Placepot pointers – Wednesday June 8

BEVERLEY – JUNE 8

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £4,565.00 (8 favourites: 2 winners - 1 placed - 5 placed)

 

Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Beverley: 

Leg 1 (2.00): 3 (Benidiction) & 6 (Springforth)

Leg 2 (2.30): 6 (Bond Bombshell), 7 (Emerald Bay) & 5 (Bounty Pursuit)

Leg 3 (3.00): 7 (North Spirit), 1 (Burtonwood) & 11 (Incomparable)

Leg 4 (3.30): 9 (Shadowtime), 5 (Dutch Artist) & 1 (Jacbequick)

Leg 5 (4.00): 3 (Lostock Hall) & 1 (Yorkindred Spirit)

Leg 6 (4.30): 4 (Talent Scout) & 8 (Joyful Star)

Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

2.00: Ann Duffield was on a roll this time last year when saddling the winner of this event in 2016, her sixth gold medallist via her last twenty runners.  Things are not quite as good for the trainer this time around, though her last two runners at the time of writing scored at 6/4, whilst the other was beaten half a length at 14/1. Throw in the fact that Ann is the only one of the represented trainers to have saddled a juvenile winner here at Beverley this year and we have to respect the chance of BENIDICTION. Ann describes her filly as a tough and game sort who is nominated as the first name on the team sheet in this grade company.  SPRINGFORTH is the obvious danger, whilst connections of CHARLIE BEER PUNT might have to settle for the bronze medal.

Favourite factor: Five of the last eleven favourites have won, given that the 2013 market leader was withdrawn before a new market could be formed.  The five favourites mentioned are the only market leaders to have triumphed in the last nineteen years.  Eight of the eighteen favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, though the last three (odds on) market leaders have finished out of the toteplacepot money at odds of 2/5-4/9-4/6.

2.30: 17 of the 27 toteplacepot positions (including four of the nine winners at 12/1-12/1--15/2-4/1*) have been claimed by horses carrying weights of 8-12 or more. Three of the twelve runners are eliminated (one via a jockey claim), with the pick of the remaining nine declarations hopefully proving to be BOND BOMBSHELL, EMERALD BAY and BOUNTY PURSUIT.  David O'Meara heads the trainer's list at the track this season (5/15) and BOND BOMBSHELL is the first of five runners on the card for David on Wednesday.

Favourite factor: Five of the eleven market leaders (via nine contests) have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include one (4/1) winner.

Beverley record of course winners in the second race:

1/10--Bronze Beau (good to firm)

1/2--Roaring Rory (good to firm)

1/2--Bond Bombshell (good to firm)

1/12--Tinsili (good)

1/4--George Bailey (good to firm)

3.00: This is the second heat of the previous event, with three of the twelve declarations being eliminated from my enquiries via the weight stats.  The pick of the other nine contenders are NORTH SPIRIT, BURTONWOOD and SILVER SANDS from my viewpoint. One of the horses I have discarded (unfortunately to a fashion) is INCOMPARABLE who has won divisions of this event in each of the last two years.  The jury 'is out' as I write in terms of whether I will bend the weight trends on this occasion.

Favourite factor: This is the second division of the previous race on the card whereby the same stats and facts apply.

Beverley record of course winners in the third contest on the card:

2/9--Incomparable (good to soft & good to firm)

3.30: The ground on Wednesday will be an important factor, especially in this event as you can see by the details included in the record of course winners below. SHADOWTIME would be an obvious place to start on fast ground, whilst JACBEQUICK is the only Beveley winner in the line up who has prevailed here under opposite conditions, a fact which might be worth considering if the heavens open between now and flag fall.  DURCH ARTIST is added to the overnight equation.

