CATTERICK - JULY 12
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £37.30 (6 favourites - 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced)
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Catterick:
Leg 1 (2.10): 3 (Second Page) & 4 (Staff College)
Leg 2 (2.45): 2 (Mraseel), 6 (Lexington Grace) & 7 (Flo’s Melody)
Leg 3 (3.20): 6 (Just For The Craic), 9 (Kikini Bamalaam) & 4 (Devil Or Angel)
Leg 4 (3.55): 6 (Kiribati), 5 (Lady In Question) & 1 (Heir Of Excitement)
Leg 5 (4.30): 3 (Project Bluebook) & 2 (Tenzing Norgay)
Leg 6 (5.05): 1 (Bernie’s Boy) & 6 (Danot)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.10: Three-year-olds have won all six renewals thus far and with
five of the six entries hailing from the junior ranks again, the trend look set to continue. Seven pound claimer Rossa Ryan has ridden four of his five winners for Richard Hannon and it’s worth noting that overnight money has been recorded for the relevant declaration here, namely SECOND PAGE. Sir Mark Prescott is probably lining up a handicap assault with PIEDITA after this seasonal debut, whereby STAFF COLLEGE appears to be more of a threat to the selection. That said, Sir Mark saddled the first two winners of this event a few years back whereby any support in the market later this morning could be worth heeding.
Favourite factor: Five of the six favourites have finished in the frame, statistics which include three (10//1, 8/11 & 1/7) winners.
2.45: A trappy looking contest and no mistake, though money for the James Tate declaration MRASEEL could make a mockery of that statement, especially if the Sir Prancealot filly is well supported over the next few hours. James has saddled four of his last 13 runners to winning effect, whilst another quartet of representatives filled the frame (exact science) during the relevant period. Others for the Placepot mix include LEXINGTON GRACE and FLO’S MELODY, the latter named Richard Fahey raider looking to have been given a reasonable mark for her handicap debut.
Favourite factor: This is a new (Nursery) event on the Catterick card.
3.20: I have not enjoyed a great deal of luck supporting David Evans market leaders down the years whereby I will pass over TIE EM UP TEL, from a win perspective at the very least. According to my abacus, the top weight does not have much in hand of JUST FOR THE CRAIC anyway, whilst DEVIL OR ANGEL is also a plausible alternative (from a value for money perspective) according to the gospel of yours truly. A race to watch apart from the interest of our favourite wager I’ll wager, though money for the Dalgleish representative KIKINI BAMALAAM would be interesting, especially with Keith posting plenty of winners of late.
Favourite factor: Four of the six favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include two winners at odds of 6/5 & 4/7. Indeed, the biggest priced winner to date was returned at just 4/1.
3.55: Six of the last nine winners have carried a maximum burden of 9-1, including the 20/1 gold medallist in 2013 who was one of three horses which qualified via the handicap trends. Only two horses qualify from the ‘superior’ sector of the handicap this time around, with Mark Johnston’s KIRIBATI seemingly the pick of the pair by some margin. Further up the weights, chances could be offered to the likes of HEIR OF EXCITEMENT and LADY IN QUESTION whose 6/1 quote in the trade press could look fanciful by the time that flag fall arrives. This is a ‘short field’ event, a term which is used to describe a race with 5/6/7 runners in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way and Placepot perspectives.
Favourite factor: 11 of the 16 favourites during the last 15 years have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include six winners. The eleven previous winners had been returned at odds of 9/1 or less before the rogue 20/1 winner in 2013 was cheered home by the majority of the layers. Fortunately, the last three (15/8, 9/4 & 5/2) market leaders prevailed to get the race back on course for investors.
4.30: Eight of the last 10 winners have carried a minimum weight of 9-1, whilst four-year-olds come to the gig on a six timer. Fast ground course winner PROJECT BLUEBOOK and TENZING NORGAY are the two horses in the race that possess ticks in both boxes. The pair are listed in order of preference at the time of writing though just like Sir Mark Prescott’s other runner on the card (2.10), I’m inclined to invariably give his runners a chance, especially in marathon trips such as in this event.
Favourite factor: Seven favourites have won during the last 15 years, whilst nine market leaders claimed toteplacepot positions.
Record of course winners in the fifth contest:
1/1—Project Bluebook (good to firm)
4.50: 10 of the last 13 gold medallists were burdened with a minimum weight of 8-13. Seven horses run from the ‘superior sector’ of the handicap according to my stats, the pick of which will hopefully prove to be BERNIE’S BOY and DANOT. Both horses hail from in-form trainers who have rewarded followers wonderfully well in terms of starting prices of late. As an example, Roger Fell (BERNIE’S BOY) has saddled four of his last seven runners to winning effect which have produced level stake profits of 56 points! Jedd O’Keeffe (DANOT) has also been in hot form and this pair represent value for money, way above their rivals in the ‘lucky last’.
Favourite factor: Two (100/30** & 4/1**) favourites have obliged via 14 renewals to date during which time, seven of the 16 market leaders secured toteplacepot positions. Nine of the 14 winners ranged between odds of 13/2 and 28/1.
Record of course winners in the Placepot finale:
1/2—Grey Destiny (good)
2/11—Bold Spirit (good to soft & soft)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Catterick card on Wednesday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:
5 runners—John Quinn (1/13- loss of 11 points)
4—Richard Fahey (4/19—Profit of 8 points)
3—Anthony Brittain (0/5)
3—Scott Dixon (1/9 – loss of 5 points)
3—Mark Johnston (3/10 – Profit of 2 points)
3—Ollie Pears (0/5)
2—Eric Alston (0/2)
2—Gillian Boanas (No previous runners)
2—Ruth Carr (4/15 – Profit of 11 points)
2—Mick Channon (No previous runners)
2—Keith Dalgleish (0/8)
2—David Evans (0/3)
2—Roger Fell (0/4)
2—Richard Hannon (0/2)
2—David O’Meara (3/16 – loss of 7 points)
2—Sir Mark Prescott (0/1)
2—Kevin Ryan (3/7 (Profit of 7 points)
2—Karen Tutty (0/6)
+ 26 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
71 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Bath: £159.30 – 8 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 3 unplaced
Lingfield: £688.80 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced
Yarmouth: £2,345.70 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 3 unplaced
Kempton: £659.30 – No winners – 3 placed – 3 unplaced