KEMPTON – NOVEMBER 30
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £47.50 (7 favourites – 4 winners – 2 placed – 1 unplaced)
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Kempton:
Leg 1 (4.25): 4 (Ask The Guru), 9 (Beau Mistral) & 3 (Lady Joanna Vassa)
Leg 2 (4.55): 5 (Miracle Garden) & 4 (Dynamo Walt)
Leg 3 (5.25): 7 (Luqyaa) & 4 (Endless Charm)
Leg 4 (5.55): 4 (Ghaseedah), 7 (Pavillon) & 1 (Ashwaq)
Leg 5 (6.25): 1 (African Beat), 7 (Habbad) & 4 (Oceanus)
Leg 6 (6.55): 6 (Harry Holland) & 4 (Stormbound)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
4.25: Just a bit of ‘Kempton housekeeping’ to start with in the ‘new season’ which commenced on October 27 relating to the A/W jockey’s Championship. Six meetings have been staged incorporating 43 races (45 favourites) of which 15 were won by market leaders. 18/30 favourites which did not win their respective events finished out of the frame. Upwards and onwards by suggesting that Michael Attwater’s recent course and distance winner ASK THE GURU looks sure to figure prominently from a much better draw than he overcame to score the last day. Drawn 3/10 this time around, ASK THE GURU won from the nine stall back in October and if able to bounce out of the gate, the six-year-old should prove difficult to peg back. For the record, ASK THE GURU is the lone six-year-old in the field, vintage representatives having won the last two (of three) renewals. Others for the overnight mix include BEAU MISTRAL (5) and LADY JOANNA VASSA (6).
Favourite factor: All three favourites have finished out with the washing thus far.
Record of the course winners in the opening event:
1/5—Ask The Guru
4.55: All six Placepot positions have been secured by horses carrying a minimum burden of 8-13 whereby the bottom three horses in the handicap have been eliminated from my enquiries, despite the brief trend. Dual course and distance winner (via his only two starts at Kempton) MIRACLE GARDEN is a winner of 4/11 A/W races, having finished second in two of the other relevant assignments. Connections might have most to fear from fellow C/D scorer DYNAMO WALT and FREE ZONE.
Favourite factor: Only one of the three favourites (via two renewals) has claimed a Placepot position to date (no winners).
Record of the course winners in the second race:
5.25: John Gosden’s four winner hail (via fifteen representatives) since the start of the new season means that John is the top trainer at Kempton for the time being, stats which have yielded a slight profit via level stakes. John saddled the winner of this event back in 2012 and LUQYAA is his first subsequent representative. Charlie Appleby saddled the winner of one of the two divisions last year and with three of his last five runners having scored, Charlie’s lone raider on the card merits plenty of respect, namely ENDLESS CHARM. Charlie’s Dubawi filly was well touted back in the spring during a stable tour.
Favourite factor: Favourites won both of the divisions last year, claiming three of the eight contests during the last decade. Six of the eight gold medallists scored at a top price of 4/1, whilst seven of the eight market leaders snared Placepot positions
5.55: This heat of the previous event looks to be the weaker contest on paper, with newcomers GHASEEDA and PAVILLON (arguably) only having ASHWAQ to beat. The latter named Richard Hannon Sepoy filly ran well enough at Newmarket at the first time of asking but did not set the bar too high to frighten debutantes away.
Favourite factor: This is the second division of the previous race on the card, whereby the same stats apply.
6.25: Nine of the last ten winners have carried a minimum burden of nine stones, whilst eight of those gold medallists carried 9-4 or more to victory. Heading towards the top of the weights accordingly, my short list consists of AFRICAN BEAT (John Gosden’s other runner on the card), HABBAD and OCEANUS.
Favourite factor: Eight of the ten winners during the last decade scored at a top price of 8/1, statistics which include three successful market leaders. That said, only one of the last five favourites has finished in the frame.
Record of the course winners in the fifth contest:
6.55: Tom Dascombe has his horses in much better form again and with course and distance winner HARRY HOLLAND running off a thirteen pound lower mark than when gaining the relevant success, Richard Kingscote could ride another winner for his boss. It’s not often that Richard has nine booked rides in a day south of Watford whereby HARRY HOLLAND could be supplementing a decent afternoon/evening in this event. BALTIC PRINCE (3/4 at Kempton thus far) could offer most resistance at the business end of proceedings.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Kempton card.
Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:
1/1—Check ‘Em Thursday
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Kempton card on Wednesday – followed by their A/W stats at the course in 2016 alongside profits/losses accrued to level stakes:
5 runners—Richard Hughes (2/46 – loss of 26 points)
4—Tony Carroll (4/94 – loss of 68 points)
4—Daniel Mark Loughnane (2/12 – Profit of 3 points)
3—Michael Attwater (5/48 – Profit of 7 points)
3—John Bridger (2/52 – loss of 21 points)
3—David Elsworth (5/28 – Profit of 4 points)
3—Richard Fahey (1/15 – loss of 4 points)
3—Richard Hannon (13/87 – loss of 11 points)
2—Clive Cox (3/33 – loss of 16 points)
2—David Evans (4/41 – loss of 30 points)
2—Jeremy Gask (1/32 – loss of 29 points)
2—John Gosden (13/45 – Profit of 19 points)
2—Michael Madgwick (1/23 – Loss of 14 points)
2—George Margarson (1/17 – loss of 17 points)
2—Emma Owen (2/24 – loss of 10 points)
2—Brendan Powell (2/16 – Profit of 22 points)
2—Derek Shaw (2/29 – loss of 15 points)
2—Ed Walker (0/14)
+ 52 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
100 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Catterick: £23.70 – 7 favourites – 3 winners – 1 placed – 3 unplaced
Ffos Las: This is a new meeting
Lingfield (A/W): £568.40 – 6 favourites – No winners – 4 placed – 2 unplaced