Race of the Day

Race of the Day – 23 Aug

Race of the Day - 20:15 Kempton

The Trainer Snippets report highlights what an excellent record James Butler has on the all weather courses. He has a record of 33 winners (15.42%) and 68 places (31.78%) from 214 runners, for level stakes profits of 92.88 and 94.96 respectively. This also produces an Impact Value of 1.44, meaning he is almost one and a half times more likely to win than average.

The Trainer Form on the race card shows that Butler's record on the all weather is around two and a half percent higher than his overall record, and this increases even further when looking at his flat staying runners (this race is a two miler).

His runner in this race, Denmead, has been racing consistently of late, with two winners and two places in his last six contests.

The Instant Expert report shows that Denmead is clearly the most suited in this field to today's conditions, with four sections of green. He is one of only two runners to have won here at Kempton previously and actually won over course and distance two races ago. He is four pounds higher in the handicap now, but the manner of that win in a similar class of handicap bodes well for today.

Perhaps surprisingly considering the distance, early leaders here over two miles have a useful record, with 15.26% of them going on to win the race for a level stakes profit of 64.26.

Corpis Chorister and Denmead are both usually quickly away and it would be a surprise if those two weren't taking them along through the first couple of furlongs. Denmead has raced well over further so it is likely jockey Robert Winston will want to make this a decent test of stamina and run the first mile at a fairly brisk pace.

This is a wide open race but one in which Denmead is suited to, and at a price of 10/1 I think he represents some value

Click here for the 20:15 at Kempton.

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