KEMPTON – DECEMBER 13
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £117.20 (7 favourites – 3 winners – 3 placed – 1 unplaced)
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Kempton:
Leg 1 (3.40): 5 (Monadee) & 8 (Azpeitia)
Leg 2 (4.10): 9 (Bombshell Bay), 1 (Dance Emperor) & 3 (Mr Gent)
Leg 3 (4.40): 12 (TumTum), 1 (Rusper) & 5 (Mayer)
Leg 4 (5.10): 6 (Highbrow) & 8 (Returning Glory)
Leg 5 (5.40): 3 (Humbert) & 5 (Maximinus Thrax)
Leg 6 (6.10): 8 (Viola Park), 1 (Wild Acclaim) & 6 (Vixen)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
3.40: MONADEE and AZPEITIA should get us safely through to the second leg of our favourite wager, though that’s as far as my interest goes in the opening event. Both horses can use their experience to decent effect in a race that should not take a great deal of winning. Breathless Times is a newcomer to keep an eye on for the future, whilst Marco Botti’s Cloud Eight is entitled to come on a great deal for an ordinary debut effort over course and distance recently.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Kempton card.
4.10: Four of the last twelve horses saddled by Richard Hannon have won (seven points of level stake profit accrued during the period) and there has been a level of interest in BOMBSHELL BAY overnight, probably via win and place money given his favourable trap one position. His best effort was when beaten half a length when ‘given the office’ at Chelmsford a while ago since when he has been held up in recent races. I’m inclined to think the trainer will opt for blasting out of the stalls from the inside position, adopting a catch me if you can stance which could prove favourable over this shorter trip, especially for each way investors who struck whilst most of the country slept. The Placepot chance for DANCE EMPEROR is there for all to see, whilst MR GENT is saddled by Ed Dunlop who has greeted two of his last five runners in the area reserved for winners.
Favourite factor: Only one of the three favourites has gained a Placepot position thus far by winning its respective event at odds of 11/4.
4.40: I note that Holy Shambles is on the slide as I write this column, a potential description of the England Ashes tour which could be in place by tomorrow evening! It was the declaration of George Baker’s newcomer French Cricket which drew me to the negative comment of the ‘professionals’ down under though whatever the performance of Root & Co during the coming days, this event might be best left to TUM TUM and Jamie Osborne’s Lingfield winner RUSPER from a Placepot perspective. In receipt of seven pounds here, TUM TUM would be the tentative call if the proverbial gun was put to my head to name the potential winner. Any money for MAYER could be worth heeding to small stakes.
Favourite factor: The is the first of two divisions of a new ‘novice’ event.
5.10: ONLY HIGHBROW and Saeed Bin Suroor’s lone runner on the card RETURNING GLORY are being shown any respect by punters at the time of writing and it would seemingly be churlish in the extreme to oppose this pair from a Placepot perspective. Although poorly drawn (11/14), HIGHBROW showed enough over the course and distance on debut to suggest that a race of this nature should be there for the taking in ordinary company and the only other horse in the field that might turn out to be better than the adjective offered is RETURNING GLORY in the blue silks of Godolphin.
Favourite factor: This is the second division of the previous race on the Kempton programme.
5.40: Three pound claimer Marc Monaghan should be riding with confidence having ridden a winner for Marco Botti the other day, his 38th winner down the years which has been achieved via a strike rate just short of ten per cent. Marco saddles HAIL CLOUD here and any move in the market should be covered to small stakes, if only to cover potential Placepot losses. Others to consider include MAXIMINUS THRAX and HUMBERT who has some semi-serious money in the positive queue on the exchanges at around the 5/2 mark this morning.
Favourite factor: Last year’s successful even money favourite had a lot to make up for via the two previous renewals of this event. In 2005, the frame was filled by horses which were returned at 8/1, 14/1 & 100/1, whilst the inaugural running recorded a defeat for the 2/5 market leader which finished out of the frame.
6.10: The three gold medallists have carried a minimum weight of 8-13, stats which effectively rule four horses out of contention if you take the eight trend seriously, one of which fell through the ‘superior’ barrier via a jockey claim. We are left with the seven horses to assess, the pick of which will hopefully prove to be VIOLA PARK, WILD ACCLAIM and VIXEN. The (well drawn) first named pair have both been the subject of some support in the dead of night, whilst Eve Johnson Houghton saddles VIXEN, seeking to end a particularly good year for the popular trainer.
Favourite factor: Although we still await the first successful favourite from a win perspective, three of the four market leaders have claimed Placepot positions.
Record of course winners in the Placepot finale – no other course winners in ‘our sector’ of the meeting:
1/3—Brother In Arms
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Kempton card on Wednesday – followed by their ratios at the track this year + profits/losses accrued:
4 runners—Neil Mullholland (2/17 – loss of 17 points)
3—Marco Botti (7/56 +4)
3—Ed Dunlop (5/19 – loss of 17 points)
3—Richard Hughes (12/72 +22)
3—Hughie Morrison (5/33 – slight loss)
3—Pat Phelan (0/29)
2—Michael Appleby (6/29 +9)
2—John Best (1/39 – loss of 31 points)
2—Tony Carroll (2/79 – loss of 69 points)
2—David Elsworth (1/17 – loss of 10 points)
2—James Fanshawe (3/48 – loss of 30 points)
2—Jimmy Fox (2/24 – loss of 17 points)
2—Karen George (0/6)
2—John Gosden (13/58 – loss of 3 points)
2—Rae Guest (2/14 – loss of 2 points)
2—Richard Hannon (15/129 – loss of 18 points)
2—Peter Hedger (1/14 – loss of 5 points)
2—Brett Johnson (4/19 +20)
2—Eve Johnson Houghton (1/45 – loss of 36 points)
2—Gay Kelleway (0/12)
2—Gary Moore (7/62 – loss of 27 points)
2—Jamie Osborne (4/46 +8)
2—David Simcock (2/40 – loss of 34 points)
2—Ed Walker (13/61 – loss of 1 point)
2—Ian Williams (2/19 – loss of 9 points)
+ 40 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
97 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Lingfield: £171.80 – 6 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 1 unplaced
Wolverhampton: This is a new (replacement) fixture