CATTERICK – JANUARY 24
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2017: £24.40 (6 favourites: 3 winners – 1 placed – 2 unplaced)
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Catterick:
Leg 1 (1.20): 3 (Jaunty Flyer) & 9 (Teescomponents Lad)
Leg 2 (1.55): 1 (Pinch Of Ginger), 9 (Major Ridge) & 8 (Ronnie Lawson)
Leg 3 (2.30): 4 (Sakhee’s City), 3 (Jimmy Breekie) & 5 (Apterix)
Leg 4 (3.00): 1 (Bentelimar), 2 (Cracking Find), 4 (Somewhere To Be) & 3 (Justforjames)
Leg 5 (3.35): 6 (Kelka) & 5 (Totalize)
Leg 6 (4.05): 6 (Derrynane) & 7 (Notebook)
Suggested stake: 288 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.20: The front pair in the market finished well clear of their rivals twelve months ago, albeit in the wrong order for the majority of the investors. We appear to have a similar race in prospect here, with JAUNTY FLYER and TEESCOMPONENTS LAD having been declared. I wouldn’t back either horse to win the race with your money though from a Placepot perspective, there appear to be few alternative options. Haasab looks booked for third spot from my viewpoint.
Favourite factor: The two favourites to date have secured gold and silver medals alongside Placepot positions at odds of 9/4 and 8/11 respectively.
1.55: Nine-year-olds have won five of the last seven contests (my selection finished second last year at 10/1) and this year’s two relevant entries MAJOR RIDGE (won the race twelve months ago) and RONNIE LAWSON will both represent yours truly in the Placepot mix this time around. That said, PINCH OF GINGER demands plenty of respect and is added into the equation. Donald McCain is the leading trainer at this corresponding meeting in recent times and with five of his last eleven runners having won, PINCH OF GINGER will be a popular order at around the 3/1 mark I’ll wager.
Favourite factor: Four of the eleven market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include one successful (joint) favourite. Ballabriggs won this event in 2010, the year before Donald McCain’s raider went on to secured Grand National glory at Aintree.
Record of the course winner in the second race:
1/1—Major Ridge (soft)
2.30: Six, seven and eight-year-olds have won seven of the ten renewals contested during the last eleven years between them, via less than 56% of the total number of runners (60/108). Last year’s first named raider finished second at 33/1 and the pick of the three relevant representatives on this occasion appear to be SAKHEE’S CITY, JIMMY BREEKIE and APTERIX. The latter named raider represents Brian Ellison who also saddles the fourth vintage contender Always Resolute.
Favourite factor: Five of the eleven favourites have finished in the (exact science) frame, statistics which include one (7/2**) successful favourite from a win perspective.
Record of the course winner in the third contest on the card:
1/1—Sakhee’s City (good to soft)
1/2—Always Resolute (soft)
3.00: Micky Hammond’s runners can rarely be ignored in this part of the country whatever prices are in evidence whereby I will be include Micky’s outsider of four here, namely JUSTFORJAMES. Yes, the other three horses are more logical winners but the thought of the ‘rag’ winning to set fire to so many Placepot units is too difficult to resist. For the record, the other trio is listed in marginal order of preference as BENTELIMAR, CRACKING FIND and SOMEWHERE TO BE.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Catterick card.
Record of the course winner in the fourth race:
1/3—Cracking Find (good to soft)
3.35: Although matters would take a distinct turn for the worse if a non runner reared its ugly head in this event, I feel duty bound to rely on KELKA and TOTALIZE (preferred in that order) to get us safely through to the Placepot finale.
Favourite factor: Another new event on the Catterick programme.
Record of the course winner in the fifth event:
4.05: Seven-year-olds had secured six of the twelve available toteplacepot positions, statistics which include four of the five (12/1-7/2*-11/4*-9/4*) winners. Indeed, last year’s only vintage representative scored and it would come as no shock if the likes of DERRYNANE or the 2016 winner NOTEBOOK added to their tally. When approaching the last leg of our favourite wager, it’s as well to have short priced horses on your side on occasions because if the dividend looks likely to pay well with just the one leg to overcome, you can lay fancied horses to be placed at really short odds is you want to take out ‘insurance’.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 9/2 favourite was brought down by the only faller in the contest at the first flight five years ago. The 2013 meeting was abandoned when we were all trapped in our homes via snowdrifts before the next two market leaders obliged. Last year’s 4/1 market leader scraped into a Placepot postion by securing a bronze gong.
Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:
3/7—Snowed In (2 x good to soft & soft)
2/3—Notebook (2 x soft)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Catterick card on Wednesday – followed by their seasonal (in brackets) and five year ratios at the track + profits/losses accrued on both counts:
5 runners—Micky Hammond (3/22 +4) – 12/147 – loss of 64
4—Victor Thompson (First runners at Catterick this season) – 0/2
3—Laura Mongan (0/3) – 0/5
3—Sue Smith (3/13 – loss of 3 points) – 27/91 +75
3—Brian Ellison (1/5 – level profit/loss on the season) – 18/66 – loss of 14
2—Rose Dobbin (2/10 +2) – 2/38 – loss of 25
2—Joanne Foster (0/3) – 1/36 – loss of 31
2—Iain Jardine (First runners at Catterick this season) – 0/13
2—Donald McCain (2/19 – loss of 8) – 36/166 – loss of 14
2—Tim Vaughan (0/3) – 0/14
2—Mark Walford (First runners at Catterick this season) – 1/24 – loss of 21
+ 19 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
49 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Exeter: £37.60 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 2 unpalced
Lingfield: £95.80 – 6 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 2 unplaced
Kempton: £460.50 – No winners – 3 placed – 3 unplaced