HAYDOCK – MARCH 21
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2017: £42.30 (6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 1 unplaced)
Breakdown of the percentage of successful units in each Placepot race last year and the prices of the horses which finished in the frame – favourites which finished out of the Placepot positions offered in brackets:
Race 1: 73.2% units went through – 3/1 & 10/11*
Race 2: 79.0% of the remaining units when through – 1/14* (Win only)
Race 3: 64.1% of the remaining units went through – 7/4* & 9/4
Race 4: 18.4% of the remaining units went through – 7/2 & 16/1 (1/2*)
Race 5: 42.2% of the remaining units went through – 7/1 & 2/1*
Race 6: 52.5% of the units secured the dividend – Evens* (Win only)
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Haydock:
Leg 1 (2.10): 2 (Midnight Shadow) & 3 (Think Ahead)
Leg 2 (2.40): 3 (Chicago Lady), 5 (Touch Of Velvett) & 2 (Bitumen Belle)
Leg 3 (3.15): 6 (Hills Of Dubai), 5 (Just Georgie) & 4 (Bako De La Saulaie)
Leg 4 (3.50): 5 (Snougar), 3 (Absolutely Dylan) & 2 (Doc Carver)
Leg 5 (4.20): 2 (Until Winning), 8 (Swing Hard) & 6 (Whiskey Chaser)
Leg 6 (4.55): 1 (Calipso Collonges) & 3 (Champagne George)
Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.10: THINK AHEAD looks the only logical danger to MIDNIGHT SHADOW who is remaining very firm around the 1/2 mark at the time of writing. Donald Whillans has his team in good form (3/6 of late) but Keyboard Gangster probably needs the favourite to find trouble negotiating the obstacles to score here whilst possibly finding Think Ahead difficult to pass at the business end of proceedings.
Favourite factor: The two favourites to date have secured gold and silver medals alongside Placepot positions.
2.40: The two outsiders in the trade press are going to be included in my Placepot mix today; despite their 7/1 & 25/1 quotes. There has been some support for TOUCH OF VELVETT overnight, whilst Phil Kirby (BITUMEN BELLE) has rarely had his runners in better form, with five of his last eleven runners having prevailed. For all that, CHICAGO LADY is the more logical winner of the contest.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Haydock card.
3.15: Recent winners HILLS OF DUBAI and JUST GEORGIE represent some value down at the bottom of the weights, whilst BAKO DE LA SAULAIE also receives concessions from the other pair in the ‘short field’ line-up. New readers might like to know that the term short field relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way and Placepot perspectives.
Favourite factor: Both favourites (5/2 & 7/4) have prevailed this far.
3.50: SNOUGAR is another live Donald McCain raider on the card (see stats below) and Donald’s Arakan gelding can follow up his recent soft ground Ayr victory successfully in this grade/company. The pick of the opposition arguably includes ABSOLUTELY DYLAN and DOC CARVER.
Favourite factor: This is another new contest on the Haydock programme.
4.20: Jonjo O’Neill ‘boasts’ stats of just 5/96 in the NH sector in 2018 whereby I will pass over his raider Spookydooky this afternoon in favour of UNTIL WINNING, SWING HARD and WHISKEY CHASER. The reserve nomination is awarded to Solid Strike in a competitive (if ordinary) contest.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 2/1 favourite secured a Placepot position without winning the relevant event.
Record of the only course winner on the Placepot card:
1/2—Whiskey Chaser (heavy)
4.55: This contest should be relatively plain sailing for CALIPSO COLLONGES though thanks to another success yesterday, I can afford to add a another runners into the Placepot equation in case a fencing error stops the odds on market leader in his tracks. CHAMPAGNE GEORGE receives the alternative vote.
Favourite factor: Both 5/1 and 1/2 market leaders are still on the missing list after failing to reach the frame thus far.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Stats relating to Haydock’s card on Wednesday:
Donald McCain has only saddled more winners at Bangor (144), Sedgefield (97) and Carlisle (68) than the trainer has secured at Haydock (65) down the years.
Donald’s ratio this season at the track is outstanding, boasting a ratio of 8/17 (47% strike rate), stats which have produced 15 points of level stake profit.
Donald saddles five runners today: Chicago Lady (2.40), Hills Of Dubai (3.15), Snougar (3.50), Whiskey Chaser (4.20) & Tailor Tom (4.55)