Race of the Day

Race of the Day – 22 Sep

Race of the Day - 16:20 Ayr

The Trainer Snippets report shows that Keith Dalgleish does particularly well with last time out winners. He's had 43 winners (24.71%) and 86 places (49.43%) from 174 runners, which has produced level stakes profits of 45.69 and 50.89 respectively, and an Impact Value of 1.32.

He runs Taxmeifyoucan at Ayr today and he is chasing a four-timer on the flat.

The current form of Taxmeifyoucan shows that he switches between national hunt and flat racing, and on the flat, he has been in excellent form. The ground at Ayr today is heavy which is the same as his win last time out at Haydock. He was staying on well at the end of that race so the extra two furlongs in these conditions look perfect for him and will hopefully help him to overcome a further five-pound hike in the weights.

Dalgleish has been in good form recently with a 16 % strike rate over the past two weeks and he has a useful record here at Ayr. Over the past year, he's had 13 winners (13.40%) and 38 places (39.18%) from 97 runners, for level stakes profits of 11.75 and 36.34 respectively.

When the going is heavy like it is at Ayr today then it's very important to have an idea if your horse is going to be able to cope with the conditions. The Instant Expert report shows that four runners in this field have won on heavy going previously, and this includes Taxmeifyoucan as mentioned above. He has two sections of green with the other three being grey.

The Pace report shows that it is runners who are in mid-division early on or held up that have the best record here over this distance, although this is a relatively small sample size.

Taxmeifyoucan is usually in mid-division and I imagine James Sullivan will opt for similar tactics today and try and pick off horses inside the final half a mile using his stamina and ability in the tough conditions.

Click here for the 16:20 at Ayr.

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