WINCANTON – APRIL 5
There was no corresponding meeting at Wincanton last year
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Wincanton:
Leg 1 (1.50): 3 (Gulshanigans), 7 (Lapalala) & 9 (Demographic)
Leg 2 (2.20): 4 (Lou Vert) & 3 (Dance Floor King)
Leg 3 (2.50): 5 (Innocent Girl) & 3 (Kristal Hart)
Leg 4 (3.20): 2 (Thumb Stone Blues), 1 (Solighoster) & 3 (Anchor Man)
Leg 5 (3.50): 2 (Best Boy Barney), 1 (Better Days) & 5 (Arctic Lady)
Leg 6 (4.20): 1 (Toby Lerone) & 4 (Mon Parrain)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.50: The following statement could hardly be classed as ‘rocket science’ but fellow ‘Potters’ will hopefully appreciate what is meant when stating that the Wincanton dividend could just as easily pay five pounds today as £5k. The ‘make up’ of the races suggest that a small dividend is the call though such is the fragility of the form of the horses on offer at the track today that literally anything could happen. Many punters will trust their luck in the Paul Nicholls runners, given that Paul will be champing at the bit to make inroads on Nicky Henderson’s lead at the top of the trainers’ Championship table but that said, it would only take a hiccup or two along the way for thousands of Placepot units to go up in smoke. Do you ‘stick or twist’? That is the beauty of being able to offer a permutation because on the one hand you can ‘play safe’ but on the other, you can add ‘outsiders’ into the mix which enable you to dream of a great dividend. As for the first teaser, LAPALALA and DEMOGRAPHIC are offered as two speculative calls alongside GULSHANIGANS against the projected favourite Mr Fickle.
Record of the course winners in the opening event:
1/3—Demo Graphic (good)
1/4—Somerset Jem (soft)
2.20: LOU VERT is (seemingly) the first of the Paul Nicholls ‘good things’ from a Placepot perspective, though not enough to make Paul’s five-year-old a banker on the card which would reduce the size of the permutation if want to play today’s Placepot than way. I prefer to lower the unit stake by adding an ‘insurance’ option, namely DANCE FLOOR KING.
Record of the course winners in the second race:
1/3—Dance Floor King (soft)
1/4—Ratify (good to soft)
2.50: Harry Fry has saddled seven of his last sixteen runners to winning effect and INNOCENT GIRL has a chance to record her second hat trick of victories. Arguably better over fences where she boasts a 60% strike rate via five assignments, INNOCENT GIRL receives plenty of weight from her four rivals which suggests she will be difficult to kick out of the ’short field’ frame. That said, things could get ‘fidgety’ should a non-runner rear its ugly head, whereby KRISTAL HART is added into the equation. There will be worse outsiders on the card than Bobbie Boru in my considered opinion. New readers might like to know that the term ‘short field’ relates to 5/6/7 runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way/Placepot perspectives.
Record of the course winners in the third contest on the card:
1/1—Bobby Boru (heavy)
3.20: This is one of the races that could influence the Placepot dividend more than most. Paul Nicholls has two chances but even then, two of the other three runners in the contest could take the beating, namely THUMB STONE BLUES and SOLIGHOSTER. The pick of Paul’s runners appears to be ANCHOR MAN. A non-runner here would upset an apple cart that already looks to have ‘wobbly wheels’ if you follow my drift. Tread carefully.
3.55: Now we reach what could be the defining race on the card, even though a potential Paul Nicholls ‘casualty’ is only conspicuous by its absence. Whichever way you load the dice, at least fifty per cent of the remaining Placepot units will be lost here, maybe as many as 85% which would set the potential dividend soaring. My trio against the remaining four contenders consists of BEST BOY BARNEY, BETTER DAYS and ARCTIC LADY.
4.25: TOBY LERONE is more consistent these days than MON PARRAIN, albeit the pair should have the business end of this event to themselves. If both horses failed to reach the frame, the afore-mentioned ‘great dividend’ would be on the cards for sure. If such a potential scenario lights the blue touch paper for you, you might like to consider the merits of Double Bank.
Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:
2/2—Double Bank (soft & heavy)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Wincanton card on Wednesday:
5 runners—Paul Nicholls
+ 99 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
52 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Carlisle: £1,732.00 – 8 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 5 unplaced
Kempton (A/W): £1,429.30 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 1 placed – 4 unplaced
Wolverhampton: There is no history to the meeting at Wolverhampton: