Placepot pointers – Wednesday April 27

ASCOT – APRIL 27

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £143.80 (6 favourites: 1 winner - 2 placed - 3 unplaced)

 

Saturday's Placepot permutation at Ascot: 

Leg 1 (2.10): 6 (The Last Lion) & 8 (Create A Dream)

Leg 2 (2.45): 3 (Light Up Our World) & 4 (Raaqy)

Leg 3 (3.20): 4 (Mizzou), 1 (Flying Officer) & 2 (Clever Cookie)

Leg 4 (3.55): 1 (Gifted Master) & 7 (Washington DC)

Leg 5 (4.30): 5 (Decorated Knight), 8 (Moheet) & 7 (Hors De Combat)

Leg 6 (5.00): 10 (Bastille Day), 2 (Steal The Scene), 7 (Chevalier) & 11 (Sabre Rock)

Suggested stake: 288 bets to 10p stakes

 

2.10: The declaration of CREATE A DREAM adds interest to proceedings though if you study the trainer statistics below, the record of Wesley A Ward is not quite as impressive as you might imagine. That said, I appreciate that many of his raiders have contested races here at Royal Ascot in the past, whereby Wesley's Oasis Dream raider will be included in my Placepot permutation alongside THE LAST LION.  Richard Hannon's pair STERLING SILVA and INNER CIRCLE make up my 'short list' against the remaining quartet of entries in an intriguing contest to kick-start Ascot's season.

Favourite factor: All fourteen winners have scored at 6/1 or less, whilst six favourites have prevailed to date.  Ten of the sixteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions. This meeting was transferred to Kempton four years ago but I have included the (high profile) results nonetheless.  

Trainer records with juveniles at Ascot - 2015 figures - last five year ratios in brackets

Charlie Hills (Captain Hawk) - 0/7 - (1/24)

Rod Millman (Compton Lane) - 0/1 - (0/6)

David Evans (Deningy) - 0/6 - (0/11)

Richard Hannon (Inner Circle & Sterling Silva) - 5/29 - (9/55)

Mark Johnston (The Last Lion) - 2/17 - (3/50)

John Ryan (Walter Ralieigh) - 0/3 - (0/4)

Wesley A Ward (Create A Dream) - 1/6 (3/15)

2.45: LIGHT UP OUT WORLD ran well on her seasonal debut in a Group 3 contest at Chelmsford eleven days ago to the extent that Richard Hannon's Zoffany representative looks something of a Placepot banker on a competitive card.  Richard's February foal made a belated start to the season last year before racking up a few decent efforts.  Connections might have most to fear from RAAQY, though the official figures suggest that LIGHT UP OUR WORLD has eight pounds and more to spare over these rivals.

Favourite factor: 14/15 winners have scored at odds of a top price of 8/1 or less.  Six favourites have won, whilst ten of the sixteen market leaders have finished in the frame.

Ascot record of course winners in the second race:

Dawn Of Hope--1/2

Trainer records with three-year-olds at Ascot - 2015 figures - last five year ratios in brackets

Roger Varian (Dawn Of Hope) - 1/6 - (5/31)

Charlie Hills (Doubly Motivation) - 0/7 - (1/24)

Richard Hannon (Light Up Our World) - 3/31 - (3/67)

Owen Burrows (Raaqy) - None - None

Mick Channon (Summer Icon) - 1/4 - (3/43)

3.20: MIZZOU attempts to follow up last year's victory in this contest and with Luca Cumani among the winners this week, Luca's five-year-old looks sure to figure prominently again, with the top pair in the weights expected to offer most resistance at the business end of proceedings, namely FLYING OFFICER and CLEVER COOKIE. MIZZOU runs off a five pound higher mark this time around which could make for an exciting finish to this year's Group 3 'Sagaro' contest.

Favourite factor: Sixteen of the last eighteen favourites have been beaten in this ‘Sagaro Stakes’, with just five of the nineteen market leaders finishing in the frame in the process. That said, sixteen of the last eighteen winners scored at odds of 8/1 or less.

