Placepot pointers – Wednesday 25th May

NEWTON ABBOT – MAY 25

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £315.00 (7 favourites - No winners - 3 placed - 4 unplaced)

 

Tuesday's Placepot permutation at Newton Abbot: 

Leg 1 (6.10): 2 (Mia's Storm) & 1 (Auntie Ann)

Leg 2 (6.40): 2 (Dusk Till Dawn), 8 (Molly Oscar) & 1 (Rainbow Storm)

Leg 3 (7.10): 11 (Beau Phil) & 12 (Dry Ol' Party)

Leg 4 (7.40): 1 (Gentleman Jon), 4 (Native Robin) & 3 (Perfect Timing)

Leg 5 (8.10): 15 (Replacement Plan), 8 (Badilou) & 1 (Rior)

Leg 6 (8.40): 1 (Armaans Wish) & 10 (The Two Amigos)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

6.10: It's difficult to oppose anything that Alan King saddles at this moment in time, the trainer having won with six of his last eleven runners at the time of writing, notwithstanding a good ratio in the week or so leading up to the figures in questIon. Alan has offered the green light to MIA'S STORM on this occasion, with connections probably having most to fear from Kim Bailey's recent course winner AUNTIE ANN who scored on good ground three weeks ago.  Although conditions are good to soft as I write this analysis, the ground could be good by the time that flag fall arrives which might bring the pair close together.

Favourite factor: Last year's inaugural 3/10 favourite finished out of the frame in a 'short field' event.  New readers might want to know that the term 'short field' relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify for each way/Placepot purposes.

Newton Abbot record of course winners in the opening event:

1/1--Auntie Ann (good)

6.40: DUSK TILL DAWN is one of David Pipe's three runners on the card and as a seven-year-old, David's King's Theatre gelding is one of the youngest horses in the line up, whilst being blinkered for the first time.  Others for the overnight mix include RAILWAY STORM and Johnny Farrelly's recent Plumpton winner MOLLY OSCAR.  Johnny targets these southern 'gaff tracks' to good effect from his small yard and Joshua Moore's mount can go close on similar ground, providing showers avoid the local area.

Favourite factor: Last year's inaugural frame was filled by horses returned at 67/1-12/1-2/1*.

7.10: Paul Nicholls and Philip Hobbs are two top trainers who have just one runner on the card and they clash here, with BEAU PHIL and DRY OL' PARTY (respectively) having been declared.  Harry Cobden's claim aboard the first named raider could bring the pair together as the horses turn for home for the final time.  That, BEAU PHIL remains a maiden following six assignments whereas DRY OL' PARTY has won two of her last eight races. If both horses are to be denied, GO ODEE GO might prove to be the joker in the pack.  Dan Skelton's representative has gained both of his victories at this time of the year which is another pointer to his chance, though Alan King's top weighted raider MCCABE CREEK ran out at Kempton last time out which raises a question mark this time around.  Connections might suggest that the horse was rapidly running out of real estate at the time the six-year-old ducked out at the flight two from home.

Favourite factor: Two clear market leaders and one joint favourite have won during the last five years.  Six of the eleven favourites have have claimed Placepot positions via eight renewals during the last last decade.

Newton Abbot record of course winners in the third race:

1/1--Dovils Date (good to soft)

1/1--Handy Andy (good to firm)

1/4--Dry Ol' Party (good)

7.40: Colin Tizzard has let a fortnight drift by since he saddled four losers on a Wincanton card but the stable has three contenders on this card, the pick of which might prove to be GENTLEMAN JON who has the benefit of Paddy Brennan in the plate.  A three time winner down the years, GENTLEMAN JON has dipped under the official 122 mark when winning his only handicap to date which is significant from my viewpoint.  NATIVE ROBIN and dual course and distance winner PERFECT TIMING might offer most resistance at the business end of proceedings.

Favourite factor: The third (4/1) favourite won in a four runner 'win only' contest in the first running of this event twelve months ago.

Newton Abbot record of course winners in the fourth contest:

2/3--Perfect Timing (good & good to firm)

8.10: REPLACEMENT PLAN could prove to be the pick of Richard Woollacott's trio of runners on Wednesday, the Flemensfirth raider having been dropped six pounds following two efforts when beaten less than twenty lengths.  Yes, nineteen lengths is a long way (on both occasions) but six pounds is a fair concession by the official 'judge' whereby Conor O'Farrell's mount is one of the  more interesting each way options on the card.  Other to consider over your favourite late night tipple/early morning beverage include BADILOU, RIOR and (possibly) course and distance winner FUSE WIRE.

Favourite factor: Last year's inaugural fame was filled by horses returned at 9/2-6/4*-25/1.

Newton Abbot record of course winners in the fifth race:

1/3--Hija (good to soft)

1/5--Fuse Wire (good)

1/6--Bernisdale (good)

8.40: Nicky Henderson (ARMAANS WISH) and David Pipe (THE TWO AMIGOS) should claim the finale between them I'll wager, and there seems little point in trying to find an option when two winners boast such obvious Placepot claims.

Favourite factor: Seven of the last eight winners have scored at a top price of 9/2, statistics which include three winners.  That said the last three market leaders have all finished out with the washing.

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All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Newton Abbot card on Wednesday:

4--Jimmy Frost (10/117 at Newton Abbot during the last five years)

4--Seamus Mullins (7/61)

3--Martin Hill (14/88)

3--Alan King (3/13)

3--David Pipe (14/129)

3--Colin Tizzard (10/100)

3--Richard Woollacott (5/79)

2--Dai Burchell (2/10)

2--Chris Down (6/72)

2--Johnny Farrelly (6/39)

2--Nigel Hawke (3/31)

2--Alan Jones (1/34)

2--Martin Keighley (2/24)

2--Nick Mitchell (3/23)

2--Neil Mulholland (8/70)

2--Jeremy Scott (11/53)

2--Tim Vaughan (12/87)

+ 28 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

71 declared runners

 

Trainers who have already saddled winners at Newton Abbot this season - with their number of runners on Wednesday

2/5--Colin Tizzard (11/4 & 13/8 - 3 runners at Newton Abbot on Wednesday)

2/8--Paul Nicholls (3/1 & 1/2* - 1 runner)

1/1--Kim Bailey (12/1 - 1 runner)

1/1--Kevin Bishop (6/1 - 1 runner)

1/2--Nick Mitchell (28/1 - 2 runners)

1/3--David Pipe (11/4* - 3 runners)

1/6--Richard Woollacott (14/1 - 3 runners)

 

 

 

 

 

 

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