Placepot pointers – Wednesday August 3

PONTEFRACT - AUGUST 3

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £99.40 (6 favourites - 1 winners - 1 placed - 4 unplaced)

 

Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Pontefract: 

Leg 1 (2.10): 2 (Farham), 3 (Proven Point) & 4 (Merchant Of Medici)

Leg 2 (2.40): 12 (Perfect Madge) & 11 (Peach Pavlova)

Leg 3 (3.10): 6 (Pickett's Charge), 4 (City Of Night) & 8 (Taking Libertys)

Leg 4 (3.40): 1 (Stars Over The Sea) & 5 (Jam Session)

Leg 5 (4.10): 7 (Royal Brave), 8 (Hilary J) & 2 (Burning Thread)

Leg 6 (4.40): 3 (Kiwi) & 1 (Like A Diamond)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Pontefract - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

2.10:  Amateur events are difficult to digest as I have declared on many occasions, but the one thing I really cannot understand is why racecourses decide to stage these contests as the first race on the card.  I fully appreciate the reasons for these events, but why can’t such races be contested at the end of seven race meetings (such as this one), when people who are not overly interested in amateur contests can beat the traffic home, whereby toteplacepot wagers would also be unaffected?  Surely the friends and supporters of the amateur riders would also have more time to linger and talk to the pilots in an around the unsaddling area with no races to follow the finale?  The 6/1 in 2014 winner was one of only two runners mentioned in the contest, followed up a mention in despatches for the 10/3 gold medallist.  Hoping to land the hat trick, I have opted for FARHAM (Richard Fahey is the only trainer to have saddles a winner at the venue this season), PROVEN POINT (Tony Coyle greeted last year's gold medallist) and MERCHANT OF MEDICI (Simon Walker's mount).

Favourite factor: 11 of the 21 market leaders have reached the frame via 16 renewals (five winners).

Record of course winners in the opening race:

1/2--Silver Alliance (good to firm)

1/8--Qibtree (good to firm)

2.40: Favourite backers go into battle with confidence on a high as nine of the last thirteen renewals have been won by market leaders of one description or another. PERFECT MADGE is the call and the price might be better than we might imagine with a Charlie Hills juvenile in the line up.  Kevin Ryan has his team in good order and I fancy PERFECT MADGE to get the better Charlie's GLORIOUS ARTIST and PEACH PAVLOVA.

Favourite factor: 11 favourites have won during the last 17 years, with 12 gold medallists having been returned at odds of 11/4 or less.

Draw factor (six furlongs):

2-7-5 (8 ran - good)

8-5-1 (8 ran - good to firm)

4-11-5 (11 ran - good)

1-9-10 (9 ran - good to firm)

4-5 (5 ran - good to firm)

1-7 (6 ran - good)

1-3 (7 ran - good)

8-7-5 (12 ran - good)

1-2-3 (10 ran - good to firm)

6-7-3 (9 ran - good to firm)

6-13-3 (13 ran - good)

13-12-5 (13 ran - good to firm)

1-7 (7 ran - good to firm)

3-5-10 (11 ran - soft)

11-13-3 (13 ran - good)

10-7-3 (11 ran - good to firm)

5-8 (7 ran - good to firm)

2-6-9 (12 ran - good to firm)

3.10: Tony Coyle has a poor record at Pontefract in all honesty, though the recent form line of his three-year-old raider PICKETT'S CHARGE is difficult to resist, particularly from a Placepot perspective.  The three horses that beat Tony's Clodovil representative last time out have all scored since the relevant Thirsk event back in June. Connections have little to fear via the form book in terms of the opposition here, though CITY OF NIGHT and TAKING LIBERTYS (from an alternative each way perspective) might offer most resistance at the business end of proceedings.

Favourite factor: Last year's inaugural 4/1 favourite finished out of the money behind horses which filled the frame at 7/1-5/1-8/1.

Record of course winners in the third contest on the card:

1/2--Taking Libertys (good to firm)

2/13--Shadowtime (good & good to firm)

1/3--Border Bandit (good to soft)

3.40: Six of the last fourteen winners have carried weights of 9-4 or more with four of the six runners 'qualifying' via the weight trend this time around, stats which include last year's (good ground) winner HERNANDOSHIDEAWAY.  Paul Mulrennan's mount is certainly an option to consider, albeit more logical winners on this occasion might prove to be STARS OVER THE SEA and JAM SESSION.

Favourite factor: Seven favourites have won during the study period, though just four of the other 15 market leaders secured additional toteplacepot positions.

Record of the course winner in the fourth event:

1/1--Hernandoshideaway (good)

4.10: Low (to middle) numbers are generally favoured in such races at Pontefract.  FLICKA'S BOY is another Tony Coyle raider on the card with a chance, though I prefer Pickett's Charge in the previous event from a win perspective.  Others worth consideration in Placepot terms include HILARY J and ROYAL BRAVE.  There will be worse outsiders on the card that David Elsworth's BURNING THREAD, with the trainer having saddled two winners via just six runners at Pontefract during the last five years.

