Placepot Pointers

Placepot Pointers – Wednesday May 24

AYR – MAY 24

 

Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2016: £347.90 (10 favourites: 3 winners - 3 placed - 4 unplaced)

 

Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Ayr: 

Leg 1 (2.20): 11 (Noble Manner) & 1 (Bustam)

Leg 2 (2.50): 1 (Duncan Of Scotland) & 6 (Lizzy’s Dream)

Leg 3 (3.20): 6 (Secret City), 4 (Bahamian Sunshine) & 5 (Dutch Dream)

Leg 4 (3.50): 5 (Tylery Wonder), 6 (Royal Brave) & 8 (Tommy G)

Leg 5 (4.20): 7 (Gilded Refection), 10 (Jay Kay) & 1 (Dark Devil)

Leg 6 (4.50): 5 (Royal Regent), 11 (Miningrocks) & 14 (Arithmetic)

Suggested stake: 288 bets to 10p stakes

 

Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page

 

2.20: Don’t be surprised if Sir Walter comes on a bundle for her effort in the ‘Lily Agnes’ when thrown in at the deep end at Chester the other week, albeit more logical winners include NOBLE MANNERS (unusually Mark Johnston’s only runner on the card) and BUSTAM.  The latter named John Quinn newcomer is on offer at varying prices at the time of writing, as short as 9/4 in a place but as big as 7/2 elsewhere.  If the bookmakers are struggling, what chance have we got!

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 9/4 favourite could only finish fifth of six.

 

2.50: Last year’s 9/1 winner (Hab Reeh) was short listed though a shorter priced winner is expected to be recorded today with DUNCAN OF SCOTLAND having been declared.  Lee Smyth’s (good to firm) course and distance winner should have too many guns for the opposition in this grade/company, the pick of which might prove to be LIZZY’S DREAM.

Favourite factor: One of the two inaugural 4/1 joint favourites finished in the frame without winning the respective event.

Record of the course winners in the second race:

1/3—Duncan Of Scotland (good to firm)

7/46—Goinodaethat (4 x soft + good/Good to soft/good to firm)

 

3.20: SECRET CITY is another Rebecca Bastiman raider on the card with each way claims (as was Lizzy’s Dream in the previous race on the card), especially with fast ground in evidence for this three time course winner.  Others to consider over your breakfast include BAHAMIAN SUNSHINE and DUTCH DREAM.

Favourite factor: Only one of the three inaugural 9/2 co favourites secured a Placepot position, with a 33/1 winner having been recorded.

Record of course winner in the third event on the card:

3/8—Secret City (2 x good to firm + good)

 

3.50: Jim Goldie is a ‘one off’ trainer and no mistake and once again, the trainer has put the cat amongst the pigeons here by dropping his recent seven furlong winner down to contesting a race over the minimum trip!  TOMMY G is the relevant horse in the contest and if anything is making ground up on the leaders at the business end of proceedings, surely Jim’s four-year-old raider will be the one from a Placepot perspective.  Others that will have been committed for home earlier in the contest should include TYLERY WONDER and ROYAL BRAVE.

Favourite factor: Last year’s inaugural 9/4 favourite could only finish fifth of six.

Record of course winners in the fourth contest:

1/4—Rural Celebration (good to soft)

2/5—Dark Defender (Good & soft)

1/1—Invisible Ridge (good to soft)

1/1—Tommy G (good to firm)

 

4.20: The 20/1 on offer about four time course winner JAY KAY looks far too big from my viewpoint, albeit the ground will be plenty lively enough for Karl Burke’s representative.  GILDED REFELCTION is an interesting southern raider, whilst DARK DEVIL completes my trio against the remaining eight contenders.

Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Ayr programme.

Record of the course winners in the fifth race:

3/11—Le Chat D’Or (2 x soft & good to soft)

1/7—Nicholas T (good to firm)

1/1—Inexes (good to soft)

4/8—Jay Kay (2 x good & 2 x soft)

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4.50: Eleven of the twelve horses to have secured toteplacepot positions to date carried a maximum weight of 9-3, statistics which include all four winners.  Nine of the fourteen runners fit the bill on this occasion, as does one other in all probability via a jockey claim, ROYAL REGENT being the potential outsider in question.  If you do not believe that trainers are creatures of habit, consider the following fact.  ROYAL REGENT represents Lucy Normile who adopts exactly the same stance in terms of the weight allotted to her course and distance winner (via the jockey claim) which finished third at 18/1 twelve months ago. Other potential winners down the handicap include MININGROCKS and ARITHMETIC according to the gospel of yours truly.

Favourite factor: Only two of the six market leaders (winners of their respective events at 4/1 & 3/1) have secured toteplacepot positions thus far via four renewals.

Ayr record of course winners in the Placepot finale:

1/7—Spes Nostra (good to soft)

2/7—Royal Regent (2 x soft)

2/14—Gworn (good to soft & soft)

1/2—Miningrocks (good to soft)

1/3—Trinity Star (good)

 

All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.

 

Trainers with their relevant number of runners (two or more) on the Ayr card on Wednesday – followed by their five year ratio at the track + profits/losses accrued:

9 runners—Jim Goldie (54/505 – loss of 51 points)

8—Keith Dalgleish (43/350 – Profit of 10 points)

6—Michael Dods (21/210 – loss of 44 points)

5—Linda Parratt (22/285 – loss of 47 points)

5—Kevin Ryan (12/141 – loss of 59 points)

4—Ian Jardine (12/72 – Profit of 6 points)

4—Lee Smyth (2/19 – Profit of 1 point)

3—Rebecca Bastiman (2/26 – Profit of 5 points)

2—Eric Alston (3/25 – loss of 10 points)

2—Ralph Beckett (loss of 6 points)

2—Karl Burke (19/96 – Profit of 11 points)

2—Ruth Carr (17/142 – loss of 6 points)

2—Ann Duffield (1/46 – loss of 20 points)

2—Declan Carroll (4/17 – Profit of 5 points)

2—Kieran P Cotter (No runners)

2—Richard Fahey (28/322 – loss of 78 points)

2—Roger Fell (0/2)

2—Lucy Normile (8/41 – Profit of 80 points)

2—John David Riches (2/18 – Profit of 6 points)

2—R Mike Smith (6/81 – loss of 30 points)

2—Mark Walford (0/2)

2—Alistair Whillans (6/102 – loss of 39 points)

+ 10 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

82 declared runners

 

General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Lingfield (Turf): £30.30 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 1 unplaced

Yarmouth: No corresponding meeting

Southwell (NH): £67.30 -6 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 2 unplaced

Kempton (A/W): £591.60 – 7 favourites – 1 winner – 2 placed – 4 unplaced

 

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