CATTERICK – JANUARY 25
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £53.40 (6 favourites: 1 winner – 2 placed – 3 unplaced)
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Catterick:
Leg 1 (1.25): 2 (Idder), 11 (Floramoss) & 1 (Cracking Find)
Leg 2 (1.55): 5 (Suzy’s Music), 2 (Bankhall) & 11 (Major Ridge)
Leg 3 (2.30): 2 (Alzammaar), 5 (Italian Rviera) & 6 (Thyne For Gold)
Leg 4 (3.05): 3 (Two Taffs) & 1 (Aminabad)
Leg 5 (3.40): 3 (Herons Heir) & 7 (Roxtfet)
Leg 6 (4.10): 4 (Rocky Two) & 8 (Galactic Power)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.25: The two winners in the field (IDDER and CRACKING FIND) have to give weight away as is usually the case but that said, only FLORAMOSS looks to have any real chance of stopping one of them landing another success.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 8/11 market leader had to give best to the 7/4 second favourite when gaining a Placepot position.
1.55: Nine-year-olds have won five of the last six contests and with two of the fourteen declarations representing the vintage this time around, SUZY’S MUSIC and (possibly) APACHE PILOT could extend the positive ratio between them. Brian Hughes is still waiting to break his duck for Irish trainer Stuart Crawford but SUZY’S MUSIC is still the each way call in the race from my viewpoint. If vintage representatives are to miss out this time around (I included last year’s 10/1 winner in the mix), BANKHALL and MAJOR RIDGE are the likeliest jokers in the pack.
Favourite factor: Four of the ten market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include one successful (joint) favourite. Ballabriggs won this event in 2010, the year before Donald McCain’s raider went on to secured Grand National glory at Aintree.
Record of the course winner in the second race:
1/6—Dystonia’s Revenge (soft)
2.30: Six, seven and eight-year-olds have won seven of the nine renewals contested during the last eleven years between them, via less than 56% of the total number of runners (56/101). The pick of the four relevant representatives on this occasion appear to be ALZAMMAAR and the two course and distance winners ITALIAN RIVIERA and THYNE FOR GOLD.
Favourite factor: Five of the eleven favourites have finished in the (exact science) frame, statistics which include one (7/2**) successful favourite from a win perspective.
Record of the course winner in the third contest on the card:
2/2—Jaleo (2 x good to soft)
2/2—Italian Riviera (2 x good)
1/2—Thyne For Gold (good)
1/1—Nietzsche (good to soft)
3.05: TWO TAFFS would not be one of the brightest lights in the Skelton stable at present, but Dan’s Flemensfirth gelding should figure prominently at the very least in this grade/company. Connections probably have most to fear from AMINABAD, though the terms and conditions favour TWO TAFFS via recent form lines.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 8/11 favourite was bowling along in front and still going well two years ago when unseating the pilot at the last fence down the far side before turning for home. Last year’s 1/4 favourite made amends to a fashion, given its skinny price for the ‘working man’.
3.40: Seven-year-olds have won three of the five renewals thus far, with a lone vintage representative securing the silver medal on one of the other two occasions. With four of the five gold medallists having carried 11-2 or more to date, nine-year-old HERONS HEIR (weight) and course winner ROXYFET (vintage) cover the trends between them and this pair should take us through to the last leg of our favourite wager.
Favourite factor: Both favourites had finished out of the money before the next two market leaders prevailed at 7/4 & 5/2. Last year’s 5/2 jolly finished out of the frame.
Record of the course winner in the fifth contest event:
4.10: Seven-year-olds had secured five of the nine available toteplacepot positions, statistics which included all three (12/1-7/2*-9/4*) winners, before last year’s lone raider finished out with the washing. Just two trainers are live to the 'edge' on this occasion, with ROCKY TWO (Phil Kirby) and GALACTIC POWER (Robin Dickin) fitting the bill.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 9/2 favourite was brought down by the only faller in the contest at the first flight five years ago. The 2013 meeting was abandoned when we were all trapped in our homes via snowdrifts before the next two market leaders obliged. Last year’s 4/1 market leader scraped into a Placepot postion by securing a bronze gong.
Record of the course winner in the Placepot finale:
2/3—Snowed In (2 x good to soft)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Catterick card on Wednesday – followed by their five year ratio at the track + profits/losses accrued:
3 runners—Mick Easterby (4/30 – Profit of 2 points)
3—Micky Hammond (1/16 – loss of 9 points)
3—Dan Skelton (4/13 – loss of 4 points)
2—Brian Ellison (16/68 – loss of 18 points)
2—Chris Grant (1/55 – loss of 29 points)
2—Ben Haslam (0/6)
2—Henry Hogarth (3/25 – Profit of 4 points)
2—Donald McCain (34/156 (-loss of 14 points)
2—Jonjo O’Neill (9/30 – Profit of 5 points)
2—Mike Sowersby (1/38 – loss of 33 points)
2—Sheena Walton (0/7)
+ 30 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
55 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Lingfield: £162.40 – No winners – 4 placed – 2 unplaced
No meeting at Ludlow
A/W racing had not started yet at Newcastle this time last year