MUSSELBURGH – FEBRUARY 14
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2017: No meeting
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Musselburgh:
Leg 1 (2.00): 3 (Misfits), 2 (So Satisfied) & 5 (Dun Far Good)
Leg 2 (2.30): 1 (Silver Concorde) & 2 (The Road Home)
Leg 3 (3.00): 1 (Divine Spear), 3 (Derintother Yank)
Leg 4 (3.30): 3 (Titus Bolt), 8 (Our Lucas) & 6 (Devils Water)
Leg 5 (4.00): 3 (Canny Style) & 4 (Nendrum)
Leg 6 (4.30): 6 (Professor Plum), 5 (Rising Marienbard) & 1 (Nefyn Bay)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.00: MISFITS is proving almost as strong as SO SATISFIED in the markets overnight whilst DUN FAW GOOD is the each way alternative call. Course and distance winner MISFITS is the first of nine runners on the card for Lucinda Russell who looks booked for a good day in Edinburgh.
Favourite factor: This is a new fixture on the calendar.
Course winners in the opening event:
1/4—So Satisfied (soft)
2.30: This should be something of an exercise gallop for SILVER CONCORDE over lone rival THE ROAD HOME though Lucinda Russell’s latter named raider in unbeaten at the track (albeit via a 1/1 ratio) though that said, Silver Concorde’s 2/3 record is none too shabby. I’ll be ‘in the bar’ (as is usually the case in ‘win only’ events) hoping that both runners come home safely, with the best horse on the day prevailing.
Course winners in the second race:
2/3—Silver Concorde (2 x good)
1/1—The Road Home (good to soft)
3.00: DIVINE SPEAR looks another ‘good thing’ on the card, with Nicky Henderson having offered just one long distance traveller on Wednesday. Musselburgh is a decent steeplechase track from my viewpoint whilst all races suit front runners in general terms. Few horse come from a long way back in the pack at this venue. How much ground DERINTOTHER YANK will have to make up turning for home in an unknown factor, though Donald McCain’s raider is the only threat to the market leader according to the gospel of yours truly.
3.30: DEVILS WATER has failed to complete the course on his last three starts, though Jane Walton’s raider could offer a little each way value at around the 16/1 mark this morning if you fancy a small speculative win and place wager. TITUS BOLT is another each way horse to consider, albeit more logical winners in the field include OUR LUCAS and (arguably) Toarmandowithlove.
4.00: Kevin Ryan cannot do a lot wrong at present, given his recent 5/16 ratio which includes a 66/1 winner for good measure! CANNY STYLE will start at the other end of the starting price spectrum this afternoon, with Brian Hughes expected to boot home another winner north of the border. NENDRUM is emerging as a semi-serious horse on the exchanges this morning, with plenty of (realistic) money in the positive queue for Sandy Thomson’s raider which is interesting, given Sandy’s 10/1 winner at the track last week.
Course winners in the fifth contest on the card:
1/1—Canny Style (good)
1/2—Nendrum (good to soft)
4.30: A tough Placepot finale in all honesty whereby I am searching for half decent potential ‘outsiders’ offering value for money on the Placepot front. PROFESSOR PLUM and RISING MARIENBARD appeal as much as anything else, whilst I will add NEFYN BAY into the Placepot equation in a race which fails to set the pulse racing.
Course winners in the Placepot finale:
1/1—Nefyn Bay (soft)
1/5—Professor Plum (good)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Musselburgh card on Wednesday – followed by their seasonal (in brackets) and five year ratios at the track + profits/losses accrued on both counts:
9 runners—Lucinda Russell (7/40 +15) – 34/248 – loss of 13 points
4—Victor Thompson (0/4) – 1/17 – level profit/loss
3—James Ewart (0/7) – 13/81 +8
3—Donald McCain (4/20 +1) – 28/134 +27
2—Stuart Coltherd (0/2) – 2/27 – loss of 12
2—Susan Corbett (0/15) – 3/55 – loss of 37
2—Keith Dalgleish (5/14 +1) – 11/44 – loss of 1
2—Micky Hammond (0/5) – 1/30 loss of 28
2—Iain Jardine (0/17) – 4/47 – loss of 7
2—Rebecca Menzies (1/9 – loss of 3) – 5/35 +21
2—Sandy Thompson (6/18 +22) – 16/65 +62
2—Alistair Whillans (2/10 +2) – 4/45 – loss of 12
+ 16 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
51 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Towcester: £193.50 – 8 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 4 unplaced
Lingfield: £36.90 – 6 favourites – 4 winners & 2 unplaced
Wolverhampton: £9.60 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 4 placed – 1 unplaaced