CATTERICK – MARCH 7
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2017: £92.30 (9 favourites – 4 winners & 5 unplaced)
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Catterick:
Leg 1 (1.50): 1 (Hurricane Hollow) & 2 (Young Tom)
Leg 2 (2.20): 5 (Verni) & 1 (Cracking Find)
Leg 3 (2.50): 5 (Quick Wave), 6 (State Sovereignty) & 11 (Stylish Dancer)
Leg 4 (3.20): 3 (Square Viviani), 2 (Dica), 4 (Uno Valeroso) & 1 (Leap Dearg)
Leg 5 (3.50): 1 (Allmyown), 5 (Houndscourt) & 4 (Turtle Cask)
Leg 6 (4.20): 2 (Battle Dust) & 3 (Duhallow Tornado)
Suggested stake: 288 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.50: I am suffering from what I believe to be a migraine (neve troubled by these before) whereby I apologise in advance for any typos/lack of detail this morning. Better this week than next I guess with Cheltenham in mind. Upwards and onward in positive mode by suggesting that HURRICANE HOLLOW should account for YOUNG TOM despite the concession of 19 pounds (even taking the relevant claim into account), with the other three runners running from above their proper marks. Discoverie represents Ken Slack though and I have learned not to be too dismissive about his runners in the past, whatever their prices.
Favourite factor: Two of the three market leaders have finished in the frame via two renewals by winning their respective events at 4/6 & 3/1 (joint favourite).
Record of the course winner in the opening event:
2/9—Discoverie (good to soft & soft)
2.20: Philip Hobbs is slowly (but surely) emerging from the gloom which has darkened his stable for several weeks now and the trainer seems to have found an ideal opportunity for VERNI to secure his fourth victory in the Rooney colours. Sue Smith’s runners at Catterick can rarely be dismissed whereby course winner CRACKING FIND is preferred to De Dollar Man as the main threat, if only from a value for money perspective.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Catterick card.
Record of the course winner in the second race:
1/3—Cracking Find (good to soft)
2.50: Five-year-olds have secured four of the last seven renewals, claiming seven of the thirteen available Placepot positions via 32% of the total number of runners. I successfully took on a 2/11 favourite in the race two years ago because of the facts and figures, with QUICK WAVE easily looking the pick of this year’s three vintage representatives. Venetia Williams has saddled two of her four runners at the track this season to winning effect for good measure. STATE SOVERIEGNTY and Dan Skelton’s newcomer STYLISH DANCER are expected to offer most resistance at the business end of proceedings.
Favourite factor: Five of the nine favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include three successful market leaders albeit they were all returned as odds on jollies.
Record of the course winner in the third contest on the card:
1/1—Alohamona (good to soft)
3.20: Money for SQUARE VIVIANI making his debut for the Micky Hammond yard would add interest to proceedings in a race that should not prove difficult to win. Bits and pieces of support were forthcoming overnight though I cannot report a wholesale gamble on the seven-year-old as yet. The other three horses in this ‘win only’ contest have all got chances of one sort or another and the safest bet from a Placepot perspective is to include all four runners into the mix, hoping that the horse with the least units prevails.
Favourite factor: This is another new race on the Catterick programme.
Record of course winners in the field:
1/6—Uno Valeroso (soft)
3.50: The world and his dog know that Turtle Island stock like plenty of give in the ground but that was the case last year when Turtle Cask was beaten 44 lengths in the corresponding event on the card whereby I am passing over his chance (despite Ryan Day taking the ride) in favour of ALLMYOWN and HOUNDSCOURT. That said, Ryan’s mount in included in the Placepot mix in such a poor event.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 10/11 market leaders prevailed by a six length margin before all three of last year’s 4/1 co favourites finished out with the washing.
Record of course winners in the fifth event on the card:
1/6—Turtle Cask (soft)
4.20: Unusually in Hunter Chase events, horses aged in single figures have won twelve of the last thirteen renewals, though there is a clue in the title of the race which provides the reason. This is a 'Novice' Hunter Chase which makes all the difference in the world and the trend should be extended with the likes of BATTLE DUST, DUHALLOW TORNADO and (possibly) JUST CAUSE having been declared.
Favourite factor: Four (10/11, 6/4, 15/8 & 11/4) market leaders have prevailed of late alongside gold medallists which were returned at 50/1-25/1-20/1-18/1-16/1. That said, the last six market leaders have finished in the frame.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Catterick card on Wednesday – followed by their ratios at the track this season and then their five year figures + profits/losses accrued on both fronts:
3 runners—Micky Hammond (4/30 +19) – 13/155 – loss of 49
2—Pail Collins (No previous runners at the track recorded)
2—Joanne Foster (0/6) – 1/39 – loss of 34
2—Chris Grant (0/2) – 0/43
2—Phil Kirby (1/8 – loss of 1) – 3/49 – loss of 35
2—J A Nash (1/2 +5) – 1/2 +5
2—Dan Skelton (2/8 – loss of 3) – 8/27 – loss of 5
2—Sue Smith (5/21 – loss of 5) – 29/99 +73
2—Mike Sowersby (0/1) – 0/32)
2—Vic Thompson (0/1) – 0/6
26 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
47 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Fontwell was abandoned
Lingfield: £23.50 – 7 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced
Kempton: £60.70 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 1 unplaced