Race of the Day - 14:35 Newton Abbot
We go to Newton Abbot for today's Race of the Day, and a useful looking handicap chase being run over three miles and two furlongs.
Paul Nicholls runs Southfield Vic, who won a novices' chase very easily last time out. Nicholls has plenty of winners here at Newton Abbot, and he also has a very good record with long distance chasers. This can all be seen by clicking the black trainer icon below the horses name.
Master Jake has been in excellent form this year, with three second places and two wins. He has steadily risen up the handicap because of this, but is continuing to improve, so a big run is expected for the in form Skelton stable.
The Instant Expert report shows that Gentleman Jon is the only runner in the field to have won at the course, and he comes out really well, with three sections of green and two of amber. He is just the two pounds higher than for his last win, therefore with conditions in his favour, he may be a little overpriced at 20/1.
Southfield Vic has three sections of green as well, and today's going is just right for him.
Interestingly, early leaders and prominent runners here over the distance have extremely good records. Leaders have gone on to win 26.53% of the time for a level stakes profit of 47.02, and prominent runners are a little over 17% for 17.14.
Wadswick Court and Southfield Vic look the most likely to be early leaders in this, based on their respective pace scores, with Master Jake and Keltus just in behind.
The Trainer Statistics report is available to all users on a Wednesday, and it highlights what impressive form Dan Skelton has been recently. Over the last 30 days he's had 24 winners (28.57%) and 45 places (53.57%) from 84 runners, for level stakes profits of 32.89 and 38.86 respectively. He runs Master Jake here today, and if he can cope with the extra two furlongs, I think he has a very good chance of taking this.
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