EXETER – MARCH 30
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £478.00 (6 favourites - 1 winner - 2 placed - 3 unplaced)
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Exeter:
Leg 1 (2.00): 5 (Romeo Is Bleeding) & 7 (Dainty Diva)
Leg 2 (2.30): 1 (Twentytwo's Taken), 6 (Space Oddity) & 2 (Winning Spark)
Leg 3 (3.05): 1 (Cloudy Beach) & 2 (Sonny The One)
Leg 4 (3.40): 3 (Call The Detective), 5 (Brook) & 2 (Umberto D'Olivate)
Leg 5 (4.10): 1 (Shoofly Milly) & 6 (Admiral Blake)
Leg 6 (4.45): 5 (Allchilledout), 1 (Trespassers Will) & 8 (Brave Deed)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
2.00: Four and five-year-olds have equally split four of the six renewals thus far, whilst five gold medallists were burdened with a maximum weight of 11-1. With no four and five-year-olds having been declared (left in the analysis for you to record - wake up trainers), the weight trends produce five qualifiers, the pick of which will hopefully prove to be ROMEO IS BLEEDING and DAINTY DIVA. The overnight reserve nomination is awarded to Drummond, as Mother Meldrum's victory here recent was gained on a much sounder surface.
Favourite factor: Three of the five favourites (one winner) have secured toteplacepot positions whilst it's worth noting that the two market leaders which missed out were bother sent off at odds on prices
Exeter record of course winners in the opening event:
2.30: With nearly fifty points of level stake profits in March, David Pipe has enjoyed a month to remember whereby TWENTYTWO'S TAKEN is expected to overcome eleven months off the track to score on his favoured ground. WINNING SPARK is not often far away when the mud is flying, whilst SPACE ODDITY completes my trio against the other five runners in this 'dead eight' event. Although Harry Fry (SPACE ODDITY) has not had his team at the top of their game consistently these last few weeks, only three trainers had saddled more winners than the talented handler during the month of March at the time of writing.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Exeter card.
Exeter record of course winners in the second race:
3.05: Venetia Williams is one of just two trainers to have saddled a winner in this race, whilst her nine-year-old old raider CLOUDY BEACH is one of just two horses running off their correct marks in the 'short field' line-up. Venetia certainly seems to know which God to pray to in terms of wanting soft/heavy ground, something that at least 90% of her inmates thrive on. SONNY THE ONE (another soft/heavy ground performer) is the other horse in the field carrying the right weight. I cannot envisage any other winner of the contest. New readers might want to know that the term 'short field' relates to five/six/seven runners race in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way and Placepot perspectives.
Favourite factor: The inaugural 3/1 favourite duly obliged when accompanied by two 12/1 chances in the toteplacepot frame, before last year's 11/8 favourite could only finish third in a four runner 'win only' contest which was won by a 7/1 chance, the outsider of the party.
3.40: There seems something inevitable about this race not being contested by all five of the overnight entries. Perhaps it is the 'Placepot anorak' in me that is invariably aware of the danger of a potential five runner contest though either way, I will opt for three of the five declarations in the list, namely CALL THE DETECTIVE, BROOK and UMBERTO D'OLIVATE. All three horses have question marks regarding their characters, though there is every chance that at least one of them will be on their 'A game' on Wednesday.
Favourite factor: Search parties are still out looking for the first two beaten favourites via just three renewals thus far. The initial 4/1 favourite finished last of eight (trained by Philip Hobbs) whilst the 2015 (85/40) market leader was the only runner not to complete the course having been pulled up. Thankfully, last year's successful 2/1 'jolly' retrieved some of the losses.
Exeter record of course winners in the fourth contest on the card:
4.10: I short listed last year's 9/1 winner and hoping to offer a similar scenario this time around, my attraction is drawn towards SHOOFLY MILLY, ADMIRAL BLAKE and STORM ALERT. It took ten shots at the shy for SHOOFLY MILLY to win the coconut but now that Jeremy Scott's Milan representative has achieved the goal, further progress can be expected from his seven-year-old mare.
Favourite factor: Three of the six favourites have secured toteplacepot positions via three renewals, statistics which include one (2/1) winner. The last three contests have been won by horses which were sent off at 28/1-22/1-9/1.
Exeter record of course winners in the fifth event:
4.45: The Taunton winning form of ALLCHILLEDOUT was franked in no uncertain terms by Man Of God on Easter Monday and Colin Tizzard's Alflora gelding can gain his second victory on his seventh assignment. Connections might have most to fear from the likes of TRESPASSERS WILL and BRAVE DEED.
Favourite factor: This is another new event on the Exeter programme.
Exeter record of course winners in the toteplacepot finale:
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Exeter card on Wednesday:
3--David Pipe (3/28 at Exeter this season)
3--Jeremy Scott (1/11)
2--Chris Down (2/17)
2--Jimmy Fox (1/22)
2--Sue Gardner (0/14)
2--Sophie Leech (0/3)
2--Fiona Shaw (1/2)
2--Colin Tizzard (3/26)
+ 34 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
18 declared runners