BATH - JUNE 29
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £75.00 (7 favourites 5 winners & 2 placed)
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Bath:
Leg 1 (6.00): 3 (Little Salamanca), 4 (Boychick) & 1 (Karens Star)
Leg 2 (6.30): 6 (Gold Merlion) & 2 (Icebuster)
Leg 3 (7.00): 3 (Cosette) & 4 (Argot)
Leg 4 (7.30): 6 (Blakeney Point), 4 (St Michel) & 2 (Snan)
Leg 5 (8.00): 3 (Burguillos), 8 (The Invisible Dog) & 11 (Colour Play)
Leg 6 (8.30): 10 (Lightning North) & 6 (Decruz)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
6.00: Four of the five winners have carried a minimum weight of 9-2 though given that the other gold medallist was burdened with 8-12, I could allow Roger Charlton's dual beaten favourite Final Choice into the mix I guess, though a three pound claimer in the saddled scuppers those thoughts. Moving back up the handicap, the pick of the four official qualifiers via the weight stats from my viewpoint are LITTLE SALAMANCA, BOYCHICK and KARENS STAR.
Favourite Factor: We still await the first successful favourite following five renewals though that said, the biggest priced winner to date was returned at just 6/1. Only one of the five market leaders have secured a toteplacepot position thus far. Three of the six Placepot races on Wednesday evening are new events.
6.30: GOLD MERLION stats out from the crowd here, especially if we don't get too much rain now and flag fall. We have to take it on trust that Mark Johnston's debut juvenile winner has trained on but if so, her win at the first time of asking last year erases most of the doubts relating to potential fitness. The relevant two-year-old victory was gained at Thirsk before the Alhaarth representative contested two warm races at Goodwood and Curragh. Mark is saddling plenty of winner of late for good measure, with connections probably having most to fear from ICEBUSTER and (possibly) MISTER MUSICMASTER.
Record of course winner in the second event on the card:
1/6--Mister Musicmaster (firm)
7.00: All three victories gained by COSETTE have been recorded with plenty of moisture in the turf whereby the rain on the radar at the time of writing will be warmly greet by connections of the hat trick seeker. On the other hand, Danglydontask will want better ground to prevail in all probability which potentially leaves DEEPSAND and ARGOT as the main dangers to the tentative selection (COSETTE).
Favourite Factor: Last year's inaugural 10/11 favourite duly obliged.
Record of course winners in the second event on the card:
1/3--Danglydontask (goot to firm)
7.30: BLAKENEY POINT has run by far his best two races on good ground which should not be far from the official quote by the time that the flags drop on Wednesday. Being the highest track above sea level in the land, conditions dry out very quickly if any semblance of wind is in the offing, hence the going description of 'Hard' is commonplace at the venue, though not in this 'summer' of discontent! Few trainers have been as badly affected by all the recent rains than Sir Mark Prescott (ST MICHEL) because although the trainer has been saddling winners, the numbers are nothing like as good as they usually are at this time of the year. Mark's June strike rate ratio at present stands at 9.1% and he will want to see winners flowing consistently, sooner rather than later. SNAN is set to be blinkered for the first time despite winning two of his last four races which makes for interesting reading.
8.00: It's difficult to look past BURGUILLOS, especially from a Placepot perspective. Alan King has enjoyed a great summer thus far but with a 1/11 record at Bath in recent times, I will oppose Alan's raider with THE INVISIBLE DOG and COLOUR PLAY, not that I will become in the race aside from our favourite wager. Any money for the Charlie Hills newcomer AMAANY would add some interest to proceedings.
Favourite Factor: Last year's inaugural 5/4 market leader failed to score in a four runner 'win only' contest.
8.30: Although Nazik has won a race, there is every reason to oppose the experienced runners in the line up, so much so that I will side with LIGHTNING NORTH and DECRUZ in the Placepot finale. James Tate (LIGHTNING NORTH) has his team in fine form and his Mayson representative would not have to be overly precocious to win this contest at the first time of asking.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Bath card on Wednesday:
5--Roger Charlton (1/6 at Bath this season - winner at 20/1)
4--Richard Hannon (3/25 winners at 12/1-5/4*-1/2*)
4--Gary Moore (1/4 - winner at 16/1)
3--Charlie Hills (1/8 - winner at 14/1)
3--Eve Johnson Houghton (0/12)
3--Neil Mulholland (0/6)
2--Mick Channon (4/17 winners at 9/1-8/1-11/4*-5/2)
2--Clive Cox (3/13 - winners at 5/2*-15/8*- 7/4*)
2--Ron Harris (0/6)
2--Steph Hollinshead (2/5 - winners at 28/1 & 9/2)
2--Mark Johnston (0/5)
2--Alan King (0/3)
2--Michael Madgwick (---)
2--Rod Millman (2/14 - winners at 4/1 & 7/2)
2--John O'Shea (0/5)
+ 30 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
70 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Kempton A/W: £51.60 - 7 favourites - 2 winners - 2 placed - 3 unplaced
Perth: £9.50 - 6 favourites - 2 winners & 4 placed
Worcester: £14.00 - 6 favourites - 3 winners - 2 placed - 1 unplaced
Bath: - see stats above - David Evans secured a 5/2 double on last year's card - 1 runner on Wednesday
Catterick - New fixture
Bath overview - 5 year record of represented trainers in the juvenile event at 8.30:
4/38--David Evans (Nazik)
1/14--Rod Millman (Glory Of Paris)
0/1--David Dennis (Kody Ridge)
0/3--John Gallagher (Legendoire
0/22--Bill Turner (Irish Melody)
7/47--Richard Hannon (Decruz)
0/1--Dean Ivory (Seaview)
0/15--Jamie Osborne (Marquee Club)
1/8--Sylvester Kirk (Springbourne)
2/9--James Tate (Lightning North)
2/16--Eve Johnson Houghton (Dixie Beach)