SALISBURY – JUNE 28
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £106.50 (7 favourites: 1 winner – 2 placed – 4 placed)
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Salisbury:
Leg 1 (2.10): 1 (Aljellaby), 5 (Christopher Wood) & 11 (Macaque)
Leg 2 (2.40): 2 (Pettochside), 4 (Satchville Flyer) & 3 (Inibaah)
Leg 3 (3.10): 7 (Onenightinparadise), 2 Another Day Of Sun) & 3 (Wildnightinvegas)
Leg 4 (3.40): 2 (Great Sound) & 3 (Stone The Crows)
Leg 5 (4.10): 2 (Swahbuckle), 6 (Hatsaway) & 7 (Rosa Demascina)
Leg 6 (4.40): 2 (Sir Roderic) & 4 (Storm Rock)
Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.10: Word of warning today; ground conditions softening all the time I would wager given the amount of rain which has fallen in Bristol (an hour or so away from Salisbury) this morning. Best of the shorter priced runners: ALJELLABY - Pick of the each way contenders: CHRISTOPHER WOOD - Outsider to consider: MACAQUE
Favourite factor: 12 of the 18 favourites have secured toteplacepot positions to date (six winners), statistics which ignore the 15/8 favourite in 2012 which was withdrawn before a new market could be formed. Out of interest, the second favourite won the race at odds of 11/4.
2.40: Best of the shorter priced runners: PETTOCHSIDE - Pick of the each way contenders: SATCHVILLE FLYER - Outsider to consider: INTIBAAH
Favourite factor: Six of the eleven favourites have snared toteplacepot positions via nine renewals to date, statistics which include four (7/2, 3/1, 11/4 and 5/2) winners.
Record of the course winners in the second race:
1/7—Waseem Faris (good to firm)
1/1—Edged Out (good to firm)
3.10: Best of the shorter priced runners: ONENIGHTINPARADISE - Pick of the each way contenders: ANOTHER DAY OF SUN - Outsider to consider: WILDNIGHTINVEGAS
Favourite factor: Five favourites have won to date, whilst nine market leaders secured toteplacepot positions in the process. 12 of the 15 winners won at 4/1 or less, with 13/2-10/1-7/1 chances snaring the other three contests.
3.40: Nine of the 16 winners of the ’Bibury Cup’ since the turn of the Millennium have carried weights of 9-1 or more, stats which include six of the last ten gold medallists. Best of the shorter priced runners: GREAT SOUND - Pick of the each way contenders: STONE THE CROWS
Favourite factor: 11 of the last 20 favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include four winners. Successful favourites were only conspicuous by their absence during the previous 11 years before the 9/4** market leader obliged three years ago. The race has reverted to type since then with market leading disappointing in general terms.
Record of the course winners in the fourth contest:
1/1—Stone The Crows (firm)
1/1—Seafarer (good to firm)
4.10: The last ten winners of this contest have carried weights of 9-4 or less which goes against two of the three horses at the top of the weight, with the other reprieved via a jockey allowance. Best of the shorter priced runners: SWASHBUCKLE - Pick of the each way contenders: HATSAWAY - Outsider to consider: ROSA DEMASCINA
Favourite factor: Seven of the twelve favourites (via eleven renewals) to date have claimed toteplacepot positions (four winners).
Record of the course winners in the fifth event on the card:
1/8—Cotton Club (good to firm)
4.40: Five-year-olds have won five of the last twelve renewals of this contest whilst nine of the last twelve winners carried a minimum burden of 9-5. STORM ROCK is the only player with ticks in both boxes in the last leg of our favourite wager, though with four-year-olds having secured four of the last five renewals, the chances of SIR RODERIC and WIND IN MY SAILS are respected. The ground could be quite soft by the time this event is contested, condition that would not worry the connection of either STORM ROCK or SIR RODERIC.
Favourite factor: Five of the last ten favourites (of one sort or another) have obliged.
Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:
1/1—Storm Rock (soft)
1/1—Takatul (good to firm)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Salisbury card on Wednesday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:
4 runners—Rod Millman (2/15 – loss of 2 points)
3—Andrew Balding (2/13 – Profit of 1 point)
3—Mick Channon (0/12)
3—David Evans (0/10)
3—Marcus Tregoning (0/3)
2—George Baker (No previous runners)
2—Ralph Beckett (1/10 – loss of 2 points)
2—Peter Chapple Hyam (0/1)
2—Charlie Hills (1/4 – Slight profit)
2—Eve Johnson Houghton (3/25 – loss of 12 points)
2—Mark Johnston (1/1 – Profit of 16 points)
2—Alan King (0/1)
2—Hughie Morrison (1/2 – Profit of 15 points)
2—Pat Phelan (No previous runners)
+ 28 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
65 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Bath: £760.10 – 6 favourites – No winners – 2 placed – 4 unplaced
Carlisle: £251.70 – 7 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 3 unplaced
Kempton: £32.80 – 6 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 3 unplaced
Worcester: £109.30 – 8 favourites – 3 winners – 3 placed – 2 unplaced