BEVERLEY - AUGUST 10
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £416.70 (7 favourites - 2 winners - 2 placed - 3 unplaced)
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Beverley:
Leg 1 (2.00): 1 (Rag Tatter), 5 (Celestation) & 9 (Mama Africa)
Leg 2 (2.30): 6 (Total Star) & 8 (Sue's Angel)
Leg 3 (3.00): 5 (Sunraider), 3 (Kiwi Bay) & 6 (Talent Scout)
Leg 4 (3.30): 1 (Taraz), 3 (Save The Bees) & 4 (Peterhouse)
Leg 5 (4.00): 3 (King Of The Celts) & 7 (Judicious)
Leg 6 (4.30): 4 (Space Mountain) & 6 (Jan De Heem)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.00: All eight winners have carried weights of 9-3 or less which brings Mark Johnston's Excelebration filly CELESTATION into the equation, albeit I am likely to break my own (weight) rules here my opting for Kevin Ryan's representative RAG TATTER. Kevin has his team in typically decent nick just now and there was much to like about the way his late April foal only found one to good for him at the second time of asking. Unless Mark's newcomer is something out of the ordinary, I expect RAG TATTER to get the better of the debutante and MAMA AFRICA close home.
Favourite factor: Seven of the ten market leaders have finished in the money via eight renewals to date, statistics which include four winners.
2.30: Luca Cumani raids this territory with juveniles less often that used to visit my mother-in-law, whereby the declaration of TOTAL STAR has to be respected, especially as Daniel Tudhope has been retained to ride the Pivotal colt. There is talk of showers possibly hitting the region of top of watered ground, something that Luca will not mind, essentially because Pivotal stock handle moisture in the ground. Only the two newcomers could upset the projected favourite from my viewpoint, namely SUE'S ANGEL and DOMINATING.
Favourite factor: Although only three favourites have prevailed of late, 13 of the 16 favourites have finished in the frame during the study period. Ten winners have scored at odds of 4/1 or less during the last 13 years.
3.00: Taking the official ratings into play in this claiming event, SUNRAIDER looks well treated, though the seven time winner over six furlongs has not scored beyond that distance to date. That worry (along with his lack of consistency of late) also brings in two other 'old timers' into the mix, namely KIWI BAY and course and distance winner TALENT SCOUT.
Favourite factor: Three of the eight favourites have prevailed though the other winners scored at 50/1-12/1-11/1-4/1, just to keep your feet well and truly on the ground. Six of the ten favourites have finished in the fame this far (exact science).
Record of the course winner in the third contest:
1/9--Talent Scout (good to firm)
3.30: Nine of the last ten winners have carried weights of 9-3 or more, whilst five-year-olds have secured four of the last eight contests. Can you believe that only one vintage representative has contested this event during the last two years? Sure enough, five-year-old's are on the missing list once again! Upwards and onward by suggesting that TARAZ, SAVE THE BEES and last year's winner PETERHOUSE could dominate the finish. The ground is spot on for the latter named Jason Ward raider unless potential showers arrive.
Favourite factor: Eight of the last fifteen winners were returned in double figures, with prices ranging from 10/1 to 50/1. Six of the last eleven market leaders have finished in the money, including last years the 2014 joint favourites who were separated by a short head at the jamstick. Last year's 5/2 market leader duly obliged.
Record of the course winners in the fourth event on the card:
2/6--Peterhouse (2 x good to firm)
4.00: Connections of KING OF THE CELTS will pray that current conditions remain in place, especially as the five time (good to firm) course winner is surely handed a stone advantage on his preferred surface. With Rachel Richardson taking a useful three pounds off the eight-year-old, Tim Easterby's representative could be fancied to run well even if the weather goes against him. Others for the overnight mix include fellow course and distance winners JUDICIOUS and SAN CASSIANO.
Favourite factor: Two of the last four favourites have scored, though they are the only market leaders to have prevailed during the last decade.
Record of course winners in the fifth race:
5/18--King Of The Celts (5 x good to firm)
2/6--Hydrant (2 x good)
1/4--San Cassiano (good)
2/5--Judicious (2 x good to firm)
1/4--Mariners Moon (good to firm)
4.30: Mark Johnston has saddled the last three winners of this event when represented whereby the declaration of SPACE MOUNTAIN suggests that we have the first name on the team sheet in place. The handicapper might have a handle on Saint Thomas for the time being, whereby JAN DE HEEM might offer most resistance at the business end of proceedings.
Favourite factor: Three favourites have won during the last eleven years.
Record of course winners in the Placepot finale:
1/1--Dry Yours Eyes (heavy)
5/23--Saint Thomas (4 x good to firm & soft)
1/5--Jan De Heem (good)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Beverley card on Wednesday:
6--Mark Johnston (7/42 at Beverley this season - winners at 11/1-5/1-3/1-11/4-9/4-2/1*-11/8*)
5--Richard Fahey (6/43 - winners at 5/1-3/1-3/1-9/4***-5/4-11/10*)
4--David O'Meara (11/38 - Prices ranging between 5/2 & 9/1)
3--Mick Easterby (1/12 - winner at 33/1)
3--Shaun Harris (0/5)
3--Kevin Ryan (3/37 - winners at 13/2-5/1-Evens*)
2--Ruth Carr (1/18 - winner at 7/2*)
2--Declan Carroll (1/13 - winner at 10/1)
2--Keith Dalgleish (2/11 - winners at 12/1 & Evens*)
2--Ann Duffield (1/23 - winner at 4/1**)
2--Tim Easterby (2/44 - winners at 20/1 & 5/2*)
2--Brian Ellison (4/16 - winners at 10/1-2/1*-7/4*-4/9*)
2--Micky Hammond (0/3)
2--David Loughnane (2/18 - winners at 13/2 & 9/4*)
2--Paul Midgley (1/5 - winner at 2/1*)
2--Karen Tutty (1/14 - winner at 10/1)
+ 20 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
64 declared runners
General overview - corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Bath: £162.10 - 6 favourites - 2 winners & 4 unplaced
Kempton: £72.00 - 6 favourites - 3 winners - 1 placed - 2 unplaced
Newton Abbot: £11.00 - 7 favourites - 3 winners - 2 placed - 2 unplaced
Salisbury: £39.10 - 6 favourites - 3 winners - 2 placed 1 unplaced
Beverley overview - 5 year juvenile record of represented trainers in the relevant events at 2.00 & 2.30:
7/46--Kevin Ryan (Rag Tatter)
0/10--Karl Burke (Sir Viktor)
19/104--Richard Fahey (Western Presence)
9/67--Ann Duffield (A Bit Of Ginger & Harbour Lightning)
13/69--Mark Johnston (Celestation)
0/2--Alan Swinbank (Little Miss Lola)
0/37--Mick Easterby (Lou's Diamond)
4/24--David Barron (Mama Africa)
0/4--Lawrence Mullaney (Albizu Campos)
13/69--Mark Johnston (Dominating & Baileys Apprentice)
7/46--Kevin Ryan (Hellomoto)
0/1--Micky Hammond (Mister Moosah)
0/1--Daniel Mark Lawrence (The Batham Boy)
No runners--Luca Cumani (Total Star)
19/104--Richard Fahey (Sue's Angel)