KEMPTON – FEBRUARY 8
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £111.20 (7 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 3 unplaced)
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Kempton:
Leg 1 (5.20): 14 (Sir Jamie), 7 (Smiley Bagel) & 6 (Goldmadchen)
Leg 2 (5.50): 2 (Fabulous Flyer) & 8 (Lizzie’s Dream)
Leg 3 (6.20): 3 (Harthfa), 1 (Juan Horsepower) & 2 (Who Told Jo)
Leg 4 (6.50): 4 (Bishops Canning) & 9 (Pepita)
Leg 5 (7.20): 2 (Martzouq) & 5 (La Guapita)
Leg 6 (7.50): 5 (Tisbutadream), 3 (Blaze Of Glory) & 4 (Makaarim)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
5.20: All eight winners have carried a maximum burden of 9-5. Five horses fail to qualify on this occasion whereby SIR JAMIE, SMILEY BAGEL and GOLDMADCHEN are short listed at the overnight stage. The latter named James Given raider is the alternative each way option to the main pair, with Given’s nine-year-old having been off the track for the thick end of ten months.
Favourite factor: Six of the 13 market leaders have finished in the frame, two of which have been won by favourites.
Record of course winners in the opening event:
1/5—Never To Be
5.50: The nine represented trainers ‘boast’ aggregate stats of 3/41 (7.3% strike rate) between them during the last fortnight at the time of writing, whereby confidence is not at an all-time high. That said, Jeremy Gask’s ratio in January was 7/25 (28% strike rate), stats which produced 19 points of level stake profit. Jeremy saddles his ‘recent’ Lingfield winner FABULOUS FLYER here and the four-year-old is the first name on the team sheet in the second race on the card. LIZZY’S DREAM and WILLOW SPRING are the obvious threats.
Favourite factor: Six of the eight favourites have secured toteplacepot positions via eight renewals (one non-runner), statistics which include four (7/2-7/2**-3/1-15/8) winners.
Record of course winners in the second race:
6.20: The last six winners have carried a minimum burden of nine stones and the pick of the five qualifiers (of seven runners in total) will hopefully prove to be HATHFA and JUAN HORSEPOWER. That said, the 20/1 quote for WHO TOLD JO at the time of writing makes for interesting reading, given that trainer Joseph Tuite has greeted three of his last four runners in the area reserved for winners.
Favourite factor: Only one of seven market leaders to claim a toteplacepot position before last year was the 2011 (2/1) winner. Last year’s market leader grabbled a Placepot position by finishing second at 9/4.
6.50: Three-year-olds generally win these mixed vintage maiden event (even in the fillies only sector) and that has been the case (3/4) in this race thus far. After four defeats to date, I could not put dual beaten favourite up from a potential winner perspective, albeit the Richard Hannon raider boasts obvious Placepot qualities. David Elsworth saddles an interesting newcomer in BISHOPS CANNING who the trainer singled out as a ‘juvenile’ worth waiting for the thick end of a year ago.
Favourite factor: The five favourites (via four renewals) thus far have secured two gold and three bronze medals alongside toteplacepot positions.
7.20: Three of the last five runners saddled by Jeremy Noseda have won whereby MARZOUQ jumps to the front of the queue in terms of potential winners of this interesting contest. Having secured gold and silver medals via just the two assignments to date, Jeremy’s Spring At Last colt could yet be anything and with Luke Morris doing the steering this time around, MARZOUQ is taken to get the better of LA GUAPITA, alongside the each way alternative option MISTER SUNSHINE close home.
Favourite factor: Two of the five favourites have finished in the frame, statistics which include one (6/4) winner.
Record of course winners in the fifth contest:
7.20: As tough a seven runner race as you are likely to find at this time of year, this contest will sort the wheat from the chaff from a Placepot perspective, if we are fortunate enough to have got through to the last leg of our favourite wager. I have purposely left three selections for the finale which listed in marginal order of preference read as TISBUTADREAM, BLAZE OF GLORY and MAKAARIM.
Favourite factor: The Placepot finale is a new race on The Kempton card.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Kempton card on Wednesday – followed by their ratio at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:
4 runners—Richard Hannon (6/29 – Profit of 42 points)
3—David Elsworth (1/13 – level profit/loss)
3—Richard Hughes (1/23 – loss of 17 points)
3—William Muir (0/6)
3—Denis Quinn (1/3 – Profit of 5 points)
2—Jimmy Fox (1/11 – level profit/loss)
2—James Given (0/3)
2—Mark Johnston (3/27 – loss of 14 points)
2—Pat Phelan (0/14)
2—Ed Walker (1/11 – loss of 4 points)
+ 43 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
69 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Carlisle: £670.40 – 8 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 3 unplaced
Ludlow was abandoned
There is no history relating to the meeting at Chelmsford