LEICESTER – FEBRUARY 1
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £218.40 (7 favourites – 1 winner – 1 placed – 3 unplaced)
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Leicester:
Leg 1 (2.10): 6 (Ballinvarrig), 5 (Huff and Puff) & 4 (Mister Grez)
Leg 2 (2.40): 7 (Dusty Raven), 6 (Paddocks Lounge) & 1 (Order Of Service)
Leg 3 (3.10): 4 (Orchard Road) & 13 (Norse Light)
Leg 4 (3.40): 12 (Ten Sixty) & 2 (Some Are Lucky)
Leg 5 (4.10): 1 (Reigning Supreme) & 8 (Winningtry)
Leg 6 (4.40): 1 (Ava Run), 1 (Moscow Me) & 4 ()
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.10: Ballinvarrig is not the brightest light shining in the yard of Tom George but the ten-year-old has been placed well enough here to suggest that a Placepot position can be gained at the very least. Venetia Williams is another trainer who is getting it together right now which is often the case when the ground becomes particularly soft, whereby the chance of HUFF AND PUFF is respected alongside MISTER GREZ who is a three time soft/heavy ground winner.
Favourite factor: Both favourites have claimed Placepot medals via silver medal efforts thus far.
2.40: The terms and conditions of this claiming hurdle event favour DUSTY RAVEN who runs on behalf of the in-form Neil Mulholland yard but then again this year, when has Neil failed to land his fair share of winners? A beaten (joint) favourite last time out, Noel Fehily’s mount should make amends in this grade/company. Connections might have most to fear from PADDOCKS LOUNGE and ORDER OF SERVICE who reached the heady heights (official mark) of 80 on the level.
Favourite factor: One of the two favourites (7/4 winner) has secured a Placepot position to date, albeit supporters of the 10/11 market leader last year were poorly represented.
Record of course winners in the second race:
1/1—Paddocks Lounge (good to soft)
3.10: Having finished second in three of his last five assignments, Paul Webber’s ORCHARD BOY deserves to add another gold medal to his tally. As the only course winner in the field, NORSE LIGHT was always likely to be included in the mix, especially so now that the ground has come right for the David Dennis raider. The handicapper might have got Verygoodverygood in his grip now, though the Twiston-Davies horses are rarely dismissed entirely by yours truly.
Favourite factor: Two of the three favourites (via two renewals) have claimed Placepot positions, statistics which include one (5/2) winner.
Record of course winners in the third contest on the card:
1/1—Norse Light (heavy)
3.40: Course winner and beaten favourite TEX SIXTY receives weight from ten of his eleven rivals and from a Placepot angle, Richard Johnson’s mount looks the part. I would not know what to back from a win perspective, though I have little hesitation in offering SOME ARE LUCKY as back up to TEN SIXTY to get us through the fourth leg of our favourite wager.
Favourite factor: One of the two favourites has finished in the money thus far (no winners).
Record of course winners in the fourth event:
1/1—Bells ‘N’ Banjos (good)
1/2—Ten Sixty (good)
4.10: Nicky Henderson has his team in top order now and it would be surprising if REIGNING SUPREME failed to supplement a soft ground Newbury success gained at Newbury the last day in November. That said, other leading trainers are represented and the Paul Nicholls raider WINNINGTRY might offer most resistance at the business end of proceedings.
Favourite factor: Market leaders come to the gig on a four timer via five contests to date, though a beaten 2/7 favourite has to be mentioned in despatches back in 2007.
Record of course winners in the fifth race:
1/1—Head To The Stars (good to soft)
4.40: AZA RUN is the each way call in the ‘lucky last’, especially with the Shan Harris runners going well just now, from an each way perspective at the very least. Course winner MOSCOW ME and beaten favourite GRAND MARCH are added to the overnight mix.
Favourite factor: Both favourites have claimed Placepot positions to date via silver medal efforts.
Record of course winners in the Placepot finale:
1/2—Moscow Me (soft)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Leicester card on Wednesday – followed by their five year ratio at the track + profits/losses accrued:
3 runners—Kim Bailey (1/22 – loss of 17 points)
3—Sophie Leech (1/10 – loss of 7 points)
3—Dan Skelton (4/20 – Profit of 2 points)
2—Caroline Bailey (7/41 – loss of 10 points)
2—Tony Carroll (4/63 – loss of 33 points)
2—Henry Daly (4/16 – Profit of 46 points)
2—Sarah-Jayne Davies (0/15)
2—Tom George (15/41 – Profit of 26 points)
2—Shaun Harris (1/11 – loss of 5 points)
2—Philip Hobbs (1/4 – slight loss)
2—Charlie Longsdon (4/22 – Slight profit)
2—Neil Mulholland (1/11 – Profit of 2 points)
2—Paul Nicholls (4/7 – Profit of 1 point)
2—Henry Oliver (4/23 – Loss of 8 points)
2—Jonjo O’Neill (5/52 – loss of 34 points)
2—Nigel Twiston-Davies (18/73 – Profit of 18 points)
+ 24 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
59 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
The meetings at Hereford, Kempton and Newcastle are all new fixtures on the racing calendar