken to double his winning tally. AREYOUTHEWAY is the other winner in the field and it is difficult to envisage both of the gold medallists finishing out of the frame.
Favourite factor: Eight of the nine winners have scored at 8/1 or less, statistics which include three successful favourites. The other five market leaders all finished out of the money (exact science).
3.30: Three-year-olds had won all six renewals before an eight-year-old upset the apple cart twelve months ago. That horse was ENGLISH SUMMER who returns to defend his crown and as a winner of 14 races to date, Fran Berry's mount could inflict another defeat on the junior contenders. For the record, Fran has his first ride this year for Richard Fahey from what I can deduce. The quartet of three-year-olds should be led home by MOST CELEBRATED and TASKEEN.
Favourite factor: Five of the eight favourites (via seven renewals) have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include four winners.
Record of the course winner in the fourth race:
1/2--English Summer (good)
4.00: Eight of the last ten winners have carried weights of 8-13 or more, whilst four-year-olds have secured four of the last eight contests, filling 10 of the last 21 available toteplacepot positions between them. Clive Cox saddles ARCHIE, the only four-year-old in the field, with Adam Kirby in the plate who is due to weigh in with 9-6. Two of the five three-year-olds are expected to give connections most to worry about inside the final furlong, namely MUSDAM and MENAI. With all due respect paid to Leicester Racecourse, thank goodness that we have Donaster's St Leger meeting on the horizon!
Favourite factor: Just two favourites have prevailed via the last twelve renewals during the which time, seven winners were sent off at 33/1-33/1-25/1-16/1-10/1-10/1-8/1. 12 of the last 19 favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions.
Record of the course winner in the fifth contest on the card:
4.35: Roger Charlton saddles two horses on the card, defending a ratio of 3/6 at the track this year and ZEFFERINO is the more likely winner for the stable from my viewpoint (Rock Steady runs at 3.30). Although a beaten odds on favourite on his debut, Roger's Frankel colt is probably worth another chance at this (Class 4) level. Alternative options include ELUCIDATION and John Gosden's newcomer JUPITER LIGHT.
Favourite factor: Favourites have won four of the last eleven renewals, whilst ten winners during the last thirteen years were sent off at odds of 7/1 or less. Nine of the last thirteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Leicester card on Tuesday:
8--Richard Hannon (6/29 at Leicester this season - winners at 12/1-6/1-5/1-5/2-7/4-6/4*)
3--Luca Cumani (0/3)
3--Ed Dunlop (2/9 - winners at 7/2 & 8/11*)
3--Charlie Hills (2/12 - winners at 5/2** & 2/1*)
3--Sir Michael Stoute (2/11 - winners at 6/1 & 7/2)
2--John Butler (0/1)
2--Roger Charlton (3/6 - winners at 10/1-5/2*-6/4*)
2--Robert Cowell (0/2)
2--Tom Dascombe (0/12)
2--John Gallagher (0/1)
2--Jo Hughes (1/2 - winner at 11/1)
2--Ian Williams (0/3)
+ 30 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
64 declared runners
General overview - corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Perth: £15.50 - 8 favourites - 2 winners - 4 placed - 2 unplaced
Redcar: £61.20 - 6 favourites - 2 winners - 2 placed - 2 unplaced
Worcester: £59.60 - 7 favourites - 4 winenrs - 1 placed - 2 unplaced
Leicester overview - 5 year juvenile record of represented trainers at Leicester in the relevant events at 2.00 - 3.00 - 4.35:
5/26--Charlie Apleby (Agathonia)
2/13--Luca Cumani (Alwaysandforever)
11/56--Richared Hannon (Castellated & Kitsey)
3/20--John Gosden (Coronet)
9/33--Charlie Hills (Struck by The Moon)
2/30--Tom Dascombe (Areyouthelady)
0/1--Conor Dore (Chevalier Du Lac)
0/19--Stan Moore (Black Tie Bob)
11-56--Richard Hannon (Control Centre)
0/5--Tony Carroll (Jackman)
0/11--Bill Turner (Yorkshire Star)
1/4--Dean Ivory (Seaview)
0/7--Jo Hughes (Shaqoos)
No runners--John Butler (Shiny Line)
5/26--Sir Michael Stoute (Adamany & Elucidation)
1/5--Ed Dunlop (Alemaratalyoum & Sporting Times)
11/56--Richard Hannon (Al Mansor)
9/33--Charlie Hills (Farook)
3/20--John Gosden (Jupiter Light)
1/9--Andrew Balding (Naval Warfare)
2/30--Tom Dascombe (Nigh Or Never)
2/13--Luca Cumani (Prescence Process)
No runner--Jo Hughes (Quinteo)
No runners--John Butler (Time To Sea)
2/9--Roger Charlton (Zefferino)