LUDLOW – FEBRUARY 22
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: Meeting abandoned
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Ludlow:
Leg 1 (2.00): 8 (Ridgeway Flyer) & 11 (Calling Des Blins)
Leg 2 (2.35): 2 (Lou Vert) & 4 (Mercian King)
Leg 3 (3.05): 2 (One More Hero), 4 (Step Back) & 6 (Westend Story)
Leg 4 (3.35): 4 (He’s A Bully), 7 (William Money) & 5 (Better Days)
Leg 5 (4.10): 2 (Applesandpierres), 10 (Hill Fort) & 3 (I’m A Game Changer)
Leg 6 (4.45): 1 (Mendip Express) & 2 (Mr Mercurial)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.00: Five and six-year-olds have generally dominated this opening event and with the combined represented vintage being 4/9 to extend the good run between them before form in taken into consideration, the edge should be enhanced this time around. RIDGEWAY FLYER, CALLING DES BLINS and JOHANOS head my overnight ratings.
Favourite factor: Seven of the last eight favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include five (11/4, 11/8, 6/5, 5/6 & 4/6) winners.
Record of the course winner in the first race:
1/1—Ridgeway Flyer (good)
2.35: The last four horses saddled by Paul Nicholls have won and though LOU VERT is not one of the shining stars back at the ranch, Sam Twiston-Davies looks poised to close aboard the youngest (five-year-old) runner in the contest. Only MERCIAN KING of the older raiders has proved consistent of late, with Amy Murphy’s beaten favourite given another chance alongside the marginal selection.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Ludlow card.
3.05: Six-year-olds have won four of the last seven renewals and with five of the eight declarations representing the vintage this time around, the trend looks set to continue. ONE MORE HERO and WESTEND STORY are two likely types, with seven-year-old STEP BACK rated as the main threat.
Favourite factor: Seven of the last eight favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include four (13/8-11/10-5/6-4/6) winners.
3.35: This race would be particularly interesting towards flag fall if the ‘dead eight’ runners remain intact. Call me a cynic if you like, but I’m thinking the price about that scenario unfolding being around a 5/4 chance, which equates to 44%. Upwards and onward in positive mode however by suggesting that HE’S A BULLY, WILLIAM MONEY and BETTER DAYS are the first names on the overnight team sheet. The latter named raider is only ‘third best’, given that he has failed to put back to back victories together thus far despite possessing more than his fair share of talent.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 9/4 market leader duly obliged.
Record of the course winner in the fourth event on the card:
2/4—Ultimatum Du Roy (good & good to soft)
4.10: The second and third horses in the handicap make most appeal at the overnight stage, namely APPLESANDPIERRES and I’M A GAME CHANGER. There will be worse outsiders on the card than course and distance winner HILL FORT I'll wager, whilst any withdrawals would bring STAMP YOUR FEET into the equation.
Favourite factor: Four of the nine market leaders have finished in the frame thus far (exact science), statistics which include one (6/4) winner.
Record of the course winners in the first race:
1/5—Canadian Diamond (good to soft)
1/4—Hill Fort (soft)
4.45: Results have worked out positively (as usual) in Hunter Chase’ events as you can see below, with this type of race offering some of the best market leader stats under either code of our favourite sport. Two horses stand out from the crowd here in MENDIP EXPRESS and MR MERCURIAL, the pair being listed in order of preference.
Favourite factor: Six of the seven winners have been returned at a top price of 9/2 (two successful favourites), whilst the other gold medallist was hardly a 'skinner' in the books having scored at 8/1.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Ludlow card on Wednesday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:
6 runners—Dan Skelton (2/10 – loss of 7 points)
5—Philip Hobbs (3/13 – loss of 1 point)
4—Nigel Twiston-Davies (5/21 – loss of 7 points)
3—Nigel Hawke (0/4)
3—Ian Williams (0/3)
2—Kim Bailey (1/12 – loss of 6 points)
2—Lady Susan Brooke (0/3)
2—James Evans (0/1)
2—Alex Hales 2/3 – Profit of 18 points)
2—Aslan King (6/11 – Profit of 5 points)
2—Paul Nicholls (1/4 – loss of 2 points)
2—Matt Sheppard (0/6)
2—Tom Vaughan (1/11 – loss of 2 points)
2—Tom Weston (0/6)
2—Evan Williams (2/10 – loss of 22 points)
2—Noel Williams (1/3 – Profit of 2 points)
+ 39 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
72 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Doncaster: £33.10 – 6 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 1 unplaced
Lingfield: £105.00 – 6 favourites – 3 winners & 3 unplaced
Kempton: £2,566.60 – 6 favourites – 1 winner & 5 unplaced