KEMPTON – JUNE 7
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £202.00 (6 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 3 unplaced)
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Kempton:
Leg 1 (5.55): 2 (Saleh), 5 (Papou Tony) & 4 (Bumptious)
Leg 2 (6.25): 1 (Karisma) & 3 (Tegara)
Leg 3 (6.55): 5 (Don’t Give Up), 7 (Khitaamy) & 3 (Tyrolean)
Leg 4 (7.25): 2 (Winston C), 10 (Nathan Mayer) & 7 (Arctic Sea)
Leg 5 (7.55): 1 (Captain Peacock) & 8 (Langlauf)
Leg 6 (8.25): 5 (Pastoral Music) & 3 (Chelsea’s Boy)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
5.55: Four-year-olds have won four of the last six renewals, whilst the last eight gold medallists have carried a minimum burden of 9-1. Five horses possess ticks in both of the trend boxes, with SALEH, PAPOU TONY and BUMPTIOUS hopefully proving to be the pick of the relevant quartet. The overnight reserve nomination is awarded to DREAM FARR.
Favourite factor: Only four of the ten favourites during the last decade secured Placepot positions, albeit three of them won their respective events at 3/1, 9/4 & 7/4.
Record of the course winners in the opening event:
1/4—Fairway To Heaven
1/11—Good Luck Charm
6.25: KARISMA has been made favourite on her last three assignments, winning on just one occasion. That said, Roger Varian has found another opportunity for his Lawman filly though she enters my ‘last chance saloon’ in this Class 4 event, however harsh that might sound. TEGARA is the obvious danger from my viewpoint, albeit the David Simcock team has been under something of a cloud this season. By this time last year, David was boasting a 22% strike rate compared to just half that figure during the April/May/June this time around.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Kempton card.
Record of the course winners in the second race:
6.55: Something of a guessing game in all honesty, a contest that would have been much easier to assess with history attached to the event. Saeed Bin Suroor has declared his Dubawi colt DON’T GIVE UP, whilst other entries that catch the eye include KHITAAMY and TYROLEAN, horses that hold experience over many of their rivals.
Favourite factor: This is another new event on the Kempton programme.
7.25: Unexposed WINSTON C is an interesting contender for Michael Bell whose runners having been running well enough this season. The handicapper might have the measure of Aran Moon for the time being, whereby NATHAN MAYER and ARCTIC SEA are preferred.
Favourite factor: Three of the four market leaders to date have finished in the frame, stats which include one (11/8) winner.
Record of the course winners in the fourth contest on the card:
7.55: Three horses come off lengthy breaks and Clowance One might prove to be the pick of the trio, albeit Roger Charlton’s Oasis Dream gelding has been off the track the longest, nineteen months having slipped by since his last assignment. In the circumstances, CAPTAIN PEACOCK and LANGLAUF are preferred, both horses returning to a Polytrack surface after disappointing efforts on turf last time out.
Favourite factor: This is the third of the four new events on the Placepot card.
Record of the course winners in the fifth race:
8.25: Hughie Morrison has been saddling winning horses on a regular basis of late and stable representative PASTORAL MUSIC might maintain his 100% course record at the track, albeit this is just his second assignment at Kempton. CHELSEA’S BOY was a big disappointment to connections on turf the last day, though a return to an all-weather surface could prove to be exactly what the doctor ordered.
Favourite factor: Yet another new contest which hardly helps a self-confessed ‘anorak’ like yours truly.
Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:
1/7—See And Be Seen
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Kempton card on Wednesday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:
3 runners—Lee Carter (3/23 – loss of 10 points)
3—Roger Charlton (2/11 – Profit of 4 points)
3—Ed Dunlop (0/6)
3—Hughie Morrison (2/8 – loss of 1 point)
2—John Butler (1/21 – loss of 12 points)
2—Eve Johnson Houghton (0/16)
2—Richard Hughes (2/26 – Profit of 1 point)
2—Sylvester Kirk (2/12 – Profit of 1 point)
2—William Knight (5/19 – slight loss)
2—Ismail Mohammed (0/3)
2—Gary Moore (4/23 – loss of 1 point)
2—Sir Mark Prescott (1/3 – slight loss)
+ 34 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
62 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Hamilton: £47.10 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced
Ripon: £40.90 – 7 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced
Uttoxeter: £17.20 – 7 favourites – 3 winners & 4 placed
Wolverhampton: £15.50 – 6 favourites – 4 winners & 2 placed