PONTEFRACT – MAY 27
Friday's Placepot permutation at Pontefract:
Leg 1 (6.30): 1 (Pumaflor), 3 (Lopes Dancer) & 6 (Stardrifter)
Leg 2 (7.00): 4 (Chilworth Bells), 1 (Busy Street) & 6 (Russian Royale)
Leg 3 (7.30): 3 (Yalta) & 2 (Orewa)
Leg 4 (8.00): 5 (Alpha Delphini), 1 (Kibaar) & 6 (Bondi Beach Boy)
Leg 5 (8.30): 9 (Kilim) & 5 (Pelponnese)
Leg 6 (9.00): 9 (Get Up And Dance) & 3 (Dance Alone)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Friday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
6.30: Four-year-olds have won four of the nine races contested during the last decade, whilst seven gold medallists carried nine stones or more. The quintet of vintage representatives this time around all carry the 'superior' weight according to the trend and the pick of the five contenders will hopefully prove to be PUMAFLOR, LOPES DANCER and STARDRFITER, though the latter named Richard Fahey raider will dip into the lower weights via a claiming jockey. That said, I might ignore the negative factor this time around, especially as the relevant pilot is Adam McNamara who has receivied so many plaudits for his efforts in the saddle already this term.
Favourite factor: Seven of the last ten favourites have secured Placepot positions, statistics which include four winning market leaders.
Pontfract record of course winners in the opening event:
1/5--Le Laitier (good to firm)
2/10--Talent Scout (good & good to firm)
1/5--Le Laitier (good to firm)
7.00: Four of the last five winners have carried a minimum burden of 9-2, whilst four-year-olds have won four of the last eight contests. BUSY STREET and CHILWORTH BELLS appear to be the pick of the four-year-olds though once again, a really decent claiming pilot (Josephine Gordon aboard Chilworth Bells) reduces the weight below the ideal barrier according to the trends. Micky Hammond (RUSSIAN ROYALE) has snared two of the last seven renewals, whilst Alan Swinbank (BUSY STREET) boasts a record of 2/9.
Favourite factor: Favourites of one description have claimed six of the last eight contests, whilst six of the last eleven market leaders have secured toteplacepot positions.
Pontefract record of course winners in the second race:
1/1--Astra Hall (heavy)
7.30: Mark Johnston sits in third place (two winners from seven runners) in the leading trainer list at Pontefract this season and his Goodwood winner YALTA could hardly have been more impressive at the Sussex venue eight days ago. Entered up in two big races towards the end of the season, YALTA is expected to take this event with the minimum fuss, with OREWA nominated for the forecast position. Brian Ellison is not the most consistent of trainers of two-year-old winners (22 during the last five years on turf), but OREWA looks a cut above his usual junior stock.
Favourite factor: Eight renewals have slipped by since the last favourite obliged, though five of the last seven market leaders have finished in the frame. Horses returned at a top price of 9/2 have secured six of the nine contests during the last decade.
8.00: If the clouds persist during the day without any threat of rain, the ground should be getting faster by the hour, conditions which would suit ALPHA DELPHINI, though course and distance winner BONDI BEACH BOY would also appreciate the same going. Conversely, connections of the other C/D winner SOUL BROTHER wouldn't mind some moisture in the turf. The reserve nomination is awarded to KIBAAR who ran well off the same mark last time when only beaten a length and a half when finishing fourth at Redcar.
Favourite factor: This is a new race on the Pontefract card.
Pontefract record of course winners in the fourth contest:
1/2--Soul Brither (good)
1/2--Bondi Beach Boy (good to firm)
8.30: Three-year-olds have won six of the last eight renewals with seven of the ten contenders representing the vintage on this occasion. Luca Cumani's three-year-olds are to be respected at Pontefract, the trainer boasting a 47% strike rate in the last five years via figures of 7/15. Luca's only runner on the card is KILIM with plenty of each way support likely to evolve at around the 8/1 mark at the time of writing. PELPONNESE is the obvious dander from the Sir Michael Stoute yard whilst there will be plenty of worse outsiders on the card than COSMIC HALO from my viewpoint.
Favourite factor: Two winning favourites have been recorded via nine renewals during the last decade, though only two of the last six market leaders have scured Placepot positions.
9.00: GET UP AND DANCE looks set to continue the winning run for favourites in the 'lucky last' following last year's inaugural event. William Haggas has his team in good order as is usually the case and the Doncaster runner up looks set to go one better in this grade/company. Others for the overnight mix include DANCE ALONE and MISTER MISCHIEF, though mainly as potential forecast fodder.
Favourite factor: Just the one contest to report to date which was won by the 13/8 market leader.
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Pontefract card on Friday:
3--Michael Appleby (7/66 at Pontefract during the last five years and then ratios for this season: - 1/2)
3--Rebecca Bastiman (0/6) - 0/3
3--Tim Easterby (16/156) - 0/9
3--Richard Fahey (43/201) - 4/13
3--Bryan Smart (4/40) - 0/2
3--Alan Swinbank (9/58) - 0/1
2--David Barron (9/47) ---
2--Kevin Ryan (10/100) - 0/2
+ 35 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
57 declared runners
Juvenile trainer records at Pontefract (five year records followed by figures for this season):
15/59--Richard Fahey (Cullingworth) - 1/2
0/11--Brian Ellison (Orewa) - 0/1
5/47--Mark Johnston (Yalta) - 1/2
1/14--David Brown (Wedding Dress) ---