WINCANTON - MARCH 2
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £47.50 (8 favourites - 3 winners - 3 placed - 2 unplaced)
Average Placepot dividend (all codes) in 2016 (calendar year): £629.82
Average NH Placepot dividend in 2016: £938.83
Average Wincanton Placepot dividend in 2016: £216.20 (3 meetings)
Favourite records at Wincanton in 2016:
20 races - 22 favourites - 8 winners - 8 placed - 6 unplaced (exact science)
Odds on ratio: 2/4
Quick stat: Colin Tizzard is enjoying a great spell at present, notwithstanding the fact that Colin has saddled the most winners at Wincanton in 2016, four in total. Paul Nicholls is at close quarters on the three winner mark. The two trainers 'reverse numbers' in the entries list on the Wincanton card on Wednesday.
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Wincanton:
Leg 1 (2.10): 1 (Antartica De Thaix) & 4 (Biretta)
Leg 2 (2.45): 2 (Quite By Chance) & 3 (La Vaticane)
Leg 3 (3.20): 4 (Pacha Du Polder), 3 (Big Fella Thanks) & 1 (Flaming Gorge)
Leg 4 (3.55): 2 (Tagrita) & 5 (Murrayana)
Leg 5 (4.30): 1 (Dueling Banjos), 2 (Bugsie Malone) & 9 (Noble Ned)
Leg 6 (5.05): 3 (Dont Call Me Oscar) & 1 (Abyaat)
Suggested stake: 144 lines to a 20p unit stake
2.10: According to my records, all ten favourites saddled by Harry Fry during the month of February were beaten, whereby I would not be rushing in to back BIRETTA if Harry's five-year-old headed the market, albeit his Placepot chance is there for all to see. The recent (heavy ground) Taunton weather ANTARTICA DE THAIX is asked to give weight all round but with the rain we have endured here in the west country on Tuesday, conditions might enable the Paul Nicholls raider to follow up successfully.
Favourite factor: This is the first of three new races on the Wincanton card.
2.45: Horses carrying a minimum burden of 11-1 have secured all three contests to date, along the five available Placepot positions. The stats eliminate the bottom three horses in the weights, whereby we are left to assess the merits of LA VATICANE, QUITE BY CHANCE and (possibly) SI C'ETAIT VRAI, the trio being listed in order of preference.
Favourite factor: Both (7/2 & 2/1) market leaders had failed to reach the frame in their respective events before last year's even money market leader secured the silver medal alongside a Placepot position.
Wincanton record of course winners in the second contest on the card:
3/8--Quite By Chance (Dual C&D winner)
3.20: The ground should be soft enough to enable BIG FELLA THANKS to go close in defence of his crown. Paul Nicholls (ex-trainer of Big Fella Thanks) will be hoping for better luck with PACHA DU POLDER who parted company with the 'well documented' rider at Fakenham last time out. FLAMING GORGE could outrun his odds to get into the money.
Favourite factor: Five of the eight favourites have won, though the other three market leaders all finished out of the frame (exact science).
Wincanton record of course winners in the third race:
2/3--Big Fella Thanks (C&D winner)
3.55: With no trends to work with in the new event, the course and distance winners might be the safest 'edges' to side with, naming TAGRITA, MURRAYANA and SOMERSET JEM against the remaining five contenders.
Favourite factor: This is another new contest on the programme.
Wincanton record of course winners in the fourth contest:
3/4--Tagrita (C&D winner)
1/1--Murrayana (C&D winner)
1/10--Titch Strider (C&D winner)
1/2--Somerset Jem (C&D winner)
4.30: Just as the ground was drying up around these parts after the wettest start I have endured as far back as I can remember, the rain has returned which might thwart the winning chance of DUELING BANJOS, though it's difficult to leave Kim Bailey's Kempton winner out of the Placepot mix. NOBLE NED is an each way/Placepot type to consider for Harry Fry's stable which need to start striking form with Cheltenham on the horizon. BUGIE MALONE is the other potential gold medallist in the line up from my viewpoint.
Favourite factor: This the last of the new races on the Placepot card.
5.05: Like Big Fella Thanks earlier on the card, DONT CALL ME OSCAR tries to follow up his victory twelve months on and given his decent course record (see stats below), the nine-year-old might make a mockery of his PPP form figures this season, especially as the ground will be easier than he has faced of late. The main threats appear to include the top weights in the handicap, namely ABYAAT and ROYAL SALUTE.
Favourite factor: Three of the four market leaders have secured Placepot positions via three renewals to date, statistics which include one (5/2**) winner.
Wincanton record of course winners in the toteplacepot finale:
2/4--Dont Call Me Oscar (Dual C&D winner)
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Wincanton card on Wednesday:
5--Neil Mulholland (Wincanton stats this season: 1/32)
4--Paul Nicholls (10/37)
3--Harry Fry (2/12)
3--Colin Tizzard (8/35)
2--Kim Bailey (0/1)
2--Dai Burchell (0/2)
2--Alexandra Dunn (0/1)
2--Chris Gordon (0/8)
2--Polly Gundry (1/2)
2--Anthony Honeyball (3/7)
2--John Panvert (0/7)
2--Robert Walford (0/8)
2--Venetia Williams (3/20)
+ 24 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
57 declared runners