BEVERLEY - AUGUST 16
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £47.70 (6 favourites - 2 winners - 2 placed - 2 unplaced)
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Beverley:
Leg 1 (2.10): 7 (Dandy’s Beano) & 5 (Tale Of Tails)
Leg 2 (2.40): 4 (Kyllachy Dragon) & 1 (Wensley)
Leg 3 (3.10): 3 (Baileys Excelerate), 1 (International Man) & 4 (Carlini)
Leg 4 (3.40): 7 (Talent Scout), 2 (Merdon Castle) & 4 (Dream Team)
Leg 5 (4.10): 3 (Sunglider), 1 (Hollywood Road) & 4 (Maraakib)
Leg 6 (4.40): 7 (Liquid Gold), 5 (Inflexiball) & 2 (Perceived)
Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.10: Kevin Ryan has already saddled a dozen two-year-old winners this season and with course and distance winner Arcavello carrying a penalty, Kevin’s DANDYS BEANO is the call. Connections of Kevin’s Dandy Man filly might have most to fear from TALE OF TAILS whose trainer Brian Ellison has saddled four of his last five runners to winning effect.
Favourite factor: This (being a Novice event in general terms) is a new event with which to open proceedings at Beverley on the first day of their two day fixture.
Record of the course winner in the opening race:
1/1--Arcavello (good to soft)
2.40: The 10/1 trade press quote about KYLLACHY DRAGON looks particularly fanciful this morning with Iain Jardine’s raider possibly being sent off at half of those odds later today. Penalised WENSLEY makes a little more appeal than the top weight in the first race given the nature of his Pontefract win at the third time of asking. The success for the Poet’s Voice colt came on the back of a fine runner up effort here Beverley under fast conditions and as the victory was recorded on soft ground, weather conditions don’t appear to be a worry for connections either way.
Favourite factor: This is the second division of the opening contest.
3.10: Any horse with the word Baileys involved in the name can usually be regarded as ‘Johnston property’ and BAILEY’S EXCELERATE represents Mark and his team who need some winners, if only to help to erase the horror of the loss of their fine thoroughbred Permian at the weekend. Mark’s Excelebration colt made a good impression at the first time of asking at Musselburgh and there is every chance that Joe Fanning could ride another winner for his boss. Better drawn types such as INTERNATIONAL MAN and CARLINI should be there or thereabouts at the business end of proceedings.
Favourite factor: Yet another Novice race whereby no history is in place.
3.40: TALENT SCOUT has recorded all of his five victories here on the Westwood under fast conditions and you will have more idea later in the day than yours truly in terms of the state of the ground. Nine runners are set to line up in this event but in terms of likely winners, that number can be reduced to four, at least until we look at the favourite factor below. Although Chiswick Bey in an eleven time winner, those victories average out at one in seven, whereby the 6/4 general quote this morning makes little appeal. I’ll opt for MERDON CASTLE and DREAM TEAM to follow TALENT SCOUT home if conditions are quick enough by the time that flag fall arrives.
Favourite factor: Three of the nine favourites have prevailed though the other winners scored at 50/1-12/1-11/1-4/1-7/2, just to keep your feet well and truly on the ground. Six of the eleven favourites have finished in the fame this far (exact science).
Record of the course winner in the third contest:
5/17--Talent Scout (5 x good to firm)
1/5—Chiswick Bey (good to firm)
4.10: Ten of the last eleven winners have carried weights of 9-3 or more, whilst five-year-olds have secured four of the last nine contests, even though vintage representative were only conspicuous by their absence twelve months ago. 20/1 chance MARAAKIB is the lone five-year-old this time around and though David O’Meara’s raider is the supposed ‘rag’ in the field, I’m hoping that the trend works out from a Placepot perstive at least. More logical winners include stable companion SUNGLIDER and HOLLYWOOD ROAD.
Favourite factor: Eight of the last sixteen winners were returned in double figures, with prices ranging from 10/1 to 50/1. Six of the last twelve market leaders have finished in the money.
Record of the course winners in the fifth event on the card:
2/2—Sunglider (good & good to firm)
4.40: Five-year-olds have ruled the waves in the Placepot finale as well of late, vintage representatives have secured five of the last eight contests. Hat trick seeker INFLEXIBALL and PERCEIVED are the two relevant entries this time around, though from a win perspective at least, LIQUID GOLD could be prove to be the ‘improver’ in the field.
Favourite factor: Two of the last five favourites have scored, though they are the only market leaders to have prevailed during the last eleven years.
Record of course winners in the Placepot finale:
1/10--Mysterial (good to firm)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers who have saddled more than one winner on the corresponding Beverley card on Wednesday during the last five years – alongside the starting prices of their gold medallists and number of runners today:
4 winners—Mark Johnston (4/1, 2/1*, 7/4* & 5/6*) – 4 runners
2 winners—Karl Burke (4/1 & 3/1*) – No runners until Friday
2 winners—Scott Dixon (18/1 & 16/1) – 1 runner
2 winners—Mick Easterby (12/1 & 5/1) – 2 runners
2 winners—Tim Easterby (9/2 & 5/2*) – 3 runners
2 winners—David Loughnane (11/2 & 5/1) – None – 1 tomorrow
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Salisbury: £32.70 – 7 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 3 unplaced
Bangor: This is a new fixture on the racing calendar
Newton Abbot: £81.00 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 3 placed – 2 unplaced2
Kempton: £233.60 – 6 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 2 unplaced