Race of the Day - 19:45 Newcastle
This is a wide open five furlong dash on the all weather course at Newcastle.
Novabridge is near the top of the handicap, and he comes out on top in the Speed Ratings, which are particularly applicable over the minimum trip, where speed is of the essence.
Windforpower has a similar profile, in that he is at the top on official ratings, and is second on the Speed Ratings. He has Ben Curtis on board, who has been in very useful form over the past couple of weeks.
Although there isn't much green on the Instant Expert report, Novabridge has about the best profile, with one section of green and four of amber. He is four pounds higher than his last winning mark, however I think if he can break away well he stands a good chance.
The Burnham Mare is definitely at home in this class of race, winning four from six attempts, and she has also dropped down the handicap a little to a mark that is four pounds lower than her last winning effort.
Prominent runners have the best record here over this distance, and it is quite interesting to note that leaders don't have that good a record, which is unusual for races over the minimum distance.
The Bunham Mare and David's Beauty are both normally away quickly, and being drawn close to each other in stalls nine and thirteen they may well take each other along.
A lot of the early pace does appear to be drawn high, so it may well be an advantage to be drawn this side.
Horses For Courses is the report that is free to all users on a Friday, and it shows us that Novabridge is right at home racing here at Newcastle. From his five races here, he's had two winners and three places, for level stakes profits of 11.50 and 19,38 respectively. He is drawn in stall ten, therefore he is right there with the pace, and I expect him to be finishing the race very strongly. At 9/1, I think he is excellent each way value.
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