Favourite factor: The inaugural (10/11) market leader finished second behind the 12/1 winner, though the effort secured a toteplacepot position in the ‘short field’ contest.  New readers might want to know the term (short field) used by yours truly which refers to a five/six/seven runner race in which only the first and second horses home ‘qualify’ from a toteplacepot/each way perspective.  One of the two 9/2 joint favourites last year secured a Placepot positon by winning the relevant event with the previous 3/1 market leader failing to finish in the frame

Beverley record of course winners in the fourth race on the card:

3/13--Jacbequick (good to firm - good - heavy)

2/7--Rocket Ronnie (2 x good to firm)

7/36--Shadowtime (6 x good to firm & 1 x firm)

1/2--Lopito De Vego (good)

4.00: The last eight winners have carried a maximum wight of 9-4. Only three of the five runners seemingly 'qualify' via the weight stats, though two of those runners are set to drift below the required weight via jockey claims.  The pick of the three remaining contenders appears to be LOSTOCK HALL and YORKINDRED SPIRIT.

Favourite factor: 11 of the last 12 winners were sent off at odds of 8/1 or less, with four gold medallists being returned as market leaders.  Seven of the last nine favourites have secured toteplacepot positions.

Beverley record of course winners in the fifth event:

1/3--Yorkindred Spirit (good to firm)

5/16--King Of The Celts (5 x good to firm)

4/20--Saint Thomas (4 x good to firm)

4.30: Four-year-olds have secured five of the last ten renewals, whilst six of the last nine winners have carried weights of 9-2 or less. TALENT SCOUT and JOYFUL STAR might offer potential investors decent value for money against horses further up the weights, the pick of which is MAKE ON MADAM according to the gospel of yours truly.

Favourite factor: Nine of the ten favourites have finished out with the washing (no winners) to date though bookmakers have not had things all their own way as the biggest priced winner was returned at 10/1.

Beverley record of course winners in the Placepot finale:

1/2--So It's War (good to firm)

1/3--Baltic Prince (good to firm)

2/11--Make On Madam (2 x good)

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1/5--Talent Scout (good to firm)

1/5--Mercury (good to firm)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Beverley card on Wednesday:

5--Tim Easterby (26/309 at Beverley during the last five years and the ratio for 2016: 2/18)

5--David O'Meara (33/169 - 5/15)

4--Richard Fahey (34/249 - 2/18)

4--Kevin Ryan (17/153 - 1/17)

4--Colin Teague (0/5 - 0/1)

4--Nigel Tinkler (5/97 - 0/5)

3--Scott Dixon (6/53 - 0/3)

3--Ivan Furtado (2/9 - 1/2)

3--Ed McMahon (1/17 - 0/1)

3--Ollie Pears (10/100 - 1/4)

3--Noel Wilson (4/30 - 1st runners this season)

2--Michael Appleby (4/44 - 0/7)

2--Alan Brown (0/33 - 1st runners)

2--Keith Dalgleish (5/27 - 1/6)

2--Mark Johnston (58/239 - 2/19)

2--David Loughnane (0/5 - 0/5)

2--Karen Tutty (3/37 - 0/2)

2--Tracy Waggott (9/92 - 0/5)

2--John Wainwright (0/55 - 0/1)

2--Fred Watson (0/9 - 1st runners)

+ 27 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

86 declared runners

 

General overview

Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Hamilton: £21.50 (7 favourites - 3 winners - 3 placed - 1 unplaced)

Haydock: £22.80 (8 favourites - 4 winners - 2 placed - 2 unplaced)

Kempton: £42.90 (6 favourites - 2 winners - 2 placed - 2 unplaced)

Other meeting: Yarmouth (closed for much of last year for track maintenance)

 

Beverley overwiew: 

Five year record of represented trainers in the juvenile division, relevant to the 2.00 event:

1/9--Tom Dascombe (Charlie Beer Punt)

1/23--Ollie Pears (Tough To Bear & Fire Engine)

9/59--Ann Duffield (Benediction) - only trainer to have saddled a 2YO winner at Beverley this season: 1/3

1st two year old runner at Beverley--Ivan Furtado (Fair Skies)

16/95--Richard Fahey (Springforth)

0/5--Ed McMahon (Suetonius)

0/12--Scott Dixon (Eid Rose)

 

 

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