Ascot record of course winners in the third contest on the card:

Flying Officer--1/2

Mizzou--1/3

Burmese--1/1

3.55: ‘Team Hannon’ has celebrated three winners via the last ten contests and Richard is represented by ORVAR on this occasion, though GIFTED MASTER and WASHINGTON DC are dangerous opponents and no mistake.  WASHINGTON DC won last year's 'Windsor Castle' at the royal meeting, whilst GIFTED MASTER has gone from strength to strength, attempting to take his current run of victories to five in this Group 3 event. A winner of his only Class 1 contest to date, Hugo Palmer's declaration ensures that WASHINGTON DC will have to come to the party at his best to have a chance of lifting the prize.

Favourite factor: Four of the last eleven favourites have won, whilst thirteen of the last eighteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.  Ten of the last twelve winners have scored at odds ranging between 6/4 and 7/1.

Ascot record of course winners in the fourth event:

Washington DC--1/1 (Windsor Castle Stakes)

Trainer records with three-year-olds at Ascot - 2015 figures - last five year ratios in brackets

Hugo Palmer (Gifted Master) - 0/6 - (0/11)

Martyn Meade (C Note) - 1/2 - 1/5

Marco Botti (Dhahmaan) - 1/4 - (2/8)

Sylvester Kirk (Dream Dubai) - 0/2 - (0/4)

Your first 30 days for just £1

David Evans (Gracious John) - 0/2 - (0/8)

Richard Hannon (Orvar) - 3/31 - (3/67)

Aidan O'Brien (Washington DC) - 3/13 - (7/49)

James Unett (Zebster) - None - None

Clive Cox (Priceless) - 0/4 - (4/18)

4.30: Four-year-olds have snared five renewals during the last decade and with DECORATED KNIGHT proving that he could handle cut in the ground when scoring at Haydock last year, Roger Charlton's Galileo raider is the first name on the team sheet.  MOHEET is the other four-year-old to consider from my viewpoint, though if vintage representatives are to be denied this time around, HORS DE COMBAT could prove to be the culprit ahead of AROD, who will miss the contest if the ground fails to dry up overnight. Few jockeys ride this circuit better than Put Smullen and what makes his booking even more interesting, is the fact that I cannot detect the Irish jockey riding for James Fanshawe (HORS DE COMBAT) for at least five years.

Favourite factor: Seven of the thirteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions (two winners), though it’s worth noting that the 4/9 favourite in a ’win only’ contest was turned over six years ago.

Ascot record of course winners in the fifth race:

Arod--1/1

Gm Hopkins (1/2)

5.00: The main hope here is that at least 16/17 intended runners face the starter for the benefit of each way and toteplacepot investors alike.  Yes, the argument could be made that a six race card of fifteen runner handicaps would almost guarantee a great Placepot dividend but that said, now many times has your selection finished fourth in such events?  Upwards and onward by selecting four horses across the width of the stalls to give up some hope of landing the dividend, namely BASTILLE DAY (5), STEAL THE SCENE (10), SABRE ROCK (2) and CHEVALIER (14).

Favourite factor: Last year's inaugural 4/1 favourite secured a toteplacepot positions by finished third.

Ascot record of course winners in the Placepot finale:

Cricklewood Green--1/2

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Ascot card on Wednesday:

6--Richard Hannon (8/74 at Ascot last season season)

3--John Ryan (0/7)

2--Marco Botti (4/22)

2--Roger Charlton (2/13)

2--Brian Ellison (1/9)

2--David Evans (0/6)

2--John Gosden (7/43)

2--Charlie Hills (3/32)

2--Sylvester Kirk (1/5)

2--Brendan Powell (0/3)

+ 32 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

57 declared runners

 

General overview:

Corresponding Placepot dividends (and Trainer stats where relevant):

Cheltenham: £4.80 (7 favourites - 2 winners & 5 placed)

16/1 double for Alan Hill last year - 3 runners on Wednesday

Pontefract: £17.90 (6 favourites - 5 winners & 1 placed)

Richard Fahey's stats at Pontefract this season: 4/9 - includes a 130/1 treble at the last meeting - 5 runners on Wednesday

Wolverhampton: £539.40 (8 favourites - 1 winner - 3 placed - 4 unplaced)

Wednesday's other meeting: Brighton

 

Ascot overview:

Winning trainers on last year's card with runners on Wednesday: 

Marco Botti (7/2) - 2 runners on Wednesday

Luca Cumani (4/1) - 1 runner

John Gosden (4/1) - 2 runners

Richard Hannon (9/2) - 6 runners

 

Your first 30 days for just £1