HAMILTON – JUNE 13
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2017: £197.40 (6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced)
Breakdown of the percentage of successful units in each Placepot race last year and the prices of the horses which finished in the frame – favourites which finished out of the Placepot positions offered in brackets:
Race 1: 29.9% units went through – 5/1 – 33/1 – 17/2 (11/4)
Race 2: 21.1% of the remaining units when through – 4/1 & 11/2 (8/13)
Race 3: 57.4% of the remaining units went through – 4/1 – 10/3* - 13/2
Race 4: 47.0% of the remaining units went through – 9/2 – 7/2* - 13/2
Race 5: 46.9% of the remaining units went through – 11/4* - 8/1 – 28/1
Race 6: 45.8% of the units secured the dividend – 11/4* - 9/2 – 14/1
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Hamilton:
Leg 1 (6.00): 3 (Berlios), 2 (Vallarta) & 7 (Merdon Castle)
Leg 2 (6.30): 3 (March For Men) & 4 (Mr Diamond)
Leg 3 (7.00): 2 (Rosemay), 6 (Titus Bolt) & 5 (Granite City Doc)
Leg 4 (7.30): 3 (Mr Wagyu) & 6 (Cameo Star)
Leg 5 (8.00): 3 (Natajack), 7 (Colur Contrast) & 4 (Haymarket)
Leg 6 (8.30): 1 (Afandem) & 3 (Logi)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
6.00: Although representing no value for money whatsoever, it’s difficult to ignore the claims of BERLIOS, especially from a Placepot perspective whilst others to consider in this amateur rider event (careful where you tread) include VALLARTA and MERDON CASTLE.
Favourite factor: Two favourites have won during the last decade, though other gold medallists included those returned at 40/1, 20/1 12/1 & 10/1. That said, five of the last six market leaders secured Placepot positions.
Record of the four course winners in the opening event:
2/3—Dodgy Bob (good to firm & soft)
1/6—Picks Pinta (good to firm)
1/5—Gaelic Wizard (good to firm)
6.30: Diviner has at least won a race from three assignments thus far but it would be disappointing in the extreme if either MARCH FOR MEN and/or MR DIAMOND failed to finish ahead of Mark Johnston’s Wolverhampton scorer who has subsequently disappointed. The relevant newcomers hail from the powerful yards of Tom Dascombe and Richard Fahey respectively and connections would be miffed to say the least if their youngsters failed to become involved in the finish of such a weak contest.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 8/13 favourite failed to finish in the ‘short field’ frame. New readers might like to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify via Placepot and each way perspectives.
7.00: Six of the seven winners have carried a maximum burden of nine stones which definitely brings the likes of TITUS BOLT and GRANITE CITY DOC into the equation. There has been overnight support for ROSEMAY however which adds interest to proceedings. Ian Jardine’s Mayson filly has been well placed by the trainer and but for the negative weight trend in place, Joe Fanning’s mount would be a strong selection.
Favourite factor: We still await the first successful favourite via seven renewals to date. That said, six of the nine market leaders secured Placepot positions.
Record of the course winner in the third race:
1/6—Falcon’s Fire (soft)
7.30: There will be worse outsiders on the card than Zumurud I’ll wager, one of five raiders on the card for Rebecca Bastiman whose ratio at the track this year stands at 3/9, stats which have produced a level stake profit thus far. That all said, MR WAGYU commands plenty of respect, whilst the Placepot chance for CAMEO STAR is also there for all to see.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 11/4 favourite duly obliged.
8.00: Six of the seven winners have carried a minimum burden of 9-2, stats which eliminate three horses from the field from my perspective if we take potential jockey ‘allowances’ into consideration. At various positions in the market this morning, the trio which make most appeal consists of NATAJACK, COLOUR CONTRAST and HAYMARKET.
Favourite factor: Market leaders of one description or another have secured five of the seven renewals thus far, with favourites coming to the gig on a four timer on this occasion. Six of the eight favourites finished in the frame (exact science).
Record of the two course winners in the field:
1/14—Rioja Day (good to soft)
8.30: Whilst I bypassed one of Mark Johnston’s horses (Diviner) with a supposedly obvious chance earlier on the card, I will not desert Mark’s representative AFANDEM in this grade/company, especially with the Vale Of York gelding having attracted support overnight. Connections might have most to fear from the hat trick seeker LOGI.
Favourite factor: The Placepot finale is a new race on the Hamilton card.
Record of the four course winners in the Placepot finale:
2/3—Logi (2 x good to firm)
1/1—Zylan (good to firm)
7/33—Economic Crisis (3 x good to soft – 2 x soft – good & heavy)
5/21—Alexandrakollantai (2 x good – good to firm – good to soft – heavy)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.