WINCANTON - MARCH 1
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £12.00 (6 favourites – 4 winners – 1 placed – 1 unplaced)
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Wincanton:
Leg 1 (2.10): 7 (Cornish Warrior) & 1 (Fountains Windfall)
Leg 2 (2.40): 6 (Pure Vision), 1 (Sleep Easy) & 5 (Instagram)
Leg 3 (3.10): 3 (Ballinvarrig), 1 (Orbasa) & 2 (Uhlan Bute)
Leg 4 (3.40): 5 (Murrayana) & 3 (Apple’s Queen)
Leg 5 (4.10): 8 (Tangley) & 5 (Kristal Hart)
Leg 6 (4.40): 6 (Karl Marx), 8 (Norphin) & 3 (Lady Longshot)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.10: Neil Mulholland is sending out plenty of winners (under both codes) at present whereby the value for money (win and place) call in the opening event could prove to be CORNISH WARRIOR. Noel Fehily takes the ride on this occasion and stronger handling (respectfully) might change decent efforts (not beaten far in his last three assignments) into a successful raid. Neil’s six-year-old Oscar representative comes here following a three month break and I could fancy CORNISH WARRIOR to figure prominently, certainly from a Placepot perspective. Having contested lively events At Sandown and Kempton since his Fontwell success, FOUNTAINS WINDFALL will be a popular choice for those of you looking to back the winner of the first event on the card.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 6/5 favourite duly obliged.
2.40: Four of the six runners have won on either of their last two assignments which makes this ‘short field’ contest difficult to assess, especially with just two Placepot positions up for grabs. I find it interesting that the two outsiders in the trade press represent the only pair of trainers that could be classed as being in form, namely Neil Mulholland (SLEEP EASY) and David Pipe (INSTAGRAM), their aggregate ratios during the last fortnight standing at 8/34, figures which compare favourably to the 2/49 stats via the other four handlers during the study period. I will take a chance on this pair alongside PURE VISION who I concede has a better chance of winning via the form book.
Favourite factor: Last year’s event was also another new race on the Wincanton card and once again, the (5/2) market leader prevailed.
3.10: Horses carrying a minimum burden of 11-1 have secured all four contests to date, along with seven of the eight available Placepot positions. Only one position is ‘vacant’ this time around with just four runners having been declared, the pick of which should prove to be BALLINVARRIG and ORBASA. That said, yesterday’s last leg of the Placepot returns to haunt me as I write, given that the “match” I predicted went horribly wrong, whereby I will add UHLAN BUTE into the ‘win only’ mix. It’s worth noting that although Tom George (BALLINVARRIG) has ‘only’ won with four of his last seventeen runners, five others have secured silver medals during the period. By the by, I appreciate that all four runners ‘qualify’ via the weight trend this time around, though I have updated the figures for our ‘collective’ records.
Favourite factor: Two of the four market leaders have secured Placepot positions, statistics which include one (15/8) winner.
3.40: It’s always good to see the name ‘Alner’ on a racecourse (especially here in the south-west), with memories of Robert’s fine achievements flooding back as I write, none of which is more potent than Cool Dawn’s victory in the Cheltenham Gold Cup, the twentieth anniversary of which will be celebrated next year. Upwards and onwards by suggesting that the relevant entry APPLE’S QUEEN should go close to winning here, though marginal preference is (reluctantly) offered to MURRAYANA this time around.
Favourite factor: Six of the nine favourites have won, though the other three market leaders all finished out of the frame (exact science). Market leaders come to the gig on a four timer on this occasion.
Record of the course winners in the fourth race:
1/2--Loch Ba (soft)
4.10: With stats this season of just 5/75 this side of the Irish Sea, ‘Slippers’ Madden has struggled for winners this season, though Harry Fry has supplied three of those gold medallists and there is a chance that the ‘bandwagon’ could roll on successfully here with TANGLEY in a race that will not require a great deal of winning. Having offered positive stats for Neil Mulholland on the card, I cannot ignore the chance of KRISTAL HART.
Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 4/9 favourites was turned over, albeit second place was enough to secure a Placepot position.
4.40: It’s difficult to eliminate any of the nine entries entirely, with layers likely to offer around 9/2 the field which makes for decent ‘each way’ reading. My trio against the field consists of KARL MARX, NORPHIN and LADY LONGSHOT, though I appreciate your three Placepot options could be entirely different, especially as the represented trainers can only muster recent stats of 1/29 between them!
Favourite factor: Three of the five market leaders have finished in the frame via four renewals to date, statistics which include one (5/2**) winner.
Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:
2/8--Thundering Home (good to firm & heavy)
2/10--Karl Marx (2 x good)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Wincanton card on Wednesday – followed by their five year ratio at the track + profits/losses accrued:
3 runners—Neil Mulholland (6/30 – Profit of 25 points)
2—Harry Fry (1/15 – loss of 13 points)
2—Tom George (3/9 – Profit of 6 points)
2—Peter Hedger (No previous runners this season)
2—Anthony Honeyball (1/7 – loss of 2 points)
2—Nick Mitchell (0/6)
2—David Pipe (0/8)
2—Colin Tizzard (4/38 – loss of 16 points)
2—Robert Walford (2/20 – loss of 1 point)
+ 25 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
44 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Strange corresponding details to offer on Wednesday, albeit Newcastle does not qualify on the madness front because racing on the all-weather track had not started this time last year.
Now the fun starts – The Ffos Las programme is taken from races previously contested at Hereford and Chepstow down the years.
As for Musselburgh, the BHA information page tells me that the corresponding meeting was held in November – this season! Something surely cannot be right with that statement!