BANGOR – NOVEMBER 9
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £31.40 (6 favourites - 3 winners & 3 unplaced)
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Bangor:
Leg 1 (12.50): 3 (Ballycoe), 4 (Kings Cross) & 2 (Zanstra)
Leg 2 (1.20): 4 (Stephanie Frances) & 3 (Presenting Lisa)
Leg 3 (1.50): 6 (Sego Success), 10 (Spookydooky) & 1 (Perfect Canditate)
Leg 4 (2.25): 6 (Drumcliffe) & 8 (Hubertas)
Leg 5 (3.00): 5 (Messire Des Obeaux), 3 (Tornado In Milan) & 2 (Foxcub)
Leg 6 (3.30): 5 (The Otmoor Poet) & 1 (Burnside)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
12.50: Horses carrying 11-1 or more have claimed eight of the eleven available toteplacepot positions, statistics which include four of the five winners at 6/1-11/4-2/1-11/8. Six of the ‘dead eight’ runners qualify, whilst six and seven-year-olds have (equally) split four of the five contests. Seven-year-old course and distance winner BALLYCOE is the first name on the team sheet, with KINGS CROSS and (possibly) ZANSTRA also representing the relevant vintages to decent effect.
Favourite factor: Four of the five market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions, statistics which include three winners. Market leaders come to the gig on a hat trick.
Record of course winners in the opening contest:
1/2--Minella Forfitness (good to soft)
1.20: I opposed STEPHANIE FRANCES when the mare completed her third win in four starts last time out as she ran out a ready winner, much to my dismay on the day. Standing in her way here is Alan King’s raider PRESENTING LISA, with Alan boasting 5/8 stats at the course this year. I expect this pair to pull clear of their two rivals on the run for home but would not back either horse to beat the other on this occasion. Both Alan and Dan Skelton (STEPHANIE FRANCES) have their respective yards in fine form.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Bangor card.
Record of the course winner in the field:
1/1—Presenting Lisa (good)
1.50: Horses carrying 11-7 or more have won five of the ten renewals to date, whilst eight-year-olds have won four of the last five contests. No horse in the field possesses ticks in both boxes, though two of the eight-year-olds attract the eye, namely SPOOKYDOOKY and SEGO SUCCESS. The other vintage raider Goodtoknow is the overnight reserve behind PERFECT CANDIDATE who would relish soft conditions if the rain which is forecast overnight evolves to any great degree.
Favourite factor: Seven of the twelve favourites have finished in the frame via ten renewals to date, statistics which include two successful (5/1 & 10/3) market leaders.
Record of course winners in the third race:
1/2--Perfect Gamble (soft)
2.25: Four-year-olds have won seven of the last ten renewals and HUBERTAS is an interesting newcomer to the NH circuit having last raced off an official mark of 89 on the level. That said, good to soft winner DRUMCLIFFE would relish the overnight rain if the ‘experts’ have got the forecast right this time around. This race will not take a great deal of winning and I fully expect both horses to secure Placepot positions if HUBERTAS takes to jumping timber.
Favourite factor: Ten of the twelve favourites have claimed toteplacepot positions, statistics which include seven winners.
3.00: FOXCUB has won each of the last two renewals of this event. Despite only racing off a one spot higher mark this time around, FOXCUB is burdened with an additional ten pounds which makes life more difficult, though the Tom Symonds raider cannot be ruled out of the contest for obvious reasons. Connections are likely to fear MESSIRE DES OBEAUX and TORNADO IN MILAN more than most.
Favourite factor: Two of the three favourites thus far have secured toteplacepot positions, albeit both market leaders have failed from a win perspective.
Record of the course winner in the fifth event:
2/2—Foxcub (good to soft & soft)
3.30: This race invariably attracts some top trainers and this year is no exception. Alan King’s newcomer THE OTMOOR POET looks a typical stable representative off the production line, whilst the 20/1 trade press quote about BURNSIDE makes for interesting reading.
Favourite factor: Six of the ten market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions in the finale, though it’s worth noting that just three market leaders have won. That said, the biggest priced winner to date was sent off at 6/1.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Bangor card on Wednesday followed by this season’s stats and profits/losses accrued:
6 runners—Alan King (5/8 – Profit of 8 points)
5—Jonjo O’Neill (2/11 – Profit of 7 points)
4—Harry Fry (1/2 – Profit of 9 points)
4—Donald McCain (6/27 – Profit of 12 points)
3—Dan Skelton (2/6 – Profit of 1 point)
3—Tom Symonds (No runners)
2—Tom George (1/3 – loss of 1 point)
2—Chris Gordon (1/2 – slight loss)
2—Fergal O’Brien (No runners)
2—Sue Smith (1/5 – Profit of 3 points)
2—Colin Tizzard (No runners)
+ 25 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
60 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Ayr: £51.80 – 6 favourites – 2 winners – 2 placed – 2 unplaced
Exeter: £173.90 – 7 favourite – 4 winners & 3 unplaced
Kempton: £91.20 – 8 favourites – 2 winners – 3 placed – 3 unplaced