Favourite factor: Just two clear market leaders and a joint favourite have scored during the last 19 years, whilst only 10 of the 23 market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions.

Draw factor (five furlongs):

4-3-1 (9 ran - good)

5-4-2 (8 ran - good to firm)

1-4 (6 ran - good)

6-4-10 (10 ran - good to firm)

6-2-8 (8 ran - good to firm)

1-7-6 (11 ran - good)

2-9-1 (11 ran - good)

8-11-2 (14 ran - good)

5-7-6 (11 ran - firm)

13-3-9 (13 ran - good to firm)

14-2-7 (14 ran - good)

13-7-14 (15 ran - good to firm)

1-2-12 (12 ran - good to firm)

7-8-5-1 (17 ran - good)

2-17-3-5 (17 ran - good)

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16-3-4-17 (17 ran - good to firm)

11-2-12 (14 ran - good to firm)

11-4-3-2 (18 ran - good to firm)

Record of course winners in the fifth race:

1/3--Eternitys Gate (good to firm)

1/5--Mr Orange (good)

4.40: Five of the eight winners have carried 9-1 or more to victory as have 17 of the 24 horses which have secured toteplacepot positions.  Six of the eight runners are discarded accordingly (includes those via claiming jockeys), which leaves yours truly assessing just two horses without requiring the aid of an abacus on this occasion.  Accordingly, KIWI BAY is preferred to LIKE A DIAMOND in the toteplacepot finale.

Favourite factor:  Seven of the eleven favourites (via eight renewals) have finished out with the washing, statistics which include one successful market leader and one joint favourite which prevailed.

Draw factor (eight furlongs):

1-9-4 (9 ran - good)

3-1-2 (8 ran - good to firm)

6-2-8 (10 ran - good)

3-6-10 (10 ran - good to firm)

12-4-3 (11 ran - good to firm)

4-5-1 (8 ran - good)

6-5-17 (14 ran - good)

7-3-8 (8 ran - good)

Record of course winners in the Placepot finale: 

2/10--Kiwi Bay (2 x good to firm)

1/3--Ralphy Boy (good)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Pontefract card on Wednesday:

4--Tony Coyle (0/14 at Pontefract this season)

4--Richard Fahey (7/39 - winners at 11/1-10/1,6/1-11/2-7/2*-7/2***-7/2)

4--Micky Hammond (0/22)

3--Michael Dods (0/19)

3--Richard Whitaker (0/4)

2--Rebecca Bastiman (0/9)

2--Roy Bowring (0/2)

2--David Brown (0/4)

2--Julie Camacho (1/4 - winner at 9/1)

2--Ann Duffield (1/8 - winner at 7/1)

2--Mick Easterby (1/15 - winner at 14/1)

2--Tim Easterby (2/24 - winners at 16/1 & 8/1)

2--Brian Ellison (1/11 - winner at 16/1)

2--Les Eyre (0/8)

2--Charlie Hills (0/2)

2--Mark Johnston (8/24 - winners at 4/1-10/3-10/3-11/4-11/4-7/4*-8/11*-3/10*)

2--David Loughnane (0/3)

2--Paul Midgley (1/14 - winner at 3/1)

2--Ollie Pears (---)

2--Kevin Ryan (3/20 - winners at 16/1-7/1-7/4)

2--Lynn Siddall (---)

2--Tracy Waggott (0/5)

+ 14 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

66 declared runners

 

General overview - corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

The meeting at Bath is a new fixture on the calendar

Brighton: £5,000.10 - six favourites - 1 winner - 1 placed - 4 unplaced - Tony Carroll recorded a 2,204/1 four timer last year - 4 runners on Wednesday

Kempton: £13.90 - 6 favourites - 2 winners - 3 placed - 1 unplaced

Last year's meeting at Yarmouth was abandoned

 

Pontefract overview - 5 year juvenile record of represented trainers in the relevant event at 2.40:

9/52--Mark Johnston (Bruny Island)

3/22--Mick Channon (Father McKenzie)

0/5--Charlie Hills (Glorious Artist)

2/20--Tom Dascombe (Heaven's Rock)

No runners--Andrew Crook (Ideal Bounty)

1/9--Micky Hammond (I Don't Believe It)

0/9--Ollie Pears (Mont Royal)

16/68--Richard Fahey (Pudding Clare)

0/4--Richard Whitaker (Silk Mill Blue)

1/15--David Brown (Maggi May)

6/28--Ann Duffield (Peach Pavlova)

5/38--Kevin Ryan (Perfect Madge)

 

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