Placepot pointers – Wednesday September 7



Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:

2015: £231.40 (7 favourites - 3 winners - 2 placed - 2 unplaced)


Wednesday's Placepot permutation at Doncaster: 

Leg 1 (2.00): 1 (Akhlaaq) & 3 (Dream Of Dreams)

Leg 2 (2.30): 1 (Mutawatheb), 4 (Notalot) & 6 (Andok)

Leg 3 (3.00): 7 (Thesme), 8 (Go On Go on Go On Go) & 9 (Priceless)

Leg 4 (3.35): 11 (Bluff Crag), 5 (Pike Corner Cross) & 9 (Stoked)

Leg 5 (4.10): 7 (Roll On Rory), 1 (Shanghai Glory & 2 (Stamp Hill)

Leg 6 (4.45): 4 (Revolutionist) & 1 (Mount Logan)

Suggested stake: 324 bets to 10p stakes


Overview for Wednesday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page


2.00: The Owen Burrows New Approach colt AKHLAAQ holds entries in three Group races during the rest of the year, two of which are at the highest level.  DREAM OF DREAMS was pulled up at York and providing he is as fit as we could hope, Kevin's Ryan's raider would have to go close having been dropped from a Group 2 event for which he was only a 10/1 chance.  My trio against the field is completed by ERNSTSTAVROBLOFELD in this 'short field' opening event on the first day of the four day (St Leger) meeting.  New readers might want to know that the term 'short field' relates to five/six/seven runner races in which only the first two horses home qualify from each way/toteplacepot perspectives.

Favourite factor: Seven of the last eighteen favourites have prevailed (though only four of the last fifteen), whilst ten of the eighteen market leaders have claimed toteplacepot positions during the study period.

Draw factor (six furlongs):

6-1 (6 ran-good)

2 (4 ran-good)

4-1 (5 ran-good to soft)

1-6 (6 ran-good)

3-1 (5 ran-good)

3-5 (6 ran-good)

2-3-5 (8 ran-good to firm)

3-2 (7 ran-soft)

4-9-3 (10 ran-good to firm)

3-7 (5 ran-heavy)

1 (4 ran-firm)

5-2 (6 ran-good)

4-3 (5 ran-good to firm)

8-10-3 (10 ran-good)

6-3 (6 ran-good to firm)

3-7 (7 ran-good to firm)

2-3 (6 ran-good)

4-2 (6 ran-good to firm)

2.30: 11 of the most recent 17 available win and place positions have been secured by horses carrying weights of 9-3 or more, statistics which include four (25/1-9/2-9/2-9/4) of the six winners of late.  Only MUTAWATHEB qualifies via the weight trend this time around, whereby Richard Hannon's Dark Angel representative is the first name on my team sheet.  Last year's trio of qualifiers secured silver and bronze medals at 5/1 & 10/1 and with a 25/1 chance winning the race, we made a good start to the afternoon from a Placepot perspective. If the weight trend goes base over apex on this occasion, the chief potential culprits appears to be NOTALOT and ANDOK who are listed in order of preference.  That said, it is noted that the runner up behind Andok (winner on his debut at Redcar) won next time out and being a Richard Fahey inmate, Tony Hamilton's mount could be anything.

Favourite factor: Five of the the seven favourites have secured toteplacepot positions thus far (two winners) via the last six renewals.

Draw factor (seven furlongs):

3-9-4 (9 ran-good)

2-3 (7 ran-good)

14-6-3 (11 ran-good)

4-2-7 (8 ran-good to firm)

9-3-10 (12 ran-good)

11-13-5 (13 ran-good to soft)

3.00: 15 of the last 16 winners of this Listed event have carried weights of 9-7 or more which (unfortunately) eliminates Equipmo.  I say unfortunately, as two-year-olds are often entered up which tends to create really interesting contests.  Four-year-olds lead the five-year-olds 5-3 via the last 13 renewals in this Listed contest, with THESME being the only relevant entry from either vintage this time around.  Seven assignments have passed since THESME gained his third victory from four starts, though three runner up efforts confirm that Nigel Tinkler's Exceed And Excel filly deserves to notch another success.  Each way alternatives from my viewpoint are the Clive Cox pair of three-year-olds, namely GO ON GO ON GO ON (on a four timer here) and PRICELESS.

Favourite factor: Five favourites have prevailed during the last nineteen years, whilst 14 of the 22 market leaders reached the frame during the study period.

