BATH - AUGUST 31
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £560.10 (7 favourites - 1 winner - 3 placed - 3 unplaced)
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Bath:
Leg 1 (2.00): 1 (Ernststavroblofeld) & 4 (Nuclear Power)
Leg 2 (2.30): 6 (Dreams Of Glory), 3 (Silverrica) & 1 (Edged Out)
Leg 3 (3.00): 1 (Lapilla) & 2 (Point Of Woods)
Leg 4 (3.30): 3 (Zaakhir) & 4 (Canonbury)
Leg 5 (4.00): 9 (Suni Dancer), 7 (Tamujin) & 12 (Candelita)
Leg 6 (4.30): 8 (Mia Tesoro), 10 (Marcle) & 5 (Cosmic Storm)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.00: William Muir saddled last year's 10/1 winner and the trainer has declared the horse with the biggest official mark of the three relevant runners, namely NUCLEAR POWER. Martin Dwyer's mount will receive stronger handling today compared to his runner up position last time out, though that effort was on Chelmsford's all weather surface which marked up a distinct improvement on his three previous assignments. With entries in the 'Middle Park' and the big juvenile event at Redcar on his agenda at the time of asking, ERNSTSTAVROBLOFELD is asked to give plenty of weight to his rivals here and if successful, he will earn his right to take his chance at the top end of the two-year-old contests later in the year. Well supported at Yarmouth at the first time of asking, Martin Meade's Elusive Quality colt should be up to the task. SWELL HILL in the alternative option from my viewpoint.
Favourite factor: Last year's inaugural 8/11 favourite found a 10/1 chance too good when claiming a Placepot position.
2.30: SILVERRICA returns to defend her crown with the Malcolm Saunders mare asked to carry seven pounds more this time around, despite only running of a three spot higher mark. DREAMS OF GLORY demands attention as a ten time winner, notwithstanding being a dual course/distance gold medallist down the years. EDGED OUT completes my trio against the other five contenders in this potential 'dead eight' contest.
Favourite factor: The first (4/1) market leader in this event twelve months ago finished nearer last than first.
Bath record of runners in the second race:
2/21--Edged Out (good to firm & firm)
3/18--Silverrica (2 x firm & good to soft)
5/23--Dreams Of Glory (2 x good to firm - 2 x firm & good)
3.00: Seven of the last nine winners have carried a minimum weight of 8-13, statistics which go against the chance of course and distance winner Topsoil this time around. The pick of the remaining five contenders appear to be the top pair in the weights, namely LAPILLA and POINT OF WOODS. The history of the two horses could hardly be different, with LAPILLA having won two of this three assignments, whereas POINT OF WOODS is a winner of just one his twelve races on turf.
Favourite factor: Seven renewals had slipped by since the last favourite obliged before one of last year's 3/1 joint favourites obliged, the other finishing out of the frame. Only two of the last ten market leaders has claimed Placepot positions.
Bath record of runners in the third event:
1/3--Powerful Dream (firm)
1/2--Topsoil (good to soft)
3.30: Three-year-olds have secured ten of the eleven available toteplacepot positions, albeit vintage representatives have been responsible for the thick end of 85% of the total number of runners thus far. The trend will surely continue this year following the declaration of four three-year-olds against two older rivals. CANONBURY and ZAAKHIR should fill the forecast positions according to the gospel of yours truly.
Favourite factor: The first two market leaders had secured silver medals alongside toteplacepot positions, before the 2013 odds on (5/6) market leader could only finished third of four in a ‘win only‘ contest. The 2014 'jolly' suffered a similar fate from a toteplacepot perspective when snaring bronze in a seven runner 'short field' contest. Last year's 6/4 joined the massed ranks of disappointing market leaders when finishing well down the field.
Bath record of runners in the fourth race:
1/2--Miss Minuty (firm)
4.00: Horses carrying 9-1 or less have secured eight of the fourteen available toteplacepot positions thus far, statistics which include three of the five winners at 16/1, 10/1 and 4/1. CANDELITA is no forlorn hope at the foot of the list and there will be worse outsiders on the card from my viewpoint. That said, more logical winners down in the lower sector of the handicap arguably include TAMUJIN and SUNI DANCER, the latter named raider being saddled by Tony Carroll whose runners in this grade are invariably worth a second glance.
Favourite factor: Four of the five favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions thus far, statistics which include one (4/1) gold medallist.
Bath record of runners in the fifth contest on the card:
1/7--Captain Oats (firm)
4.50: Charlie Fellowes has taken some tracks by storm this year (5/10 at Yarmouth & 3/7 at Chelmsford to namwe but two), with MIA TESORO being his first runner at this venue this season and just his second in total at my local track. MIS TESORO comes to the gig on a four timer, with other in form trainers John Flint (PRIM AND PROPER) and Ed De Giles (MARCLE) in opposition. Throw the recent Salisbury runner COSMIC STORM into the mix and we should have the race all done and dusted.
Favourite factor: Last year's inaugural 2/1 market leader duly obliged.
Bath record of runners in the toteplacepot finale:
1/2--British Embassy (good to soft)
1/7--Mister Musicmaster (firm)
1/4--Hot Mustard (firm)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Bath card on Wednesday:
3--Ken Cunningham-Brown (0/5 at Bath this season)
3--David Evans (1/9 - winner at 10/3*)
3--Richard Harris (2/18 - winners at 16/1 & 8/1)
3--Ron Hodges (0/5)
3--Richard Hughes (1/14 - winner at 5/2*)
3--William Muir (0/9)
2--Brian Barr (0/3)
2--Ralph Beckett (1/9 - winner at 4/7*)
2--Ed de Giles (7/2 & 13/8*)
2--Richard Hannon (4/18 - winners at 12/1-5/4*-8/13*-1/2*)
2--Charlie Hills (3/15 - winners at 14/1-11/10*-Evens*)
2--Rod Millman (5/26 - winners at 25/1-6/1-5/1-4/1-7/2)
2--Brendan Powell (0/6)
2--Malcolm Saunders (5/23 - winners at 7/2**-7/2**-3/1*-2/1*-15/8*)
+ 28 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
62 declared runners
General overview - corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Carlisle: This is a new fixture
Lingfield (Turf): £45.10 - 7 favourites - 1 winner - 3 placed - 3 unplaced
Newton Abbot: £114.90 - 6 favourites - 2 winners - 3 placed - 1 unplaced
Southwell (NH): £694.10 - 7 favourites - 1 winner - 1 placed - 5 unplaced
Bath overview - 5 year juvenile record of represented trainers in the relevant event at 2.00:
0/2--Martyn Meade (Ernststavrobofled)
0/3--Richard Hughes (Beepeecee & Polly's Angels)
4/45--Ron Harris (Fethive Boy)
1/8--William Muir (Nuclear Power)
5/39--David Evans (Trump's Magic)
0/17--Malcolm Saunders (Coronation Cottage)
3/19--Charlie Hills (Imperial City)
8/50--Richard Hannon (Swell Hill)