SANDOWN - JULY 19
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £45.10 (6 favourites - 3 winners - 1 placed - 2 unplaced)
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Sandown:
Leg 1 (6.05): 2 (Blitz), 3 (Tahoo) & 1 (Ascot Day)
Leg 2 (6.35): 7 (Simply Breathless), 1 (Cheeky Rascal) & 3 (Macaque)
Leg 3 (7.05): 3 (Harba) & 1 (Milton Jack)
Leg 4 (7.40): 3 (Make Time), 4 (Selection) & 5 (Volatile)
Leg 5 (8.10): 4 (Sir Plato) & 2 (Eynhallow)
Leg 6 (8.40): 2 (Veiled Secret), 1 (Sussex Ranger) & 8 (Magic Beans)
Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
6.05: The first thing to point out is that there are no course winners involved at Sandown this evening, just in case you thought that I had forgotten to include such information! Horses carrying a maximum burden of 9-4 have won five of the six renewals whilst claiming nine of the thirteen available toteplacepot positions stats which bring the top three runners in the handicap into play. BLITZ and ASCOT DAY make the most appeal on this occasion, with TAHOO offered up as the overnight reserve. Fair Cop is a decent filly but unless possible thundery showers arrive pre flag fall, the ground will be plenty lively enough for Andrew Balding’s Exceed And Excel representative.
Favourite factor: Four of the six favourites and finished in the frame, with market leaders coming to the gig on a hat trick this time around.
6.35: SIMPLY BREATHLESS gives Clive Cox (saddles Blitz in the opening event) a distinct possibility of landing a double on the first two races on the card. It’s unusual for bookmakers to be in almost total agreement on every price for each runner but that is what I am witnessing this morning, with thunder crashing all around as I digest the 3/1 quote about the selection. If these storms move in an easterly direction, you should look out for any going changes at Sandown before placing any best, that’s for sure. CHEEKY RASCAL has to enter the equation following a fine effort after becoming unbalanced at Epsom, doing all his best work late doors in that event over this trip. MACAQUE is entitled to improve a great deal for his Salisbury debut.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Sandown card.
7.05: It’s about time I offered some stats for the meeting based on the last five years. The average Placepot dividend paid £152.72, whilst 14 favourites have won via 30 races during the study period. 26/30 gold medallists were sent off at a top price of 12/1. Just ‘six spots‘ separate the top nine horses (of 14 in total) in this Class 5 three-year-old contest, though two of those runners drop into the lower section of the handicap via jockey claims. William Haggas appears to have placed his Frankel filly HARBA to good effect here in a race which should not prove difficult to win, especially if the storms swerve the Esher area. MILBURN JACK completes the three runners on the card for Clive Cox and it’s difficult to imagine the popular trainer going home empty handed from the meeting.
Favourite factor: Three of the four favourites have secured Placepot positions thus far, statistics which include two (2/1 & 5/1**) winners.
7.40: Three-year-olds lead the four-year-olds 3-2 via six contests to date, whilst the juniors have edged in front 6-5 in terms of securing Placepot positions. MAKE TIME appears to be the pick of the junior representatives on this occasion though if a muddling pace ensues, don’t be surprised if fellow three-year-old VOLATILE outruns his price in this five runner affair. Four-year-old SELECTION demands plenty of respect and enters the Placepot equation for sure.
Favourite factor: All six favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions with three gold medals having been secured thus far.
8.10: Horses carrying a minimum burden of 9-1 have secured all 13 available toteplacepot positions, though the trend is of no use this time around with all nine runners have been allotted 9-2 or more. That said, the bottom horse in the handicap is set to be ridden by a claiming pilot whereby we only have to assess 8/9 entries this time around. Rod Millman is the only trainer to have saddled more than one winner at this meeting during the last five years and his only possible runner at the weekend was SIR PLATO. Having saddled a winner under the other code at Worcester last night, Rod will be in a joyous mood if he can notch a double within 24 hours. Others from the ‘superior’ sector of the handicap to consider include OKOOL and EYNHALLOW who might prove difficult to beat if the ground eases a fraction.
Favourite factor: Only two of the five market leaders have finished in the frame, one of which won its respective event as one of the 11/4 joint favourites.
8.40: Sir Mark Prescott earns plenty of respect in these staying events, especially in the three-year-old sector. VEILED SECRET has the look of a typical successful Prescott raid, with connections possibly only having to fear SUSSEX RANGER and the each way alternative option MAGIC BEANS in the Placepot finale.
Favourite factor: Four of the six market leaders have ‘troubled the judge’ though the only two (Even money & 8/11) winners during the period mean that favourites come into the Placepot finale on a hat trick.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Sandown card on Wednesday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:
3 runners—Clive Cox (2/14 – Profit of 12 points)
3—Richard Hannon (3/33 – loss of 20 points)
3—Richard Hughes (0/5)
2—Andrew Balding (0/11)
2—John Best (0/3)
2—Karl Burke (3/5 – Profit of 26 points)
2—Robert Cowell (0/2)
2—John Gallagher (0/3)
2—William Haggas (1/7 – loss of 3 points)
2—Hughie Morrison (1/5 – loss of 2 points)
2—William Muir (0/2)
2—Pat Phelan (0/2)
2—Ed Walker (0/2)
+ 30 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
59 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Catterick: £17.90 – 6 favourites – 3 winners & 3 unplaced
Yarmouth: £39,448.80 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 1 placed – 4 placed
Lingfield (mix of Turf & A/W): £117.70 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 3 placed – 2 unplaced
Uttoxeter: £310.30 – 8 favourites – 3 winners – 3 placed – 2 unplaced