Draw factor (five furlongs):

2-11-12 (12 ran-good)

2-4-5 (11 ran-good)

6-7-11 (11 ran-good to soft)

9-4-8 (12 ran-good)

6-7-3 (11 ran-good)

2-3-12 (9 ran-good)

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7-9-3 (9 ran-good to firm)

8-6-3 (8 ran-soft)

5-9-6 (9 ran-good to firm)

8-2-5 (8 ran-good to firm)

6-7-8 (9 ran-good to firm)

1-7-6 (9 ran-good)

13-2-6 (13 ran-good to firm)

12-10-13 (13 ran-good to soft)

3-4-6 (8 ran-good to firm)

1-3 (7 ran-good to firm)

2-4-7 (8 ran-good)

Doncaster record of runners in the third race:

2/2--Muthmir (good & good to firm)

1/1--Pearl Secret (heavy)

1/2--Iffranesia (good to firm)

3.35: Regular readers will know that I am not a great fan of novelty races (unless I select a winner!) in the middle of a meeting when toteplacepot bets are affected.  This sport is (or should be) about fitness of horse and rider and there has to be a doubt about the 100% fitness of some of the retired pilots on this occasion. Little wonder that I am (along with plenty of readers I’ll wager) critical of the powers that be that are (supposedly) in charge of the sport.  That said, we appear to have an edge on our side as four-year-olds have won the last five renewals, whereby PIKE CORNER CROSS and STOKED could represent some each way value.  Three-year-old BLUFF CRAG is the call however, with Richard Hughes being an eye catching booking for Andrew Balding's Canford Cliffs gelding.

Favourite factor: Four of the six favourites (all winners of their respective events) have secured toteplacepot positions thus far.

Doncaster record of runners in the fourth race:

1/4--Chiswick Bey (soft)

1/8--Sakhain Star (heavy)

1/2--Gannicus (good)

1/15--Whozthecat (good to firm)

4.10: Six of the nine winners to date have carried 9-2 or less whereby you should not be too quick to eliminate the bottom weights as some people tend to do in handicap events.  ROLL ON RORY is included in my mix accordingly, whilst further up the weights, the chances of STAMP HILL and SHANGHAI GLORY are respcted.

Favourite factor: Four of the twelve market leaders (via nine renewals) have secured toteplacepot positions to date (no winners).

Draw factor (seven furlongs):

3-2-4 (8 ran-good)

2-7-5 (11 ran-good)

1-10-8-16 (16 ran-good to soft)

8-13-7 (14 ran-good)

9-10-1 (12 ran-good)

6-8-3 (12 ran-good)

6-2-10 (9 ran-good to firm)

11-4-8 (14 ran-soft)

12-5-11 (12 ran-good to firm)

4.45:  I don't like to weigh in with horses with superior official marks too often, but opposing REVOLUTIONIST, MOUNT LOGAN and OASIS FANTASY would surely cost us the Placepot dividend, if we were still running going into the last leg of our favourite wager.  The trio are listed is marginal order of preference.

Favourite factor: Favourites have won five of the last nine renewals during which time, the four market leaders which failed to win all missed out on Placepot positions.  It's also worth pointing out that although favourites have a good record, two of the last six winners scored at 22/1 & 16/1.

Doncaster record of runners in the toteplacepot finale:

1/2--Mount Logan (good)

1/3--Windshear (good to soft)


All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.


Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Doncaster card on Wednesday:

4--Richard Hannon (1/21 at Doncaster this season - winner at 10/1)

3--Tim Easterby (2/37 - winners at 16/1 & 5/1)

3--Richard Fahey (3/59 - winners at 20/1-13/2-5/1)

3--Charlie Hills (1/12 - winner at 8/15*)

3--Mark Johnston (3/25 - winners at 7/2-9/4*-4/5*)

2--Michael Appleby (20/1 & 11/2)

2--Andrew Balding (0/3)

2--Karl Burke (50/1 & 15/8*)

2--Declan Carroll (0/5)

2--Clive Cox (0/6)

2--Paul Midgley (2/14 - winners at 10/1 & 13/2)

2--David O'Meara (6/43 - winners at 14/1-12/1-9/2-9/2-15/8*-7/4*)

2--Derek Shaw (1/9 - winner at 22/1)

+ 37 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card

69 declared runners


General overview - corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:

Carlisle: £463.40 - 6 favourites - 2 winners - 1 placed - 3 unplaced

Kempton: £71.20 - 6 favourites - 1 winner - 2 placed - 3 unplaced

Uttoxeter: £1,433.80 - 6 favourites - 1 winner - 1 placed - 4 unplaced


5 year juvenile record of represented trainers at Doncaster in the relevant races at 2.00 & 2.30:


No runners --Owen Burrows (Akklaaq)

6/40--Charlie Hills (Bataash)

2/56--Kevin Ryan (Dream Of Dreams)

0/2--Martyn Meade (Ernststavroblofeld)

8/69--Mark Johnston (Jacquard & Town Charter)

2/17--Lost At Sea


9/68--Richard Hannon (Muthawathaheb)

9/68--David O'Meara (Fayez)

3/52--Tim Easterby (Appointed & Our Charlie Brown)

5/23--Michale Bell (Notalot)

0/6--Sylvester Kirk (Mr Hobbs)

13/104--Richard Fahey (Andok)

2/17--Karl Burke (Used To Be)


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