KEMPTON – JANUARY 13
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £147.60 (6 favourites - 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced)
4.35: I have to start by reporting that three of the last four Placepot dividends at Kempton have paid well over £1000, the average return being £1,414.75 during the recent period. Plenty of leading trainers are involved in the opening event and with Richard Hannon having secured four victories via his last 11 runners, stable representative SHAAN is the first name on the team sheet. AUSTRALIAN QUEEN is the likeliest danger, with BEST NEW SHOW arguably being the best option for each way enthusiasts, albeit only the first two win and placed horses are on offer for such wagers.
Favourite factor: Last year's inaugural 8/11 favourite found a 10/1 chance too good for him when securing a toteplacepot position.
5.10 Tony Carroll saddled a placed horse in the contest twelve months ago and with two runners declared this time around, ALTAIRA is preferred to Vedani. More likely winners appear to include KARNAGE and Kempton's standing dish THANE OF CONDOR, who has won over course and distance on no less than four occasions. That said, the 11 represented trainers boasted stats of just 5/60 during the last fortnight before Tuesday's sport was contested, whereby confidence is not at an all-time high.
Favourite factor: Last year's 5/2 market leader finished nearer last than first with the frame being filled by horses sent off at 20/1 - 20/1 -12/1.
Kempton record of course winners in the second event on the card:
6/23--Thane Of Condor
5.40: Saeed Bin Suroor has secured two gold and two silver medallists via seven runners in 2016 whereby the chance of GOOD JUDGE is respected, with the Godolphin raider having won on his only previous all weather start at Wolverhampton. PHYLISS MAUD and TOP DIKTAT are expected to follow the blue colours home, possibly at a respectable distance.
Favourite factor: The two market leaders have snared gold and bronze medals at odds of 9/4 whilst securing toteplacepot positions.
Kempton record of course winners in the third race:
6.10: HALLELUJAH is quoted at 10/1 in the overnight trade press betting forecast which makes for interesting reading, especially if you look at the relevant course details below. I fully appreciate that this is a hike up in class but triple course and distance winners in any sector command respect, especially when they are trained by James Fanshawe. 'Class 2 races' can create indifferent results because of the fact that horses just shy of top class brackets are pitched into events which also attract progressive types, as is the case in this contest. CHOOKIE ROYALE is a 13 time winner, though his ratio suggests that he should be a 7/2 chance (four wins from 14 starts in this grade) as opposed to the 5/4 overnight quote. It's also worth noting that 10 of his 13 victories to date have been gained over seven furlongs or more, whereby this 'six' could be described as 'inadequate'. INTRANSIGENT is the not the most consistent individual on parade but Andrew Balding's representative is a dangerous rival when on top form.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Kempton card.
Kempton record of course winners in the fourth contest:
6.40: Gary Moore is the only represented trainer that can be classed as in any type of consistent winning form at this moment in time whereby the chance of course and distance winner EMPERORS WARRIOR is very much respected, especially as his only victory to date was gained at this venue. Only beaten half a length last time out having won three starts ago, EMPERORS WARRIOR could be classed as the each way call on the card at the overnight stage, with George Baker due to ride at his lowest weight for some time. Others to consider include fellow C/D winners NEW RICH and MISU PETE.
Favourite factor: Both 13/8 and 11/4 favourites have finished out with the washing thus far.
Kempton record of course winners in the fifth race:
1/11--Only Ten Per Cent
7.10: Sylvester Kirk (DIAMOND SAM) and Derek Shaw (DEVILUTION) have saddled more than their fair share of winners of late whereby both horses are expected to figure prominently at the very least in this grade/company. The two horses are listed in order of preference at the overnight stage, marginally ahead of PURFORD GREEN and FAIRY MIST.
Favourite factor: Three of the eight market leaders have secured Placepot positions via six renewals, statistics which include two winners.
Kempton record of course winners in the toteplacepot finale:
All references to placed horses on these pages are based on an exact science regarding general place terms offered by bookmakers and totepool.com
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Kempton card on Wednesday:
1--Eve Johnson Houghton
1--Anabel K Murphy
1--Saeed Bin Suroor
58 declared runners