GOODWOOD - SEPTEMBER 21
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2015: £331.90 (6 favourites: 2 winners & 4 unplaced)
Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Goodwood:
Leg 1 (2.00): 7 (Monarchs Glen) & 3 (Dick Tracy)
Leg 2 (2.35): 1 (Admiralty Arch) & 5 (Accidental Agent)
Leg 3 (3.10): 2 (Reconcilliation), 4 (Ocean Ready) & 1 (Fadillah)
Leg 4 (3.45): 3 (Mount Logan) & 4 (Sky Hunter)
Leg 5 (4.20): 6 (Daphne), 3 (Engage) & 2 (Graceland)
Leg 6 (4.55): 4 (Symposium), 6 (Gorokai) & 3 (Pettochside)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.00: John Gosden picked MONARCHS GLEN out from the crowd at an open day around his stable before the season began as a juvenile worth noting. "A big strapping colt", John also added that he was always going to take time and my only worry is that Goodwood (with its undulations) tends to suit nippier types though as this is a nine furlong event for openers, the Frankel colt should figure prominently. Others for the overnight mix include DICK TRACY and the somewhat exposed CELESTIAL SPHERES. I was amazed to find that Luca Cumani (City Limits) had only saddled one two-year-old runner at Goodwood during the last five years!
Favourite factor: Nine of the twelve favourites have secured toteplacepot positions, statistics which include five winners.
2.35: Fast ground winner ADMIRALTY ARCH should have too much class for this opposition according to the official assessor and it is difficult to argue with that conclusion. Richard Hannon is 41 short of his juvenile tally of winners in 2015 (108) but this is an ideal opportunity for the stable to strike with the York winner surely being able to cope with the likes of ACCIDENTAL AGENT of Roger Charlton's newcomer POW WOW under these terms and conditions, even though Richard's Archipenko raider is more exposed than plenty of these rivals.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Goodwood card.
3.10: The last 15 winners have carried weights of 9-7 or less, though the weight stats are no help on this occasion as all 12 runners 'qualify'. Ed Vaughan has enjoyed a fabulous couple of months under the radar of most 'hacks' but as a stats man through and through, I have enjoyed some rich picking via Ed's gold medallists. Ed's level stake profit via a ratio of 11/35 since the end of June stands at 29 points and I would not be surprised to witness RECONCILLIATION extending the tally. Two of Ed's last three runners have won, whilst Sir Mark Prescott (OCEAN READY) has also bounced back to winning form of late. FADILLAH completes my trio against the other nine contenders.
Favourite factor: 12 of the last 17 favourites have reached the frame, statistics which include six winners.
3.45: Four-year-olds have won eight of the last fourteen renewals (including six of the last nine) of this Listed event without being represented every year! Jersey based Black Knight is the only vintage representative on this occasion unfortunately, as it maybe asking a lot to ask the Excellent Art raider to cope with MOUNT LOGAN and SKY HUNTER under the conditions of this contest. TULLIUS is also entitled to plenty of respect, though it is MOUNT LOGAN who grabs my attention via his 3/4 record at the track, all successes having been gained on good/yielding ground.
Favourite factor: Nine of the last sixteen favourites have prevailed, whilst the biggest priced winner during the last seventeen years was returned at just 10/1 (five years ago).
Record of the course winner in the fourth race:
3/4--Mount Logan (2 x good & good to soft)
4.20: With a 38% trike rate via 18 winners during the last fortnight at the time of writing, anything that William Haggas saddles at present deserves great respect, comments which apply to The Queen's filly DAPHNE in this event. Just touched off at Doncaster last time out, Pat Cosgrove's mount receives weight from all five rivals, the pick of which should prove to be ENGAGE and GRACELAND.
Favourite factor: This is another new race on the Goodwood card.
4.55: Seven of the nine winners during the study period have carried a maximum burden of 9-1, statistics which bring in the likes of SYMPOSIUM (via a claiming pilot), GOROKAI and triple course and distance winner PETTOCHSIDE. Richard Hannon's raider Racquet is likely to offer most resistance on behalf of the remaining nine entries.
Favourite factor: Four favourites have won via the last nine renewals though be warned, because two of the last three gold medallists have scored at 33/1 & 20/1. Seven of the nine market leaders have finished in the frame.
Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:
3/7--Pettochside (2 x soft & good to soft)
2/3--Divine Call (good & soft)
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Goodwood card on Wednesday:
5 runners--Richard Hannon (9/64 at Goodwood this year - Profit of 1 point relating to level stakes)
4--Sylvester Kirk (2/19 - loss of 8 points)
3--David Evans (0/16)
3--William Haggas (2/17 - loss of 9 points)
2--Andrew Balding (4/23 - exactly level this season)
2--Milton Bradley (0/3)
2--John Bridger (1/15 - loss of 12 points)
2--Mick Channon (6/37 - Profit of 13 points)
2--Luca Cumani (0/11)
2--Ed de Giles (0/3)
2--Eve Johnson Houghton (1/18 - loss of 13 points)
2--Alan King (0/7)
2--William Knight (1/17 - loss of 13 points)
2--J Moon (No runners)
2--Gary Moore (2/15 - Profit of 1 point)
2--Amanda Perrett (2/34 - loss of 18 points)
2--Sir Michael Stoute (9/29 - Profit of 6 points)
2--Ed Vaughan (0/1)
2--Adam West (0/1)
+ 23 trainers with one runner at the meeting
62 declared runners
General overview - corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Redcar: £334.40 - 6 favourites - 1 winner - 2 placed - 3 unplaced
Perth: £13.70 - 6 favourites - 2 winners - 2 placed - 2 unplaced
Kempton: £8.20 - 6 favourites - 2 winners - 3 placed - 1 unplaced
Goodwood overview - 5 year juvenile record of represented trainers in the relevant events at 2.10 & 2.40:
6/28--Charlie Appleby (Celestial Spheres)
0/1--Luca Cumani (City Limits)
17/110--Richard Hannon (Dick Tracy)
2/11--Hugo Palmer (Ettihady)
3/23--Brian Meehan (Glendun)
No runners--Anthony Honeyball (Jukebox Jive)
6/23--John Gosden (Monarchs Glen)
0/1--Adam West (Nip Down The Jug)
1/2--Richard Hughes (See Of Rome)
1/5--Alan King (Sir Nigel Gresley)
1/16--Gary Moore (Sussex Ranger)
17/110--Richard Hannon (Admiralty Arch)
3/31--Andrew Balding (Hidden Stash)
0/18--Slyvester Kirk (Mister Blue Sky - Mr Hobbs - Zamadance)
2/20--Eve Johnson Houghton (Accidental Agent)
2/5--Roger Charlton (Pow Wow)
1/14--William Knight (Sea Shack)
10/91--Mick Channon (Akkadian Empire)