Placepot pointers – Wednesday July 20

SANDOWN - JULY 20

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £28.30 (7 favourites - 2 winners - 3 placed - 2 unplaced)

 

Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Sandown: 

Leg 1 (6.00): 4 (Solveig's Song), 6 (Tatawu) & 8 (Tommys Geal)

Leg 2 (6.30): 6 (Bernie's Boy) & 5 (Ice Royal)

Leg 3 (7.05): 13 (Wahash) & 9 (Procurator)

Leg 4 (7.35): 3 (Outer Space), 5 (Haley Bop) & 8 (Force)

Leg 5 (8.05): 6 (William Hunter), 2 (Life Less Ordinary) & 7 (Atalan)

Leg 6 (8.40): 6 (Little Voice) & 1 (Jaywalker)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

6.00: Four-year-olds have won three of the last five renewals which brings in the likes of SOLVEIG'S SONG, TATAWU and TOMMYS GEAL in the overnight mix, with vintage representatives on offer at 4/7 to improve the recent ratio before the form book is consulted.  The trio is listed in order of preference.  That said, the 12/1 trade press quote about the good to firm Newmarket winner TATAWU makes for interesting each way reading.

Favourite factor: Eight of the ten market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions thus far via eight renewals, statistics which include four winners.

6.30: Three-year-olds have secured six of the last nine renewals of this event, with BERNIE'S BOY and ICE ROYAL being this year's vintage representatives. Just one 'junior' raider turned up last year but that did not stop the trend being extended.  Course and distance winner JACK OF DIAMONDS is expected to offer most resistance at the business end of proceedings.

Favourite factor: Favourites have won six of the ten renewals to date, with seven of the twelve market leaders having finished in the frame.

Record of the course winner in the second contest:

1/5--Jack Of Diamonds (good)

7.05: Before I go any further, I should point out that at this two day meeting last year, the biggest priced winner was returned at just 6/1, with favourites winning seven of the twelve races.  I mention this at this point in proceedings as market leaders have a very good record in this contest as you can see for yourself below.  'Team Hannon' has secured two of the last seven renewals and in WAHASH, the stable has an obvious chance of improving the recent ratio.  The fat that Richard has also declared his Canford Cliffs newcomer PROCURATOR adds further evidence that Hannon & Co are hell bent on saddling another winner of this seven furlong juvenile event. TESTBOURNE could turn out to be the alternative each way option if you are looking for a viable outsider.

Favourite factor: 12 of the last 20 favourites have won this contest, whilst 17 market leaders have reach the frame during the study period.

7.35: OUTER SPACE is 'last listed' in the trade press betting at the time of writing which makes for compulsive reading, given his unbeaten (albeit 1/1) record at the venue.  I accept that Jamie Osborne's Acclamation raider needs to improve to win though from a Placepot perspective, I cannot ignore the chance of the five-year-old. Similar comments apply to HALEY BOP, whilst FORCE completes my trio against the other six contenders.

Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Sandown card.

Record of the course winner in the fourth event on the programme:

1/1--Outer Space (good)

8.05: The last ten winners of the penultimate event on the card have carried weights of 8-10 or more whereby six of the seven runners qualify via the weights on this occasion.  Four-year-olds lead the five-year-olds 6-3 during the last 13 years.  Four-year-olds are around the 11/8 mark to increase their recent dominance before the form book is consulted.  I am finding it difficult to split the relevant trio in this 'short field' event, whereby I am likely to include WILLIAM HUNTER, LIFE LESS ORDINARY and ATALAN in my permutation, even though the latter named Hughie Morrison raider has to beat the weight trend in the contest. New readers might want to learn that the term 'short field' relates to 5/6/7 runner contests in which only the first two horses home qualify via each way/Placepot perspectives.

Favourite factor: Five clear market leaders have won during the last nineteen years alongside two joint favourites.  13 of the 23 favourites have secured toteplacepot positions during the study period.

Record of the course winner in the fifth race:

1/1--Touch The Sky (good to firm)

8.40: LITTLE VOICE looks a decent (trade press) 8/1 chance in the toteplacepot finale, given that Charlie Hills has won with four of the last six horses he has saddled. The only time that Charlie's Scat Daddy raider has been beaten by a distance of ground was when contesting a Group 2 Ascot event last year, form which must give her a squeak in this company/grade.  Others for the overnight equation include JAYWALKER and SIR DOMINO.

Favourite factor: The two favourites to date have secured gold and bronze medals whilst securing Placepot poisitions.

Record of the course winner in the 'lucky last':

1/1--Jaywalker (good to firm)

 

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All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Sandown card on Wednesday:

4--Richard Hannon (5/24 at Sandown this season - winners at 20/1-8/1-6/1-5/1-7/2)

3--Jamie Osborne (0/4)

2--Andrew Balding (1/19 - winner at 11/4*)

2--Simon Crisford (0/3)

2--Conor Dore (No runners this season)

2--Charlie Hills (0/6)

2--Alan King (1/10 - winner at 7/4*)

2--Michael Madgwick (0/1)

+ 35 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

54 declared runners

 

General overview - corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Bath: £73.20 - 7 favourites - 3 winners & 4 unplaced

Catterick: £13.10 - 6 favourites - 4 winners - 1 placed - 1 unplaced

Leciester: £28.90 - 6 favourites - 4 winners & 2 unplaced

Lingfield: £61.90 - 7 favourites - 3 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced

 

Sandown overview - Five year juvenile record of represented trainers in the relevant 7.05 event: 

1/12--Ed Dunlop (Amlad)

1/8--Sylvester Kirk (Arborist)

2/8--Hugo Palmer (Best Of Days)

No runners--Richard Hughes (Don't You Think)

2/13--Saeed Bin Suroor (Leader's Legacy)

3/39--Andrew Balding (Native Prospect)

1/12--Harry Dunlop (Netley Abbey)

1/2--Simon Crisford (Poet's Charm)

12/61--Richard Hannon (Procurator & Wahash)

0/1--Michael Madgwick (Quothquan)

0/6--Alan King (Sir Nigel Gresley)

0/4--Karl Burke (Testbourne)

 

 

 

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