Race of the Day

Race of the Day – 1 December 2017

Race of the Day - 12:10 Southwell

Horses For Courses is the report that is available to all registered users on a Friday, and here it shows what an incredible record the seven-year-old Luv U Whatever has at Southwell. From 15 races here he has managed to win eight times (53.33%) and has been placed 12 times (80%) for level stakes profits of 16.61 and 20.46 respectively.

He runs in a one and a half mile handicap which on the face of it, doesn't look the strongest.

The current form of Luv U Whatever has been quite poor, however, he has now dropped to an extremely attractive mark (he has won from 25 pounds higher) and a return to what is clearly his favourite track will hopefully reignite him.

Majorie Fife does extremely well when sending her horses to Southwell, as can be seen from the Trainer Snippets on the racecard. Over the past year, she's had four winners (20%) and ten places (50%) from 20 runners, for level stakes profits of 16.25 and 26.89 respectively. This has also produced an Impact Value of 1.74, meaning that she is almost one and three quarters more likely than average to have the winner.

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Jockey Barry McHugh also has a good record at this course, as over the past year he's ridden six winners (24%) and 13 places (52%) from 26 runners, for level stakes profits of 16.88 and 22.68 respectively, and an Impact Value of 2.08.

There aren't too many sections of green on the Instant Expert report, but it does show the excellent course form of Luv U Whatever, and added to that he has three sections of green. It also highlights his declining handicap mark as he is 13 pounds lower he was for his last victory.

The runner that does come out best here is Sugarloaf Mountain, with three sections of green and two of amber, and this lightly races four-year-old could prove dangerous.

The Pace report shows that early leaders here over this distance have a decent record, with 15.15% of them winning the race for a level stakes profit of 16.80.

There doesn't appear to be any real pace in this race so I think there could be the possibility of it being falsely run. Luv U Whatever wouldn't particularly mind that as he has form over shorte and if it turned into a sprint at the end it may actually favour him.

Click here for the 12:10 at Southwell.

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