KEMPTON – JANUARY 10
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £73.60 (6 favourites - 3 winners - 1 placed - 2 unplaced)
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Kempton:
Leg 1 (4.45): 2 (Little Indian), 4 (Ershaad) & 12 (Chandrayaan)
Leg 2 (5.15): 6 (Dreaming Of Paris) & 11 (Pepita)
Leg 3 (5.45): 6 (Wahiba) & 9 (Jersey Bull)
Leg 4 (6.15): 2 (Pretend), 4 (Spring Loaded) & 1 (Gentlemen)
Leg 5 (6.45): 1 (Born To Finish) & 6 (New Rich)
Leg 6 (7.15): 9 (Fleeting Glimpse), 4 (Monsieur Joe) & 2 (Red Invader)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
4.45: Adam Kirby has only finished ‘out of the three’ once via five rides aboard LITTLE INDIAN who represents John Jenkins who has been knocking out occasional winners this winter in the A/W sector. His wide draw does not help but then again, this factor should be reflected in the price which offers each way value accordingly. Others of interest include ERSHAAD and my alternative win and place option CHANDRAYAAN.
Favourite factor: Four of the nine market leaders have secured Placepot positions via seven renewals, statistics which include three winners.
Record of the course winners in the opening event:
5.15: DREAMING OF PARIS was a significant withdrawal from a race last week and it’s good to see that ground conditions were probably as much of a reason than for any lack of fitness. William Haggas continues to saddle more than his fair share of winners this winter, though the trainer complicates matters a tad having also declared his newcomer FAIENCE. Richard Hannon’s runners can rarely be ignored and his entry PEPITA looks likely to offer most concern to William and his connections this evening.
Favourite factor: The two odds on market leaders have secured gold and silver medals to date, alongside Placepot positions.
5.45: All six Placepot positions have been claimed by horses carrying 8-13 or more thus far whereby WAHIBA and JERSEY BULL are expected to figure prominently. There is a potential joker in the pack however, especially with David Evans boasting a 24% strike rate in January thus far, figures which have produced nine points of level stake profit. David saddles MOONJANED down at the foot of the handicap though of course, the Kempton surface is different to the conditions found at Southwell where his recent victory was gained. Having finished out of the frame on all three visits to Kempton, Moonjaned is (somewhat reluctantly) left out of the Placepot mix.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 5/2 market leader finished nearer last than first with the frame being filled by horses sent off at 20/1 - 20/1 -12/1, before last year year’s 11/8 market leader found one too good for him.
Record of the course winners in the third race:
6/28—Thane Of Cawdor
6.15: Aside from his runners in Meydan of late, Charlie Appleby saddles his first raider in 2017 in PRETEND, with the official figures suggesting that the blue colours will be difficult to beat on this occasion. One of three course and distance winners in the small field, SPRING LOADED is expected to offer most resistance at the business end of proceedings. I have this nagging worry that five runners might be reduced to a ‘win only’ scenario, whereby fellow C/D scorer Gentleman might be added into the Placepot equation from an ‘insurance’ perspective.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 5/6 favourite duly obliged in this Conditions contest.
Record of the course winners in the fourth contest:
6.45: Jeremy Gask has won with four of his last seven runners, a run of success which was started by BORN TO FINISH who comes to the gig on a hat trick. NEW RICH is looking for his fifth success at this venue, with five of his six victories having been gained over this (six furlong) trip, whilst John Fahy boasts the same stats aboard the seven-year-old.
Favourite factor: All three (13/8, 11/4 & 3/1) favourites have finished out with the washing thus far.
Record of the course winners in the fifth event on the card:
1/19—Only Ten Per Cent
7.15: This second heat of the previous race on the card is a little more difficult to assess, with my ‘short list’ consisting of FLEETING GLIMPSE, MONSIEUR PADDY and RED IVADER, marginally ahead of Jack The Laird.
Favourite factor: This is the second division of the previous race on the card whereby the same favourite details apply.
Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Kempton card on Wednesday – followed by this season’s ratio (started on October 27) at the track + profits/losses accrued:
4 runners—Tony Carroll (1/14 – Profit of 3 points
2—Milton Bradley (0/2)
2—John Bridger (0/15)
2—John Butler (1/5 – Profit of 6 points)
2—William Haggas (0/2)
2—John Jenkins (0/5)
2—Dean Ivory (1/10 – loss of 5 points)
2—Paul Midgley (0/1)
2—John O’Shea (0/1)
2—Emma Owen (0/5)
2—Ali Strong (0/1)
2—Henry Tett (0/1)
2—Lisa Williamson (0/1)
+ 45 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
73 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Taunton: £46.60 – 6 favourites – No winners – 4 placed – 2 unplaced
The meetings at Hereford & Newcastle are new fixtures on the calendar