WOLVERHAMPTON – MARCH 6
Last year’s corresponding toteplacepot dividend:
2016: £526.20 (10 favourites – 4 winners – 1 placed – 5 unplaced)
Monday's Placepot permutation at Wolverhampton:
Leg 1 (2.10): 6 (Spirit Of Wedza), 1 (Panther Patrol) & 9 (Moi Aussie)
Leg 2 (2.40): 3 (African Blessing), 2 (Fleckerl) & 7 (Athassel)
Leg 3 (3.10): 6 (Trotter) & 3 (Lostock)
Leg 4 (3.40): 3 (Berlusca), 7 (Mr Red Clubs) & 6 (Dana’s Present)
Leg 5 (4.10): 1 (Simply Me) & 4 (The Yellow Bus)
Leg 6 (4.40): 9 (Suitsus) & 10 (Pensax Lady)
Suggested stake: 216 bets to 10p stakes
Overview for Monday - please scroll down to the bottom of the page
2.10: Although we only have a brief history (two renewals) to work with, it’s worth noting perhaps that five of the six available Placepot positions have been claimed by horses carrying a minimum burden of 9-2, statistics which include both (12/1 & 9/2) winners. If the ‘trend’ is to continue, SPIRIT OF WEDZA and PANTHER PATROL might prove to be the pick of the five qualifiers this time around, having taken potential jockey claims into account. If the trend goes ‘belly up’ on this occasion, MOI AUSSIE could be the joker in the pack.
Favourite factor: Both (2/1 & 5/2) favourites to date have finished fourth, missing out on Placepot positions.
Record of the course winners in the opening event:
1/3—Spirit of Wedza
2.40: Given that this is heat two of the first race on the card, the preferred qualifiers (carrying 9-1 or more) are named as AFRICAN BLESSING and FLECKERL. Course specialist ATHASSEL (3/5 at the track) is added into mix from the ‘inferior’ sector of the handicap.
Favourite factor: This is the second division of the opening event on the card, whereby the same stats apply; both (2/1 & 5/2) favourites to date have finished fourth, missing out on Placepot positions.
Record of the course winners in the second race:
3.10: Three of the ‘dead eight’ runners are emerging far stronger than the other five contenders which is always a useful sign, as layers don’t generally encourage win and place wagers in such events. TROTTER and LOSTOCK are marginally preferred to Prazeres of the relevant trio favoured by bookmakers at the time of writing.
Favourite factor: The two favourites thus far have secured Placepot positions via gold (11/8) and silver (5/4) medals.
3.40: BERLUSCA, MR RED CLUBS and DANA’S PRESENT are favoured by the official ratings in this claiming event and this trio should certainly take us through to the next leg of our favourite wager, albeit I would not be drawn into choosing between the trio from a win perspective.
Favourite factor: One of the two market leaders secured a Placepot position to date by winning its respective event at odds of 6/5.
Record of the course winners in the fourth contest on the card:
2/8—Hard To Handel
7/15—Mr Red Clubs
4.10: I doubt if there will be too much of the 11/8 (trade press quote) available about SIMPLY ME this morning, with only THE YELLOW BUS to beat from my viewpoint. Tom Dascombe’s favourite comes to the gig on a four timer having won four of his last five assignments. Michael Wigham’s ex-Irish raider THE YELLOW BUS is difficult to assess, though it’s worth noting that the four-year-old has scored after a nine month break from the track in the past.
Favourite factor: One of the two inaugural 7/2 joint favourites last year claimed a Placepot position by finishing third in a dead eight contest.
Record of the course winners in the fifth race:
4.40: All six available Placepot positions have been claimed by horses carrying 9-5 or less, stats which eliminate five horses towards the top of the handicap if you take the brief ‘trend’ seriously. Accordingly, SUITSUS and PENSAX LADY are the likeliest scorers according to the gospel of yours truly.
Favourite factor: Both of the (11/4 & 9/4) favourites have prevailed to date.
Record of the course winners in the Placepot finale:
2/16—Filament Of Gold
All place details offered on my pages relate to an 'exact science', whereby horses that finish third in 5/6/7 runner races (and other such scenarios) are not 'placed' regarding my statistics.
Trainers with their relevant number of runners on the Wolverhampton card on Monday – followed by their ratios at the track this season + profits/losses accrued:
3 runners—Michael Appleby (9/78 – loss of 9 points)
3—David Evans (12/94 – loss of 24 points)
2—Alan Bailey (1/10 – level profit/loss this season)
2—Tony Carroll (5/50 – loss of 5 points)
2—Tom Dascombe (4/20 – Profit of 3 points)
2—Geoffrey Deacon (1/6 – Profit of 3 points)
2—Richard Fahey (6/61 – loss of 30 points)
2—Ivan Furtado (0/7)
2—Richard Hughes (2/22 – loss of 15 points)
2—Gay Kelleway (1/19 – Profit of 15 points)
2—Daniel Mark Loughnane (5/70 – Profit of 14 points)
2—Heather Main (0/2)
2—Patrick Morris (2/16 – loss of 9 points)
2—Mike Murphy (0/9)
2—Matthew Salaman (0/6)
2—Ralph J Smith (0/1)
+ 41 different trainers who each saddle just one runner on the card
75 declared runners
General overview - Corresponding Placepot dividends from last year:
Lingfield NH: £100.80 – 8 favourites – 5 winners – 1 placed – 2 unplaced
Southwell NH: £27.90 – 7 favourites – 3 winners – 2 placed – 2 unpalced