RIPON – JUNE 1
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £108.30 (6 favourites: 2 winners - 2 placed - 2 unplaced)
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Ripon:
Leg 1 (6.30): 8 (Shamsaya), 5 (Flawlessly) & 3 (Kharab)
Leg 2 (7.00): 2 (Arithmetic) & 1 (Briyouni)
Leg 3 (7.30): 4 (Shanghai Glory) & 13 (Encantar)
Leg 4 (8.00): 10 (Fingal's Cave), 11 (Mississippi) & 2 (Red Pike)
Leg 5 (8.30): 6 (Fastnet Tempest), 8 (Indulged) & 2 (Southern Strife)
Leg 6 (9.00): 5 (Roll On Bolonski) & 2 (Carpe Vita)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
6.30: The stats at the foot of Wednesday's column relating to two-year-old races at Hamilton suggests that Mark Johnston's KHARAB should figure prominently at the very least, albeit Mark's sparking starting start to the juvenile season was always going to be temporary, whilst other sorted out the 'green' two-year-olds from the other 'babies' in their care. The wheat from the chaff have been sorted in many a yard by now with the Royal Ascot meeting only a fortnight way, whereby FLAWLESSLY and SHAMSAYA are added into the overnight mix.
Favourite factor: This is a new race with which to open proceedings at Ripon on Wednesday.
7.00: Charlie Hills scored with his only runner at odds of 7/1 at Ripon this season and with three declared at the venue on Wednesday, the Lambourn trainer will be hoping to head south with plenty more swag stashed in the boot of his vehicle. ARITHMETIC is the first of his contenders to be saddled and weighing up his form, it all adds up (excuse the poor play on words) to a decent effort being on the cards. Connections will fear BRIYOUNI and MECCA'S MISSUS more than most I'll wager.
Favourite factor: The two favourites to date have snared gold and silver medals at 5/6 & 15/8 respectively whilst claiming Placepot positions.
7.30: Three of the last four winners (at the time of writing) ridden by Michael J Murphy (well worth his three pound claim) have been for Charlie Hills and the pair team up again here with beaten favourite SHANGHAI GLORY who certainly has a chance to atone for those losses in this grade/company. That said, I offer alternative each way options in Ann Duffield's pair ENCANTAR and CUPPATEE. The reserve nomination is awarded to BRILLIANT VANGUARD.
Favourite factor: 11 of the last 13 winners were returned at odds of 8/1 or less during which time, five favourites have won, with market leaders having prevailed four times in the last six years. That said, the last five market leaders not to have won their respective events have finished out with the washing, missing out on toteplacepot positions.
Ripon record of course winners in the third event:
1/1--Excessable (good to firm)
1/2--Dodgy Bob (good)
1/1--Mustique (good to soft)
8.00: Four-year-olds have won three of the last five contests, which tells us that this year's quintet of vintage representatives are around 15/8 to extend the good run before the form book is consulted, the pick of which should prove to be Mick Channon's beaten favourite FINGAL'S CAVE. ADAMS ALE finished fourth in the race last year off 8-9, with Mark Walford's representative coming to the gig off the same weight this time around. Others to consider over your favourite late night tipple/early morning beverage include MISSISSIPPI and RED PIKE. If you are ever in a quiz team and the question master asks how many s's and p's are involved, just remember that the letters are 'pluralised' on every occasion! More importantly on this occasion, it should be noted that Mississippi won this event twelve months ago.
Favourite factor: Two of the eight favourites (via seven renewals) have secured toteplacepot positions, both market leaders having won their respective events.
Draw factor (six furlongs):
4-12-3 (10 ran-good to soft)
8-3 (7 ran-heavy-2014)
10-9-6 (11 ran-good-2013)
10-3-7 (13 ran-good to soft-2012)
5-11-8 (14 ran-good-2011)
9-12-7 (13 ran-good-2010)
5-1-2 (9 ran-good to firm-2009)
Ripon record of course winners in the fourth race:
1/9--Adams Ale (good)
1/6--Mississippi (good to soft)
1/6--Mappin Time (good)
1/3--Duke Cosimo (good)
8.30: Three-year-olds lead the four-year-olds 11-2 via results during the last 13 years and junior raiders to catch the eye on this occasion are beaten favourite FASTNET TEMPEST, INITIALLY and INDULGED. The latter named Teofilo filly from the James Fanshawe yard was a 25/1 chance when finishing fourth at Nottingham and will certainly no more of what is required this time around. The dark horse is unquestionably SOUTHERN STRIFE whose trainer Tim Easterby has hit form with something of a vengeance of late. A winner at the first time of asking at Catterick in a bumper event when the Dubawi raider was made favourite, David Allan's mount was returned as the market leader again at Huntingdon, but was not successful on the second occasion.
Favourite factor: Six favourites have obliged during the last fourteen years.
9.00: Regular readers will know my stance relating to marathon events which are generally in place for horses which lack speed which defies the notion of racing horses in the first place! Upwards and onward in positive mode by suggesting that the consistency from a Placepot perspective makes it impossible to leave ROLL ON BOLONSKI out of the mix, with CARPE VITA and STORMIN TOM added into the equation.
Favourite factor: Just two favourites have prevailed during the last fourteen years. Seven of the fourteen market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions during the last eleven years.
Ripon record of course winners in the Placepot finale:
1/3--Tuscan Gold (soft)
1/3--La Bacouetteuse (good to soft)
1/4--Stormin Tom (good to soft)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Ripon card on Thursday:
6--Tim Easterby (29/340 at Ripon during the last five years and then this season: 3/25)
6--Richard Fahey (34/253 - 3/24)
5--David O'Meara (40/223 - 3/20)
4--Kevin Ryan (10/126 - 0/7)
3--Charlie Hills (3/24 - 1/1)
3--Richard Whitaker (11/80 - 1/10)
2--David Barron (15/100 - 0/6)
2--Micky Hammond (8/53 - 1/1)
2--Michael Dods (8/66 - 0/1)
2--Ann Duffield (10/71 - 1/7)
2--Les Eyre (0/7 - 0/1)
2--Richard Guest (4/42 - 0/8)
2--Micky Hammond (8/76 - 0/9)
2--David Loughnane (First ever runners at Ripon on Wednesday)
2--Mark Walford 2/14 - 0/2)
+ 23 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
68 declared runners
Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Cartmel: £346.80 (6 favourites - 1 winner - 1 placed - 1 unplaced)
Fontwell: £59.90 (6 favourites - 3 winners - 1 placed - 2 unplaced)
Chelmsford: £288.80 (6 favourites - 3 winners - 1 placed - 2 unplaced)
Wolverhampton: £54.20 (7 favourites - 2 winners - 2 placed - 3 unplaced)
Records of represented trainers in the juvenile event at 6.30 - five year stats and then 2016 ratios:
7/103--Tim Easterby (Computable & Doctor Dynamie) - 1/7
7/39--Mark Johnston (Kahrab) - 1/5
13/74--Richard Fahey (Yorkshire Bounty) - 0/4
0/6--James Bethell (Flawlessly) - No two-year-old runners at Ripon yet this season
1/13--Tony Coyle (Newgate Sioux) - No runners
3/30--David O'Meara (Savannah's Dream) - 1/2
Simon Crisford (Shamsaya) saddles his first two-year-old runners at Ripon on Wednesday's