CATTERICK – APRIL 6
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £218.40 (6 favourites: 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced)
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Catterick:
Leg 1 (2.00): 1 (Sadie Babes) & 4 (Fearbuster)
Leg 2 (2.30): 9 (Card High), 7 (Chebsey Beau) & 2 (Play Nicely)
Leg 3 (3.00): 6 (Midnight Venture) & 5 (Llewellyn)
Leg 4 (3.30): 4 (Orions Bow), 7 (Solar Spirit) & 3 (Rocco's Delight)
Leg 5 (4.05): 3 (Stanarley Pic) & 7 (Sherman McCoy)
Leg 6 (4.35): 10 (Showboat). 6 (Armelle) & 11 (Legal Art)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
2.00: Eight of the last eleven winners have carried a minimum burden of 8-12 to victory and five of this year's seven declarations 'qualify' via the weight trends. The pick of the quintet will hopefully prove to be SADIE BABES and FEARBUSTER. Richard Fahey (SADIE BABES) drew a rare blank (11 runners) at Doncaster at the weekend but his figures during the last fortnight stood at 3/37 when writing this column which is nothing out of the ordinary, though compared to the aggregate stats of 1/34 via the other six represented trainers in this event, the ratio reads well enough. BLACK GRASS receives the overnight reserve nomination having failed to cope with heavy conditions last time out. If the rain holds off at Catterick leading up to the opening event on the card, Mick Easterby's raider could leave that form behind him in this grade/company.
Favourite factor: Market leaders have won three of the last eleven contests, whilst eight favourites have finished in the frame during the study period.
2.30: All four winners have carried a minimum burden of 9-2 to victory whereby six of the seven top horses in the handicap appear to have an edge. A seventh declaration would have joined the throng but for a three pound claimer having been booked to ride. John Quinn trains that 'seventh declaration’ (Swift Cedar), having saddled the winner of this event with each of the last two runners he has assigned. Being the self-confessed 'anorak' I undoubtedly am, I am indebted to the trainer for also having entered CHEBSEY BEAU (carries 9-2) in the contest. It's interesting to note that Wilf Smith saddles his first runner of the season (CARD HIGH) here at Catterick, one of just six tracks at which the trainer saddled a winner last year. Course winner CARD HIGH does not fit the weight trends, though a useful seven pound claimer (Hollie Doyle) takes the ride on a horse she has won on before. Out of interest, Wilf has two other entries later on the card. PLAY NICELY represents David Barron who has saddled five of his last eleven runners to winning effect.
Favourite factor: Both favourites had finished out with the washing before the last two market leaders claimed toteplacepot positions without winning their respective events.
Catterick record of course winners in the second race:
3.00: Five-year-old's have won four of the five renewals to date, whilst the quintet of gold medallists all carried a minimum burden of 9-4. Lone vintage raider MIDNIGHT VENTURE boasts ticks in both of the trend boxes, though Conor Dore's Tobougg raider remains a maiden following nine assignments on turf. That said, four victories have been gained on all weather surfaces whereby his 'attitude' is not under scrutiny. Course and distance winner LLEWELLYN in another for the overnight mix alongside LAYLA'S HERO.
Favourite factor: All five favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include three winners (2/1-5/4-10/11) thus far.
Catterick record of course winners in the third event on the card:
3.35: Dandy Nicholls has saddled three winners during the last decade, whilst seven of the last eight gold medallists carried nine stones or more. Dandy saddles ORION'S BOW on this occasion and interestingly, the shrewd trainer has employed the services of a seven pound claimer which takes the burden down to exactly nine stones. SOLAR SPIRIT has gained four of his last five victories here at Catterick, whilst winning this contest back in 2012. Others of note towards the top of the handicap include ROCCO'S DELIGHT and TANGO SKY, both horses having won under the forecast conditions (soft/good to soft) on Wednesday.
Favourite factor: Six of the nine favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include one (5/2) winner.
Catterick record of course winners in the fourth contest:
1/8--Dr Red Eye
4.05: Five-year-olds have won four of the last eight renewals which points us in the direction of STANARLEY PIC and (possibly) COLUMBANUS. The duo should finish in the order as listed, irrespective of where they finish in the fourteen strong field. That said, COLUMBANUS represents Ken Slack who can do little wrong at this moment in time, the trainer having given his Jeremy representative a spin over timber at Newcastle a few weeks back. If vintage representatives are to be denied on this occasion, the 'defending champion' SHERMAN MCCOY could prove to be the 'spoiler' in the line-up. Marjorie Fife's raider has gained his last three victories here at Catterick, with those successes occurring with plenty of give underfoot.
Favourite factor: Favourites won all four renewals between 2007 and 2010, though the last four gold medallists were sent off at 25/1--16/1--15/2--4/1. Eight of the thirteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions via eleven renewals during the last twelve years.
Catterick record of course winners in the fifth event:
4.35: The eleven represented trainers boasted stats of 7/83 during the last fortnight at the time of writing whereby confidence is not at an all-time high as I assess this new event. The lack of trends is also a negative factor accordingly and believing that at least three horses are needed to try and land the Placepot at Catterick on Wednesday, the pin has fallen down on the names of SHOWBOAT (ran well on his only run at this venue to date under good to soft conditions), ARMELLE (beaten less than seven lengths last time out despite only finishing tenth) and fellow beaten favourite LEGAL ART.
Favourite factor: The toteplacepot finale is a new race on the Catterick card.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Catterick card on Wednesday:
4--Declan Carroll (1/13 at Catterick last season)
3--Scott Dixon (2/32)
3--Mick Easterby (2/31)
3--Brian Ellison (6/26)
3--Micky Hammond (2/34)
3--Phil Kirby (0/4)
3--David Nicholls (2/25)
3--John Quinn (6/29)
3--Wilf Story (1/6)
2--Michael Appleby (3/18)
2--Keith Dalgleish (4/19)
2--Conor Dore (0/1)
2--Ann Duffield (4/27)
2--Les Eyre (1/8)
2--Richard Fahey (7/33)
2--Marjorie Fife (3/23)
2--Paul Midgley (2/8)
2--Alan Swinbank (1/15)
2--Tracy Waggott (0/20)
+ 30 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
78 declared runners