AYR – MAY 18
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £145.20 (6 favourites: No winners - 1 placed - 5 unplaced)
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Ayr:
Leg 1 (1.30): 1 (Book Of Poetry) & 2 (Captain Hawk)
Leg 2 (2.00): 9 (Captain Joey) & 4 (Alba Dawn)
Leg 3 (2.35): 3 (Insolenceofoffice), 8 (Mo Wonder) & 1 (Goninodaethat)
Leg 4 (3.10): 5 (Funding Deficit), 7 (Favourite Treat) & 1 (Alejandro)
Leg 5 (3.45): 10 (Nice Vintage) & 9 (San Cassiano)
Leg 6 (4.20): 13 (Namhrooda), 9 (Lustrous) & 5 (Elbereth)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
1.30: Just a quick 'heads up' regarding the 'Plus 10' prefix attached to this event in case you are new to the sport. This is an industry based bonus scheme (came into effect early last year as I recall) which offers £10k to connections of the winners of relevant two and three-year-old races during the season. Upwards and onward by suggesting that Mark Johnston might just have had the 'Plus 10' factor on his mind when withdrawing BOOK OF POETRY from a Nottingham race on Tuesday in favour of this contest. Certainly the way that Hakeem won that Nottingham event suggests that this was the right option anyway. Charlie Hills has a decent record with all his runners (including juveniles) here at Ayr as the figures down towards the bottom of the page will confirm. Charlie's Acclamation raider CAPTAIN HAWK contested a hot race at Ascot at the first time of asking whereby his chance in this grade is there for all to see.
Favourite factor: This is a new race with which to open proceedings at Ayr on Wednesday.
2.00: Charlie Hills has another live prospect here with CAPTAIN JOEY who contested a couple of reasonable maiden events in his first year at school last season, though his seasonal debut at Salisbury proved disappointing. That said, Charlie has found a good opportunity here, with connections probably having most to fear from the likes of fellow three-year-old raider ALBA DAWN and (possibly) HAB REEH.
Favourite factor: This is another new race on the programme.
2.35: All eleven victories snared by INSOLENCEOFOFFICE down the years have been gained off his present (54) mark or a great deal higher, rising to 83 at one stage of his career. The same comment (to a fashion) applies to BOGSNOG, whilst GONINODAETHAT is consistent enough in this (low) grade. If you are looking for an each alternative option, MO WONDER is the call, especially as Kieren Fallon boasts a ratio of 2/4 for trainer Adrian Paul Keatley in recent years.
Favourite factor: This is another new race on the programme.
Ayr record of course winners in the third race:
6/35--Goninodaethat - Six wins have been gained on all types of ground
3.10: Six-year-olds have secured four of the six contests thus far, with vintage representatives around the 11/8 mark to add to their total before the form book is consulted. Relevant raiders FUNDING DEFICIT and FAVOURITE TREAT are the first names on the team sheet though with this being a 'short field' contest, ALEJANDRO has to be added into the overnight equation.
Favourite factor: Five renewals have slipped by since the only (5/2) favourite prevailed in the inaugural running of the contest. The last four market leaders finished out with the washing.
Ayr record of course winners in the fourth contest:
1/3--Alejandro (Good to firm - all seven wins have been gained on fast ground)
1/3--Al Khan (Good to firm - all seven wins have been gained on fast ground)
2/8--Funding Deficit (All five wins gained under fast conditions)
3.45: Eight of the nine horses to have secured toteplacepot positions to date carried a maximum weight of 9-3, statistics which include all three winners. Six of the ten runners fit the bill on this occasion, as does one other in all probability via a jockey claim, ROYAL REGENT being the potential outsider in question. More logical winners down the handicap include NICE VINTAGE and last year's beaten favourite SAN CASSIANO.
Favourite factor: Only one of the five market leaders (winner at 4/1) has secured a toteplacepot position thus far via three renewals.
Ayr record of course winners in the fifth event)
1/5--Beautiful Stanger (Good)
1/3--Royal Regent (Soft)
1/1--Lostock Hall (Good)
1/4--Merchant Of Dubai (Good to soft - tends to do better with juice in the ground)
1/7--San Cassino (Soft - but has won on all types of going)
1/1--Nice Vintage (Good to firm)
4.20: NAMHROODAH represents James Tate who has his team in fine form at the time of writing. Before his runner contested a late race on Tuesday (result unknown when penning this column), James had won with four of his last nine runners. Others up for consideration over your late night tipple/early morning beverage should include LUSTROUS, MALEFICIENT QUEEN and ELBERETH from my viewpoint.
Favourite factor: The toteplacepot finale is another new race on the card.
Ayr record of course winners of the sixth race:
1/1--Maleficent Queen (good - total record of 4/5 in career, gained on ground ranging from Good to soft to Good to firm)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Ayr card on Wednesday:
8--Jim Goldie (49/511 at Ayr during the last five years)
6--Linda Perratt (23/303)
4--Ruth Carr (12/123)
4--Adrian Paul Keatley (9/27)
4--David O'Meara (26/139)
3--Keith Dalgleish (40/306)
3--Michael Dods (22/175)
3--Charlie Hills (8/25)
3--Lee Smythe (0/8)
2--Alan Bailey (4/31)
2--Karl Burke (12/65)
2--Miss Clare Louise Cannon (0/3)
2--Richard Fahey (32/311)
2--Richard Ford (2/17)
2--Richard Guest (5/77)
2--Richard Hannon (2/11)
2--John David Riches (2/10)
2--Kevin Ryan (14/147)
2--Krstin Stubbs (1/22)
2--James Tate (0/7)
2--Noel Wilson (0/30)
+ 15 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
77 declared runners
Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Kempton (A/W): 131.20 (6 favourites - 1 winner - 2 placed - 3 unplaced)
Southwell (NH): £56.20 (6 favourites - 2 winners - 3 placed - 1 placed)
Warwick: £945.50 (6 favourties - 1 winner - 1 placed - 4 unplaced) - 10/1 double for Nicky Henderson last year - 2 runners on Wednesday
New Meeting: Bath
Represent trainers in the juvenile race (1.30) and their five year 2YO records at the track:
Mark Johnston--6/61 (Book Of Poetry)
Charlie Hills --4/11 (Captain Hawk)
Richard Fehey--10/78 (Dalton)
David Barron--3/9 (Danielsflyer)
Karl Burke--6/22 (Man About Town)
Richard Hannon--1/7 (Northern Thunder)